Joe D’Amico

Denver Broncos.

Late Info Move.

Game 273.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

A lot of people out there in both the sports and the sports betting worlds feel that Las Vegas is due for a win. Well folks the “due for” factor only applies when you actually have some talent and some motivation. This team has neither. I know this team. I live here in southern Nevada. And I’ve watched several of their preseason games and I was in the stands for the debacle a few weeks ago when Arizona beat them in overtime. This team is not very talented. While there is some talent on the team, they have no organization. Their quarterback makes very bad decisions. And their coaches play calling is among the worst in the league right now. This is a team that has lost and failed to cover their last four games going back to last season. With a win here Denver can take hold of first place in the AFC West at least for a few hours. Because Kansas City, who is also tied with them at 2-1 in the division, has a very tough late-Sunday evening matchup against Tampa Bay. That game can go either way folks. So, the Broncos really have a chance of taking sole possession of first place in a very competitive division. Let’s face it, Denver played very competitively in their season opener in Seattle. Then came back to win the following two games against Houston and San Francisco at home. So far, this team has shown very little offensively. I’m not going to argue that fact. But when you’re playing a team that gives up nearly 26 points per game, your offense will to come to life. Trust me folks when I tell you that. One thing about this Broncos offense, they rarely turn the ball over. They have just three turnovers so far this season. But it will be their defense that will give them a win here this week. They have only allowed 12 points per game behind a very stingy stop-unit equally tough against the pass and the rush. The Raiders cannot run the ball at all. They own one of the worst rushing teams in the league, ranking 28th and averaging a dismal 80 yards per game on the ground. Any of their success comes in the air. And they must face the third ranked pass defense in football this week. The Broncos “D” will get to Carr and force mistakes from the shaky quarterback. The underdog is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings in the series. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS the last 10 versus the AFC, 2-7 ATS the last nine on grass, and 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS loss. Take the Broncos. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

Touchdown Play.

Game 257.

10:00 am pst/1:00 pm est.

Sports fans, the Bills come off their first loss of the season as both their offense and defense looked out of sorts against the Dolphins last Sunday. It was the first time they looked to be outplayed in quite a while. They are now 2-1 and sit in second place in the division behind Miami. Well, Buffalo has to get back on track right now and make a statement. Not just a division, but to the rest of the AFC. And what better opponent to do that than Baltimore. News is that Lamar Jackson, through the first several games of the season is without a doubt the clear MVP. But who has he faced? The Jets, a loss to the Dolphins, and a banged-up Patriots squad. The last time these two teams faced one another, the Bills absolutely shut down Lamar Jackson, getting the win and cover 17-3 in January of 2021. I don’t think that will be a problem once again here as Buffalo owns one of the nastiest and most ferocious defenses in the NFL. They rank number one in total yards allowed, number two in passing yards allowed, number two in rushing yards allowed, number four in points scored, and already have snagged six takeaways. The Ravens have yet to face a defense like this. Especially getting this team off a loss, they’re going to come in here angry and motivated. On the flipside, Josh Allen who, let’s face it had a very subpar game last week, will be able to pass at will against the Ravens 32nd ranked pass defense. One thing for sure, Baltimore gives up a lot of points. This doesn’t bode well when you’re going up against the third ranked scoring offense in the NFL that averages over 30.3 points per game. Josh Allen will bounce back here and have one of his best games so far the season. And Buffalo will come out and make a statement that they are back on track. The Bills are 7-1-1 ATS the last nine following an ATS loss, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 on field turf, and 6-2-1 ATS the last nine overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

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Sunday’s FREE WINNER: New York Giants.

Touchdown Play.

Game 256.

10:00 am pst/1:00 pm est.

The NFC East is always one of the most competitive divisions in all of football. With a win here on Sunday, the New York Giants can certainly make a name for themselves in the division. They face a team that despite being 2-1, is in real trouble. Justin Fields just isn’t getting the job done. The only thing keeping them alive at all is the fact that they can run the ball. But they rank 32nd in passing. They’ve also turned the ball over four times. This doesn’t bode well because they’re going up against a Giants defense that’s allowing less than 20 points per game. On the flipside, Saquon Barkley will run amok against the 30th ranked rush defense of Chicago. I will also tell you that I have a lot more faith in Daniel Jones than I do Justin Fields. I look for New York to bounce back here, especially after suffering their first defeat of the season last week. They are a better team with a better quarterback and a more reliable running game. The Bears are 1-4 ATS the last five on the road, 5-15 ATS the last 20 versus the NFC, and 4-10-1 ATS the last 15 overall. Take the Giants. Thank you.

