Ross Benjamin

Tampa Bay (Fleming) @ Royals (Duffy) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Under 7.5 (5*)

Tampa Bay will go with lefthander Josh Fleming on the mound. Fleming turned in a successful 2021 debut start just 5 days ago versus Texas when he allowed only 1 earned run in 5.0 innings pitched. Tampa Bay has a dismal team batting average of .228 throughout their 8-8 start to the season. After a rough stretch to start 2021, the Rays bullpen has been more than respectable over their previous 7 games while posting a stellar 1.02 WHIP.

Since the start of last season, Kansas City has played 13-1 to the under when facing a left-handed starting pitcher and when there was a total of 10.0 or less. Additionally, Kansas City has played 9-2 to the under during their previous 11 games and scored 3 runs or less on 8 of those occasions. Danny Duffy will get the start for Kansas City and he’s recorded an excellent 0.75 ERA in 12.0 innings this season. Since last season began, the Royals have played 29-9 (76.3%) to the under versus American League opponents with a team batting average of .260 or worse. Lastly, the weather forecast is call for wins blowing in from left centerfield at 14 MPH. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.

Phoenix @ Milwaukee 8:05 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Phoenix +2.5 (5*)

Milwaukee is coming off a 128-115 home loss to Memphis as an 8.0-point favorite. That loss dropped the Bucs season record to 35-21 (.625). You may be surprised to know that the Bucks are now 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home and lost by 8.7 points per game.

Phoenix is coming off an embarrassing 111-85 home loss to San Antonio in a game they were a consensus 8.0-point favorite. The Suns have proven to have a short memory following a disappointing performance. Specifically speaking, Phoenix has gone 10-0 SU&ATS in their last 10 this season following a contest in which it failed to cover by 7.0-points or more, and they won by an average of 13.4 points per game. Phoenix has also gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their previous 5 as a road underdog of 5.5 or less.

Since the 2016-2017 NBA season began, any road team (Phoenix) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that’s coming off a loss by 29 or less while scoring 90 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Milwaukee) with a win percentage of .339 or better and they’re coming off a game in which it scored and allowed 105 points or greater, resulted in those road teams going 19-0 SU&ATS. The average margin of victory came by 10.8 points per contest. Bet on Phoenix plus the small number for a 5* wager.

Brooklyn @ New Orleans 7:35 PM ET

Game# 521-522

Play On: New Orleans -2.5 (10*)

Brooklyn will once again be without the services of James Harden. The Nets will also be without Kevin Durant who went out with a thigh injury in the 1st quarter of their previous game and did not return. Thus, the reason for Brooklyn being a road underdog against an opponent that has lost 3 straight contests. Despite going 2-3 in their last 5 games, the Nets still have an outstanding 38-19 season record.

New Orleans will be out to revenge an embarrassing 139-111 loss at Brooklyn just 13 days ago. The Pelicans are coming off back-to-back losses as a road favorite at Washington and New York. Those defeats dropped their season record to 25-32 (.439).

Since the 1992-1993 NBA season began, any home favorite (New Orleans) with a win percentage of .400 or better that’s coming off back-to-back losses as a road favorite, and they’re playing with same season revenge stemming form a loss by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (Brooklyn) who possesses a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 15-0 ATS. The home teams won those 15 contests by a decisive margin of 14.5 points per game. Bet on New Orleans minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager.

Toronto (Ryu) @ Boston (Rodriguez) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Boston -110 (5*)

Since the 2018 season began, Boston starter Eduardo Rodriguez has gone 4-0 in his home team starts against Toronto with a 1.85 ERA and 0.74 WHIP. Furthermore, since the 2019 season, Rodriguez is a perfect 14-0 in his team starts as a home favorite of -110 or greater. The Boston lefthander is also 16-1 in his team starts since 2019 when facing an opponent who has a losing record. During their previous 7 games, the Red Sox bullpen has an outstanding 1.69 ERA and 0.94 WHIP.

Toronto enters today with a poor team on-base-percentage of .289. The Blue Jays are coming off 3-2 and 2-0 loss at Kansas City in their previous 2 games. Since 2017, any home team (Boston) with a money line of -135 to +115 that is facing an American League opponent (Toronto) with a team OBP of .310 or worse, and they (Toronto) are coming off back-to-back games in which they scored 2 runs or less, resulted in those home teams going 42-11 (79.2%). Bet on Boston for a 5* money line wager.

Arizona (Gallen) @ Cincinnati (Castillo) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Cincinnati -138 (5*)

The current Arizona roster has gone 7-43 (.163) in their careers when facing today’s Red starter Luis Castillo. The current total in this matchup is 7.5. Since the start of last season, Arizona is a dismal 4-19 in away games when there was a total of 7.5 to 8.5.

The Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 at home and their only loss in that stretch came against Shane Bieber of Cleveland on Sunday. As a matter of fact, dating back to last season, the Reds are 15-4 in their last 19 home games. The Reds have a stellar .298 team batting average, averaged 8.1 runs scored per game, and smacked 24 home runs in just 9 home games this season. Bet on Cincinnati for a 5* money line wager.