Dave Price College Basketball ATS Predictions & Free Picks

Dave’s Saturday Free Play: 

1* on Florida +6 

The Key: The Florida Gators match up well with almost any Big Ten team.  They like to play the grind it out style, which is what the Big Ten is all about.  And I think they match up very well with Michigan, a great defensive team that struggles at times on offense, similar to Florida.  But the Gators have played well offensively here down the stretch, shooting 46.4% against LSU, 60.5% against Auburn and then 45.3% against Nevada.  The Gators are 8-2 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.  The Gators are 8-0 ATS in road games against poor pressure defensive teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  The Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.  The Wolverines are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 against SEC teams.  Take Florida.

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6* Wofford/Kentucky Midwest Region *CA$H COW* on Wofford +5.5 

The Key: The Wofford Terriers showed why they were a Top 25 team coming into the tournament and why they were deserving of a good seed.  They destroyed Seton Hall 84-68, cooling off what had previously been a red hot Pirates team.  And now I look for them to upset Kentucky, which is still missing leading scorer PJ Washington and is very vulnerable without him.  Washington averages 14.8 PPG & 7.6 RPG while shooting 52% from the field and 42% from 3-point range.  Wofford is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games overall.  Kentucky is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games off an ATS win.  Take Wofford. 

7* Villanova/Purdue South Region *HEAVY HITTER* on Villanova +3.5 

The Key: It’s rare that you’ll see a higher seed have home-court advantage over a lower seed.  But that’s the case here when Villanova meets Purdue in Hartford, Connecticut Saturday night in the round of 32.  And the Wildcats have all the momentum, winning the Big East regular season title, and then winning the Big East Tournament.  They have gone 6-1 in their last 7 games overall coming in.  And they were more dominant in their 61-57 win over St Mary’s than the final score would indicate.  They don’t mind grinding it out, which is exactly what the Big Ten is all about, so they’’ll make up well with the Boilermakers.  Purdue has lost twice to Minnesota in its last 4 games and is vulnerable.  The Wildcats are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games.  Villanova is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 against Big Ten teams.  Purdue is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 against Big East teams.  Take Villanova. 

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks +8 

The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are coming off a huge comeback win over the Boston Celtics.  They beat the Hornets and Bucks in their previous 2 games as well and are in a prime letdown spot now against the Atlanta Hawks.  The 76ers are getting too much respect from oddsmakers now because they are on a 6-game winning streak.  But the Hawks won’t go down without swinging, and they’ve shown that here down the stretch.  The Hawks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  They just upset the Jazz as nearly identical 7.5-point home dogs.  The 76ers are 7-19 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins this season.  The Hawks are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings, including 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home meetings.  Take Atlanta.