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The defending Super Bowl Champs started their season with a  hard fought prime time  win vs Baltimore and could easily follow that up with a letdown performance here vs a an opponent that choked against  under rated New England in week 1 action and is badly looking for redemption. . Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow  in his NFL career against sides like KC coming off a SU/ATS vcitroy , is 7-0 SU/ATS away. Im betting that the Bengals keep this game closer than the line might indicate. This game screams FG victory and it might not be the favorite taking the cheese.

Play on Cincinnati to cover

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals -1

The Arizona Cardinals improved down the stretch last year once Kyler Murray returned.  They built off that positive momentum all offseason and should be one of the more improved teams in the NFL.  I was impressed with the Cardinals taking the Bills to the brink in a 34-28 road loss last week, covering as 7-point dogs.

Now the Cardinals return for their home opener against the Los Angeles Rams.  This isn't the same Rams team as last year that made the playoffs because they have been decimated by injuries, plus their best defensive player in Aaron Donald retired.

The Rams suffered two more injuries to their offensive line in their opener against Detroit and now may be without as many as four starting offensive linemen.  Last year's Offensive Rookie of the Year in Puka Nacua suffered a knee injury against the Lions and is out for at least four weeks.  The Rams are also dealing with injuries at cornerback on defense.

Despite all these injuries, the Rams managed to take the Lions to OT, but fell short in a 26-20 defeat on Sunday Night Football.  The Lions really ran them over in OT with David Montgomery and bully ball.  The Cardinals are capable of doing the same thing with James Conner as they want to be a run-first team.

I question how the Rams bounce back mentally from that loss to the Lions.  They wanted revenge from their 24-23 playoff loss and came up just short again.  Matthew Stafford really wanted it against his former team and played as well as you could expect given the circumstances.  I question whether or not he can do it again with all these O-Line injuries and being without Nacua.

Speaking of revenge, the Cardinals want some of it themselves after being owned by Sean McVay over the years.  I would almost never beat against McVay when facing the Cardinals because of it.  But this is the best Arizona team he has seen in quite some time, and this is one of the worst Rams teams given all their injuries.

I'm expecting this line to climb due to these injuries as we get closer to Sunday, so getting Arizona -1 on Wednesday is a nice value currently.  Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on West Virginia minus the points over Pittsburgh at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.

The Backyard Brawl will take place at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on Saturday and this year's instalment features plenty of intrigue. I can't help but feel the wrong team is favored, even with Pittsburgh sporting the better record in the early going.

If you watched Pitt's come-from-behind win over Cincinnati last week you know that it really had no business winning that game. The Bearcats built a big lead and then stopped playing. I still find Cincinnati's hiring of head coach Scott Satterfield prior to last season a curious move but that's another story.

Last week's game was marred by poor quarterback play. Panthers QB Eli Holstein has shown flashes of brilliance but he's still a work-in-progress. Backfield burner Desmond Reid had to leave the game several times after getting banged-up. He can be a game-breaker but as a smallish back his durability is a question.

I'm high on the West Virginia defense in particular. This is a team that got off to a tough start to the season with a strange game against Penn State that included a long weather delay in Week 1. The Mountaineers rebounded as expected against FCS squad Albany last week, winning 49-14. I like the fact that they had a glorified scrimmage while Pitt was involved in such a hard-fought battle on the road against Cincinnati. Take West Virginia.

Last week was an amazing week for us in college football. This weekend, I settle for nothing less than perfection with my: FRIDAY: FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS WINNER, SATURDAY: 1-0 EARLY WINNER, OREGON/OREGON STATE WINNER, BACKYARD BRAWL WINNER, 1-0 ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE, 1-0 CONSENSUS, & 1-0 NO LIMIT. Get them all and SWEEP THE BOARD.

Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Virginia.

