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Jim Feist |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 12, 2026 Marlins vs Tigers |
Marlins +178 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Miami can absolutely spring the upset on Sunday because this is not some lopsided pitching mismatch. In fact, the Marlins are sending Sandy Alcantara, and he has been outstanding to open the season at 2-0 with a 0.74 ERA, 0.57 WHIP, and 18 strikeouts. Detroit counters with Tarik Skubal, who is still a top arm, but he comes in at 1-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. When an underdog has the more dominant early-season stat line on the mound, that is the first sign the upset is very realistic. The Marlins also come into this game with the better overall record. Miami is 8-7, while Detroit is 6-9, and the Marlins are hitting .252 as a team, which ranks fourth in the National League. Detroit has won the first two games of the series, including Saturday’s 6-1 result, but that can actually create a strong bounce-back spot for Miami in the finale, especially with its ace on the mound trying to avoid the sweep. Another reason the upset path is there is the type of game this sets up to be. The total is only 6.5 runs, which tells you oddsmakers expect a tight, low-scoring matchup. Low-total games naturally give underdogs more value because one timely hit, one mistake, or one shutdown outing from the starter can flip the whole result. If Alcantara keeps doing what he has done through his first three starts, Miami does not need a huge offensive day to steal this game. The best case for Miami is pretty straightforward: Alcantara matches or outduels Skubal for six or seven innings, the Marlins scratch out a couple of runs against a Tigers club that is still only 6-9 overall, and the pressure shifts to Detroit late. Jim's Play: 969. Marlins |
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Jim Feist is the recognized leader in the sports information and sports gaming industry. For more than 30 years his acclaim has become unparalleled, with numerous wins in prestigious handicapping contests. His other endeavors include websites that provide sports information worldwide. Feist is the principal panelist on PRO LINE, America's premier handicapping television show on the USA Cable Network. Year in, year out, Jim sets the standard for all other handicappers to gauge their own success. Experience, knowledge, and a limitless number of contacts and sources throughout the country make Jim the undisputed champion in sports handicapping. For sports information there's only one person to turn to: Jim Feist. |
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