Dave Price College Basketball ATS Predictions & Free Picks

Dave’s Tuesday Free Play: 

1* on Portland Trail Blazers -1.5 

The Key: The Sacramento Kings were already without Marvin Bagley II for four to six weeks with a fractured thumb.  Now they are without their most important player in PG De’Aron Fox, who will miss the next three to four weeks with an ankle injury.  They were already off to a rough 3-6 start and now things will get worse before they get better without Fox and Bagley.  The Blazers should be able to handle them on the road here Tuesday night.  The Blazers are 6-1 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Kings.  Sacramento is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games following a win.  The Kings are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 against Western Conference teams.  The Blazers are 33-15-3 ATS in their last 51 games off a win by more than 10 points.  Take Portland.

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6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Valparaiso -6 

The Key: SIU-Edwardsville is 1-1 this season with a lackluster 61-52 home win over Quincy.  They lost 60-87 at Iowa, which was just upset at home by DePaul by 15 as a 9.5-point favorite.  Valparaiso upset Toledo at home and lost on the road to Saint Louis by 11 as a 9.5-point dog.  They have been tested against two good teams, and now they face a cupcake they can beat up on, which is exactly what I expect them to do.  Valpo returned its 2 best players from last year in Javon Freeman and Ryan Fazekas.  They added in good transfers in Iron Gordon from Seton Hall and Nick Robinson from Saint Joe’s as well as Zion Morgan from UNLV.  Morgan teamed with Robinson at Chicago’s Kenwood High School, giving them some chemistry.  Daniel Sackey is also a returning starter who is averaging 14.5 points and 6.0 assists through two games.  Freeman (19 ppg) and Fazekas (13 ppg) are both off to fantastic starts this year as well.  The Crusaders are 8-0 ATS after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 years.  SIU-Edwardsville is 1-8 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 years.  Take Valparaiso. 

6* Lakers/Suns Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Phoenix +2.5 

The Key: The chemistry of the Phoenix Suns to start the season has been impressive.  The Suns are 6-3 SU & 8-1 ATS to be the best covering team in the NBA thus far.  Monty Williams is clearly getting the most out of these players and was a great hire.  They are sharing the ball very well and have made at least 11 3-pointers in a franchise-record seven consecutive games.  They had a season-high 19 in a 138-112 blowout home win over the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday.  They also had a season-high 37 assists on 52 baskets and a season-low seven turnovers.  Now they will take down Lebron James and the Los Angeles Lakers.  Anthony Davis has been slowed by a shoulder injury that could sideline him any given night, which would be a huge loss for the Lakers.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Take Phoenix. 

7* Western Michigan/Ohio MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio +1 

The Key: Western Michigan has already clinched a bowl game at 6-4 on the season.  Ohio is 4-5 on the season and really needs a win here to get to a bowl.  Adding to the motivation for the Bobcats is that this is Senior Night and their final home game.  Their best player in QB Nathan Rourke is a senior, and he has meant so much to this program that you know these players want to get him one final home win.  Western Michigan is 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS on the road this year.  The Broncos should not be favored in this matchup.  The Broncos are 1-10 ATS after playing a home game over the last 2 years.  Western Michigan is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 road games.  The Bobcats are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 against a team with a winning record.  Take Ohio. 

6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Northern Iowa -10 

The Key: Northern Iowa returned 4 starters this year and will be a factor to win the Missouri Valley this year.  This is the most talented team Ben Jacobson has had in a while.  I believe he’s the best coach in the Missouri Valley.  The Panthers are 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS this year with wins and covers over quality Old Dominion and Northern Illinois teams.  Now they face a CS-Bakersfield team that isn’t nearly as good as the two teams they have already played.  The Panthers should have no problem winning by double-digits.  Bakersfield is picked 6th in the WAC this year.  The went 18-16 last year but lost 3 of their top 4 scorers.  They only return 2 of their worst starters and 2 reserves.  They were upset by South Dakota State at home last time out.  Bakersfield is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games overall.  Northern Iowa is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games overall.  The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.  Take Northern Iowa. 

6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Boston Celtics -8 

The Key: The Boston Celtics are 8-0 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.  Oddsmakers just aren’t quite adjusting enough for how improved this team is with Kemba Walker and company.  Now they face the Washington Wizards, who are 2-6 on the season with each of their last 3 losses coming by 13 points or more to th eCavaliers, Pacers and Timberwolves.  The Wizards are 1-9 ATS in road games off a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 years.  Washington is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 trips to Boston.  Take Boston. 

7* Bowling Green/Miami Ohio MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Bowling Green +17.5 

The Key: Bowling Green is still alive for a bowl game and is certainly improved this year.  This is their last stand as 17.5-point dogs to Miami Ohio.  The Falcons are coming off a 35-6 win over Akron and have had 10 days off since that game.  Miami Ohio is only on normal rest after playing and upsetting Ohio 24-21 on the road last Wednesday.  It’s definitely a letdown spot for the Redhawks off that huge win that puts them in the driver’s seat to win their division in the MAC.  Miami hasn’t beaten Bowling Green by more than 15 points in any of the last 9 meetings, which makes for a 9-0 angle backing the Falcons.  The Falcons won 37-29 as 17-point dogs their last trip to Miami in 2017.  Take Bowling Green.