Game 200.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

If you recall, a season ago, Virginia started off their campaign 0-5. That does include an ugly, 42-14 road loss at the hands of Maryland. This season, they have an opportunity to kick off the campaign at 3-0, which would be their first 3-0 start since 2019. On the other hand, Maryland started the regular season of destroying Connecticut at home. But last week got embarrassed as an 8.5-point favorite, losing outright to a mediocre, Michigan State, 27-24. It may take a while for them to bounce back from a devastating defeat like that. This is the first time they're taking it to the road this season, and they have to go into Scott Stadium to face a Cavaliers offense that's already accounted for over 65 points scored. Quarterback, Anthony Colandrea has many fans out there excited about this campaign. Neither team is known to stop the pass on the defensive side of the ball. But Virginia certainly is a little stronger against the rush. The Terrapins are still making adjustments in their first season without Tagovailoa at the helm. They're also not as experienced as their opponent here. The Cavaliers bring back eight starters on both sides of the ball. The old adage of taking the home 'dog rings true in this one. Take Virginia. Thank you.

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on North Texas +9.5

The Key: The Texas Tech Red Raiders are dealing with as many injuries as any team in the country right now.  That largely explains their awful start to the season.  They were fortunate to beat Abilene Christian 52-51 (OT) as 31.5-point home favorites.  And they were blasted 37-16 by Washington State as 2.5-point road favorites last week.  The Red Raiders are on upset alert again this week against a North Texas team that will be looking forward to this opportunity to face a Big 12 foe from their same state.  The Mean Green went on the road and upset South Alabama 52-38 in their opener and followed it up with a 35-20 home win over Stephen F. Austin.  This Mean Green offense is loaded averaging 527 YPG and 6.9 YPP this year behind TCU transfer Chandler Morries at QB.  Morris has already thrown for 737 yards and 7 TD while also rushing for 2 TD in 2 games.  He will light up this leaky, banged up Texas Tech defense and keep the Mean Green in this game for 4 quarters.  Take North Texas.

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The teams just met Wednesday at Indiana. There were only 161 points scored in the Aces', 86-75, victory. The total on that game was 180. So the oddsmaker has adjusted several points downward. 

This presents some line value as I expect the star players on both teams to shoot much better. 

Caitlin Clark was 6-of-22 from the floor. She made just one of 10 3-point field goal tries. Aliyah Boston was 3-for-10 from the field. Even A'Ja Wilson, the likely MVP, only shot 11-of-28 from the floor. This was against an Indiana defense that ranks second-to-last.

The Aces not only lead the WNBA in scoring, but rank in the top three in field goal percentage, 3-point percentage and free throw percentage. 

Las Vegas isn't nearly as dominant defensively where it ranks in the middle. The Aces also are ninth in 3-point defense. 

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the top WNBA handicappers in North American beating the league for the fourth time in five seasons going 49-31-1 on his premium/free plays this season, including winning his last 10 premium WNBA plays. Stephen has a Friday premium WNBA play in addition to this free selection.)

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Fresno State -19

The Fresno State Bulldogs have 13 starters back this year and are a contender to win the Mountain West.  The key is returning QB Mikey Keene, who completed 67.1% of his passes with 24 TD and 10 INT last season.  Keene led the Bulldogs into Michigan and had the Wolverines on the rope late in the 4th quarter.  They came back with a 46-30 home win over a very good Sacramento State team from the FCS.  They led by 23 in the 4th quarter before taking their foot off the gas.  New Mexico State is one of the worst teams in college football this season.  They lost head coach Jerry Kill and only brought back 8 starters.  They gave an 'all in' effort last week to try and get revenge on Liberty but came up short.  That was more due to a letdown for Liberty after beating this team twice last year including in the C-USA title game than anything.  I think we get a flat effort this week from the Aggies and they get crushed by a much superior Bulldogs team.  Give me Fresno State.

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Under in Nevada Wolf Pack @ Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 14 BTN) We hit a free pick under last week and we will try for two in a row in this game. Nevada offense is better than last year, but it still struggles to score points on a consistent basis. Minnesota will be able to stop the run and that will mean Nevada have to move the football through the air. I do not see them having much success in that department. Minnesota ran it up last week against an FCS team, but they scored just 17 points against North Carolina in Week 1, a team that is traditionally bad on defense. I see about 40 total points being scored in this game and we will hit the under with this free play. Do not miss out on our weekend football card, featuring a top play in the NFL and a slate of winners all weekend long. Sign-up now and let Doc’s Sports and their 53 years of handicapping experience work for you.

Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick

PLAY ON: Colorado State +7