John Ryan

Rays vs Guardians 
7:15 ET 
8-Unit bet on the Guardians priced as a –145 favorite. 

The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 28-13 record (68%) averaging a 132 favorite bet resulting in a $13,820 profit and 30% ROI for the $1,000 per game bettor and a $691 profit for the $50 per game bettor over the past five seasons. The requirements are:  

Bet on home favorites priced between –105 and –170 on the money line. 

It is the first game of the series. 

The home team has scored three or more innings in each of their previous three games. 

The home team was on the road in their previous game. 

Marlins vs Nationals 

6:45 ET 
8-Unit Bet on the Under currently priced at 9 runs. 

The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 21-9-4 record (70%) resulting in a 35% ROI and making an $11,620 profit for the Dime Bettor and a $581 profit for the $50 per game bettor since 2019. The requirements are: 

Bet the Under priced between 9 and 11 runs. 

The game occurs in the second half of the season (after game number 81). 

It is a divisional matchup. 

And the home team lost to the current foe as a road favorite in their previous matchup. 

Reds vs Cardinals 
1:15 ET 
8-Unit bet on the Cardinals priced as –140-favorites using the money line. 

Consider an alternative wager by placing a 2.5-unit amount on the run line and a 5.5-unit amount on the money line for a bit less risk-reward profile. 

The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 20-11 record averaging a 139-favorite wager resulting in a 16% ROI and $6,240 profit for the $1,000-per-game bettor and a $312 profit for the $50 per game bettor over the past five seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on home favorites between –125 and –175 on the money line. 

The game is a rubber-game of a three-game series. 

The game occurs after the all-star break. 

The home team has averaged 0.5 more multiple-run innings over their past five games than the foe has done. 

If the game is a divisional matchup these home favorites of any size have then exploded to a perfect 17-3 record averaging a –155 wager resulting in a 55% ROI and a $13,380 profit for the $1,000 per game bettor and a $669 profit for the $50 per game bettor. 

Brewers vs Giants 
9:45 ET 
8-Unit bet on the Giants priced as a 115-underdog. 

The following MLB betting algorithm has produced a 59-47 record averaging a 111-underdog wager resulting in an 18% ROI and a $22,230 profit for the $1,000-per-game bettor and a $1,150 profit for the $50 per game bettor. The requirements are: 

Bet on home teams priced as a dog and up to a –125-favorite using the money line. 

The home scored 10 or more runs and allowed 8 or fewer runs in their previous game. 

The game occurs after the all-star break. 

The game is the first game of the series 

The home team is facing a non-divisional foe. 

Bills vs Dolphins 
8:15 ET | Amazon Prime | Hard Rock Stadium 
8-Unit bet on the Buffalo Bills plus the 2 points. 

Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 6 units on the Bills preflop and then look to get the remaining 2-Units on the Bills if the Dolphins score first and it is a TD or they get out to a 6-0 lead or they retake the lead by any amount during the first half of action. 

Situational Analytics: The following NFL betting algorithm has produced a 27-19 straight-up (SU) and 31-14-1 against the spread (ATS) record good for 69% winning bets over the past 10 NFL seasons. The requirements are: 

 Bet on underdogs from pick-em to 4.5 points. 

The game is a divisional showdown. 

The dog has defeated the opponent in each of their last two meetings. 

Our dog committed no more than a single turnover in their previous game. 

The opponent is coming off a game against a non-divisional foe. 

Now, if our dog was in the playoffs last season, they have gone 19-6 SU (76%) and 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  

In this situational betting angle specific to week 2 we learn that all dogs in week 2 that failed to cover the spread in week 1 and their current opponent failed to cover the spread in week 1 have gone 18-21 SU and 25-12-2 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Drilling deeper into the database we learn that if the dog’s margin to the spread in week 1 was the same as or worse than their opponent’s ats margin, our dogs have gone 13-9 SU and 19-2-1 ATS for a highly profitable 91% record. 

Here is a third situational betting algorithm that has gone 40-15-1 SU and 39-16-1 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on any team facing a foe that trailed by double-digits at the half. 

The opponent did come back and win that home game. 

If our team has won 75% of more of their games, they have gone on to an impressive 19-0-1 SU record and a 17-2-1 ATS record good for 90% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

From the Predictive Models: My predictive models are projecting that the Bills will score 27 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers or commit no more than a single turnover and have the edge in time of possession. In past games since 2019, the Bills are 22-3 SU and 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets when they have met or exceeded these performance metrics. The fish are just 2-15 SU and ATS for just 7% winning bets when they have allowed these performance measures in games played over the past five years.