Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Air Force +11

I gave out Nevada +3 as a free pick on Tuesday in their 75-66 upset home win over the San Diego State Aztecs.  But this has all the makings of a letdown spot for the Wolf Pack, not just because of that win but also the magnitude of the games preceding it, plus who they have on deck.

Nevada's last six games have been a gauntlet of San Diego State, Utah State, Boise State, New Mexico, UNLV and San Diego State again.  They have traded wins and losses following up each win with a loss, and each loss with a win.  I wouldn't be surprised to see them actually lose this game outright.  They have another huge game at New Mexico on deck after this one that they could easily be looking ahead to.

Nevada won't be all that motivated to beat Air Force again after topping them 75-69 as 3-point road favorites in their first meeting on December 31st.  Now they come back as 11-point home favorites for the rematch, which is an 8-point adjustment and too big of one for switching home courts.

Air Force has quietly gone 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games overall.  The Falcons have done their best work on the highway during this stretch, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.  Air Force is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when revenging a loss.  Bet Air Force Friday.

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No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a 2388-2032 NBA Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $200,570! He is a 7-Time Top 10 NBA Capper (#1 2012-13, #2 2020-21, #2 2021-22, #3 2017-18, #7 2008-09, #9 2015-16, #10 2011-12) as well! He is also on a 679-537 NBA Run and a 244-189 NBA Run since the All-Star Break last season! He was the No. 2 Ranked NBA Capper in 2021-22 last season!

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15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit Pistons -1

The Detroit Pistons have a massive rest advantage over the Charlotte Hornets tonight that should lead them to victory in this battle between Eastern Conference bottom feeders.  Detroit was last seen losing 105-111 at Dallas as 8.5-point dogs on Monday, so they have had the last three days off.

Meanwhile, the Hornets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd road game in 4 days after losses at Milwaukee on Tuesday and at Chicago on Thursday.  Washington played over 38 minutes last night against the Bulls, Ball 35, Rozier 36 and Plumlee 31.  The Hornets won't have much left in the tank for the Pistons tonight.

Detroit is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing 5 or fewer games in 14 days.  The Hornets are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days.  Charlotte is 6-14 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season.  Bet the Pistons Friday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Utah Jazz ML -115

The Utah Jazz have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.  They are 18-9 SU at home this season and just have to win tonight to cover the money line for us.  They take on an Atlanta Hawks team that is 13-15 SU & 12-16 ATS on the road this season and has been a terrible road team through the years.

Utah comes in fully healthy, rested and ready to go tonight.  The Jazz will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days.  The Hawks will be playing their 3rd road game in 5 days after losing at Portland and beating short-handed Phoenix.  

This will be their toughest test of this road trip thus far, and they have Denver on deck tomorrow, so don't be surprised if they limit starters minutes tonight to prepare for that 2nd of a back-to-back.  Utah has two more days off after this, so they will be 'all in' for this one.

Atlanta is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games following an upset win as an underdog.  The Hawks are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win.  Atlanta is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Jazz are 6-0 SU in the last six meetings with all six wins by 5 points or more.  Bet the Jazz on the Money Line Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +5.5

The Orlando Magic have quietly gone 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are in a sandwich spot here.  They are coming off a huge 119-114 (OT) win over the defending champion Warriors, and now they have the Western Conference-leading Denver Nuggets on deck.  They are in a letdown and lookahead spot here, and I don't think they put their best foot forward because of it.  That's going to make it tough for them to cover this 5.5-point spread against the pesky Magic tonight.

Orlando is 11-2 ATS following two consecutive road games this season.  The Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last five games following an ATS loss.  The Magic are 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings, including 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Minnesota.  Bet the Magic Friday.