Ross Benjamin

Washington @ USC 9:30 PM ET

Game# 763-764

Play On: USC -13.0 (5*)

Washington is enduring a brutal season thus far. They are 1-9 with their only win coming against Seattle. They have also lost to teams such as UC-Riverside by 15 and Montana by 8. The Huskies are 0-5 SU&ATS in their previous 5 while losing by an average of 16.0 points per game. Furthermore, they’ve gone 0-6 SU&ATS in away and neutral site games.

USC has won 4 in a row. That win streak began by going 3-0 SU&ATS against Utah, Arizona, and Arizona State with a decisive average victory margin of 13.7 points per game. Then in their last game they were a bit flat in a 5-point home win over UC-Riverside. Now it’s back to conference play tonight and I look for the Trojans to turn in a strong performance. USC is a tremendous defensive team that allows just 63.5 points per game and opponents have shot a dismal 36.0% against them. USC will also have a huge advantage on the boards against a Washington team that is at a -10 rebound per game differential while the Trojans are at +8 per contest. Bet on USC minus the points for a 5* wager.

San Diego State @ Utah State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 741-742

Play On: Utah State -1.5 (10*)

Utah State began the season by losing 3 of its first 4 games. Since that time, they have reeled off 8 wins in a row and won by an enormous 29.9 points per game. That includes 6-0 SU&ATS in Mountain West Conference action. During those conference games they held opponents to 49.8 scored per contest and a miserable 32.2% shooting.

The Aggies have been a favorite of 11.5 or greater all 6 of their conference wins and covers. San Diego State is coming off a 69-67 win over Nevada in a game they failed to cover as a 10.5-point favorite. This sets up a very profitable college basketball betting angle shown below.

Any home team that is coming off 3 consecutive covers as a favorite of 7.0 or greater, and they are facing an opponent (San Diego State) that is coming off a straight up win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those home teams going 34-4 (89.5%) straight up since 1997, and the home teams outscored the visitors in those 38 contests by 15.7 points per game. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance when considering what the current point-spread is. Bet on Utah State for a 10* Top Play wager.

Indiana @ Portland 10:05 PM ET

Game# 575-576

Play On: Portland -3.0 (5*)

This isn’t a favorable matchup for the Pacers. They will be facing a Portland team which has connected on an impressive 39.1% of its 3-point shot attempts this season, and that includes 40.8% over their previous 5 games. Conversely, Indiana has struggled to defend their opponents 3-point shooting thus far and have allowed them to make 39.7% of those long distance tries. Today will be the Pacers 3rd road game in 4 days.

Portland enters this game on a 4-game win streak and covered on 3 of those occasions. Portland has scored 105 points or more in each of their previous 5 contests. Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA campaign, Portland is 32-14 ATS after scoring 105 points or more in 5 straight games, and that includes 3-1 ATS in their last 4 in that role this season. Portland is also a perfect 11-0 in their last 11 at home against Indiana and that includes 9-2 ATS in those contests. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 5* wager.