Steve Janus

15* HAWKS/PACERS NBA SHARP PLAY on Pacers -11 -111

1* Free Sharp Play on New Mexico State vs BYU over 55 -105

My money is on the OVER 55 in Saturday's showdown of Independents, as BYU host New Mexico State. The Aggies are a team built for high-scoring games, as they don't play much defense and are a capable offensive team. They come into this one giving up 42.3 ppg and nearly 14 points more per game than what their opponent average. BYU only averages 23.3 ppg, but a lot of that has to do with their schedule, as their opponent on average is only giving up 25.9 ppg. We saw them score 35 last week at UMass and I could see them topping that here. All we would need from the Aggies is around 20 points and they haven't scored fewer than 20 since the first week of September. Bet the OVER 55! 

15* NEVADA/SAN JOSE ST CFB SHARP PLAY on Nevada vs San Jose State over 57½ -109

My money is on the OVER 57.5 in Saturday's Mountain West clash between Nevada and San Jose State. I think Nevada is going to put up a huge number here and the Spartans will do enough on their home field to push this over the mark. Wolf Pack are averaging 33.8 ppg and have scored 40+ twice in their last 3 games, including 49 last time out against Colorado State. San Jose State just gave up 62 at Utah State and are allowing 43.8 ppg at home. They are also averaging 32.4 ppg at home and Nevada is allowing 37.7 ppg on the road. These two are going to get to 60 points no problem. Bet the OVER 57.5! 

15* SYRACUSE/NOTRE DAME CFB SHARP PLAY on Syracuse vs Notre Dame over 61 -109

My money is on the OVER 61 in Saturday's big showdown between No. 3 Notre Dame and No. 12 Syracuse. With Ian Book expected back for the Irish, I look for that offense to have their way here with a pretty mediocre Orange defense, especially with the game being played  on their home field. ON the flip side of this, I think this Syracuse offense is one of the better units Notre Dame has faced, certainly in the last couple months. Orange have scored 40 or more in 4 straight and if you look at what Clemson's defense has done to the rest of the ACC, their 23 points against the Tigers in Clemson is pretty impressive. Notre Dame is not on that level. Bet the OVER 61! 

15* UAB/TEXAS A&M CFB SHARP PLAY on Texas A&M -16 -110

My money is on the Aggies to easily cover this spread at home against UAB. With this being the first year under Jimbo Fisher, I think there's still a lot of motivation to keep playing hard and we saw they are still motivated with last week's 38-24 win against Ole Miss. I think people see UAB at 9-1 and think this team can at least hang around and keep it close. I just don't think that will be the case. It reminds me a lot of late last year when they were a mere 10-point dog at Florida in the second to last week and lost 36-7. I think the Aggies are simply too talented and there's been enough talk about the potential for an upset that they will show up. That should be all it takes for them to win here by at least 20 points. Bet Texas A&M -16! 

20* IOWA/ILLINOIS BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR on Iowa -14 -107

My money is on the Hawkeyes to easily cover here as a two touchdown favorite against the Fighting Illini. Iowa comes into this game having lost 3 straight to fall to 6-4 and completely out of the Big Ten race after that 6-1 start. The most recent game was a ugly 14-10 loss at home to Northwestern as a 11.5-point favorite. After that game no-one wants anything to do with Hawkeyes, but this is the ideal bounce back spot for this team, as there's a big difference from 8-4 and 6-6 or 7-5 when bowl selection comes. Keep in mind Iowa could easily be undefeated right now, as all their losses have come in the finale minutes of the 4th quarter. Illinois is making progress, but they just don't have the offensive fire-power against a defense like this to keep this game close. Illini have allowed 30+ in 5 straight, giving up 45 or more in 4 of those. Bet Iowa -14! 

15* WAKE FOREST/VALPO CBB SHARP PLAY on Valparaiso +1 -110

My money is on the Crusaders to cash in a winning ticket at basically a pick'em against the Demon Deacons in the final round of the Myrtle Beach Invitational. I just haven't been impressed with Wake Forest, who barely scraped by CS-Fullerton 66-59, as they shot a mere 33.9% from the field. Valpo on the other hand shout 50% in a win and cover against Monmouth. Deacons are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 vs a team that's won 60%-8% of their games and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games against strong defenses teams that are holding opponents to 42% or worse from the field. Bet Valparaiso +1! 

20* STEELERS/JAGS NFL SHARP TOP PLAY on Jaguars +6 -105

My money is on the Jaguars to cash in an easy cover here at home against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is simply overvalued after winning 5 straight and Jacksonville couldn't be more undervalued after losing 5 straight. I loved how the Jaguars fought back last week against the Colts on the road and I expect an even bigger effort here at home with their season on the line. Jacksonville won both meetings last year against the Steelers and both of those were in Pittsburgh. Look for that defense to be the difference in this one. Bet the Jaguars +6!