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Stephen Nover |
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I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Feb 03, 2023 Kings vs Pacers |
UNDER 235½ -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
These teams aren't as bad defensively as perceived. The Kings are giving up an average of 108.4 points during their last five games, all of which have gone Under. The Pacers have surrendered 112 points, or fewer, in four of their last six games. Sacramento will be minus its leading scorer, De'Aaron Fox. He's out for personal reasons. Fox also is No. 2 on the team in assists. It's a big blow for the Kings not to have him. The Under has cashed 14 of the last 17 times the Kings have been on the road against a foe with an above .500 home record. The Under has also cashed four of the last five times Indiana has hosted Sacramento. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Feb 03, 2023 Kings vs Pacers |
Pacers +2½ -110 at William Hill |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Pacers are an underrated home team with a 16-11 record. They have covered eight of their past 11 home contests. Indiana has revenge for an embarrassing 23-point road loss to the Kings on Nov. 30. The Pacers also have back their best all-around player, Tyrese Haliburton. He played last night scoring 26 points and dishing off 12 assists against the Lakers after missing the previous 10 games. The Pacers blew a double-digit fourth quarter lead to the Lakers in that loss. Indiana is playing without rest. However, the Pacers' previous game before the Lakers was back on Sunday. So there should not be a fatigue factor. Sacramento will be missing its star guard and leading scorer, De'Aaron Fox. He's out for personal reasons. This will be the Kings' first game without him since Dec. 11. So there will be an adjustment factor. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 03, 2023 Kent State vs Akron |
Kent State +2½ -115 at Mirage |
Lost $115.0 |
Play Type: Free | ||
These are the two best teams in the Mid-American Conference and I rank Kent State above Akron. So does the KenPom ratings, which have Kent State 69th and Akron 106th. The Golden Flashes are superior to Akron on both ends of the floor. Akron gives up 63 points per game. Kent State allows 64. The Zips, though, play at a methodical pace, which skews some of their defensive statistics. Besides first place being at stake, the Golden Flashes have huge revenge motivation after the Zips beat them in the MAC championship game last season after Kent State had won both regular-season meetings by an average of seven points. More reason to trust the Golden Flashes is their 17-4 ATS mark versus opponents with a winning record. Akron, by contrast, is 2-6 ATS the past eight times versus above .500 foes. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 03, 2023 Boise State vs San Diego State |
Boise State +6½ -110 at Caesars |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
San Diego State couldn't beat Boise State last season and the Aztecs can't cover this inflated number against the Broncos this season. Boise State held San Diego State to a puny 48.6 points a game in going 3-0 versus the Aztecs last season. Boise is just as strong this season while I have doubts about the Aztecs following their nine-point loss to Nevada this past Tuesday. The Broncos and Aztecs are tied for first in the Mountain West Conference. Points should be at a premium in this matchup so I'll gladly take this many. Boise State is playing extremely well going 8-2 in its last 10 games. Its only two losses during this span occurred on the road to New Mexico in overtime by two points and to Nevada on the road by two points. The Broncos are proven road warriors going 19-6-1 in their last 26 away matchups for 76 percent. They've proven themselves on the road against top competition, too, going 21-8-1 ATS versus opponents with a home winning percentage greater than .600. San Diego State is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 home games. |
SERVICE BIO |
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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons. |
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