Dave Price College Basketball ATS Predictions & Free Picks

Dave’s Saturday Free Play: 

1* on Creighton -7 

The Key: Creighton is hungry for a win after losing 3 of its last 4 games against a very difficult schedule.  They have played 3 road games against Butler, Xavier and Georgetown as well as a home games against Villanova.  The Bluejays have faced the 13th-toughest schedule in the nation.  It eases up here against a Providence team that has upset losses to Northwestern, Penn, Long Beach State, College of Charleston and Rhode Island this year.  The Bluejays have a huge home-court advantage as they are 11-1 at home this year with their only loss coming to Villanova after they blew a double-digit lead.  The Friars are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.  The Bluejays are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games off a loss.  The Bluejays are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.  Take Creighton.

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6* Baylor/Oklahoma State Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Baylor -5.5 

The Key: Baylor is the 2nd-ranked team in the country for good reason.  The Bears are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in Big 12 play beating Texas by 15 and Iowa State by 13 at home.  They also went on the road and upset Texas Tech by 5 as 3.5-point dogs and Kansas by 12 as 7.5-point dogs.  Oklahoma State is 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in Big 12 play.  They have lost those 4 games by an average of 18.3 PPG and are scoring just 48.7 PPG on 32.6% shooting in Big 12 action.  They won’t be able to score against Baylor’s patented zone defense because they only shoot 29% from 3 on the year.  Baylor only allows 57.9 PPG and 38% shooting, including 30.3% from 3.  The Bears are 11-0 ATS in January games over the last 2 years.  Take Baylor. 

6* UNC/Pitt ACC *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh -3.5 

The Key: The UNC Tar Heels are a train wreck with all their injuries and lack of talent.  They are just 8-8 this season.  The Tar Heels are 2-7 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall with their only two wins coming against UCLA and Yale.  They already lost to Pitt 65-73 at home.  And now they are only catching 3.5 points on the road in the rematch.  It’s once again a case of the Tar Heels getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to the name on their jerseys.  Pitt will be hungry for a win off 2 straight tough losses at Miami by 8 and to Louisville in OT at home by 5.  The Tar Heels are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as favorites.  Take Pittsburgh. 

6* Richmond/George Mason A-10 *CA$H COW* on Richmond -2 

The Key: The Richmond Spiders are far and away the superior team over George Mason and we are getting them cheap today as only 2-point road favorites.  Richmond is 13-4 on the year against a much tougher schedule than George Mason (12-5) has faced.  George Mason is the 2nd-most lucky team in all of college basketball to have the record that they do.  George Mason has faced the 286th-ranked schedule out of 353 teams.  They have come back down to reality of late going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall with losses to TCU by 34, VCU by 13, St. Bonaventure by 12 and George Washington by 6.  Richmond’s 4 losses have come to Auburn, Alabama, Saint Louis and Radford.  They have beaten Wisconsin by 10 and Boston College by 20 while also pulling road upsets of Rhode Island and Davidson.  George Mason is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 home games off a road game.  The Patriots are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games against a team with a winning road record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team that wins more than 60% of their road games.  Take Richmond. 

7* Ohio State/Penn State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Penn State +2 

The Key: Big Ten home teams have dominated.  The home teams are 36-6 SU and Penn State is a home underdog to Ohio State when they shouldn’t be today.  The Buckeyes are 0-3 in Big Ten road games while losing by 12.5 PPG.  Ohio State beat Penn State at home earlier this season, so that means the Nittany Lions are out for revenge.  They are also hungry for a win because they are coming off 3 straight losses.  Ohio State shot 54% from 3 in that first meeting with Penn State and that’s not going to happen again.  The Buckeyes are only shooting 29% from 3 in Big Ten road games this year.  The Buckeyes are 1-10 ATS in January games over the last 2 years.  The Nittany Lions are 14-3 ATS off 2 straight games with 12 or fewer assists over the last 3 years.  The Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  The Nittany Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a dog.  Take Penn State. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons -2 

The Key: The Hawks are in a letdown spot off their first win in San Antonio since 1997 last night.  They came back from 14 down to win in the 4th quarter and obviously used up a lot of energy making that comeback.  It will take its toll tonight as they will now be playing for a 2nd consecutive night against the Detroit Pistons.  The Pistons have had the last 2 days off since knocking off the Celtics by 13 as 9.5-point road underdogs on Wednesday.  The situation really favors the Pistons in this matchup.  Take Detroit.