Minnesota Vikings.

No Limit Play.

Game 251.

6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST.

With the NFC North currently in a three-team tie for first place, the Minnesota Vikings must put their foot on the gas immediately. And what better team to face than the struggling New Orleans Saints. New Orleans is 0-3 against the spread this season. They opened up the campaign with a one-point late win against Atlanta. Then they were humiliated at home by Tampa Bay. And then on the road in Carolina, they were so bad, they allowed the Panthers to stop their nine-game straight up and against the spread losing streak. Granted, Jameis Winston was certainly playing hurt. As of posting this play, his status is still undecided. If he plays, he is not going to be 100%. If he doesn’t, that means Andy Dalton will take the reins. Talk about picking the lesser of two evils (LOL). This is a team struggling to have any success on either side of the ball. On the other hand, Dalvin Cook is scheduled to play here. Look for the running back to run amok against the 26th ranked rushing defense of the Saints. Defensively, look for the Minnesota to completely shut down the struggling New Orleans offense. The Saints are 4-10 ATS the last 14 versus teams with a winning record. The Vikings are 10-1-1 ATS the last 12 on turf. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

MNF winner.

Game 279.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

All week long all I keep hearing about is how strong the San Francisco 49ers defense is. And granted, so far this season they are looking good, only allowing 12.3 points per game. However, folks, who have they played? They’ve gone up against the Chicago Bears, the Seattle Seahawks, and the Denver Broncos. Not one of those offenses is a powerhouse, let alone a mediocre squad. As a matter fact, all three of those units are struggling badly. So once again who have they faced? They must now go up against a Los Angeles Rams team that after a season opening embarrassing loss to the Buffalo Bills, rattled off two consecutive straight up wins against the Atlanta Falcons and the Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers have also had problems putting points on the board themselves. Outside of putting up 27-points against the Seahawks, they put up 10-points against the Bears and 10-points against the Broncos. These are two defensive squads that have gotten smoked against good solid well-balanced offenses so far this campaign. Now, San Francisco has covered five straight in the series. But, they were an underdog in all five of those meetings. Now the Rams come in here as the underdog. And guess what folks? The ‘dog has covered seven consecutive matchups in this rivalry. The Rams are money on Monday Night, covering four of the last five. And are very good against the NFC sporting a 31-15-1 against the spread mark the last 47 against the conference.  I think the wrong team is favored here. Los Angeles should be a field goal favorite for sure. And that is why we’re taking them tonight. Take the Rams. Thank you.

Atlanta Braves.

NL East Game of the Week.

Game 955.

3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST.

My friends, the Atlanta Braves can clinch their fifth straight NL East championship with one more victory. And trust me when I tell you, with the New York Mets just over their shoulder and facing the Washington Nationals this series, they want to do it sooner than later. They have dominated the Miami Marlins, taking eight straight meetings between the two division rivals. The Braves come into this matchup red-hot, winning seven of their last eight. Bryce Elder takes the hill on the road here. The right-hander is just 2-3 on the campaign. However, he has an anemic ERA of 2.76. And in his three starts against the Marlins in 2020, his ERA is just 1.53. The team has won three of his last four turns. And he comes off his best performance of the campaign, going nine full innings and blanking the Nationals, 8-0 a week ago. Jesus Luzardo gets the start at home. The left-hander is 3-7 with a 3.53 ERA on the campaign. He is making his fourth career start against Atlanta. And owns a 6.23 ERA in 13 innings in those starts. The team has dropped his last nine appearances. He has given up runs in each one of those outings. And at home on the campaign, he is 1-5 with a 4.95 ERA. Atlanta is 21-6 the last 27 during Game 1 of a series, 4-1 the last five on the road, 49-10 the last 59 versus teams with a losing record, and 38-16 the last 54 versus the National League East. Take the Braves. Thank you.