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Dave’s Sunday Free Play:

1* on Buffalo Bills -5.5

The Key: The Buffalo Bills were dominant in their 27-17 win over the New York Jets last week.  They had a couple missed field goals and a couple turnovers that turned a 21-0 blowout into a closer game than it really was.  They outgained the Jets by 150 yards and had 16 more first downs.  The Miami Dolphins lost 11-21 to the Patriots last week.  They had just 269 yards and 3 turnovers in the loss.  They also gave up 217 rushing yards to the Patriots.  That’s bad news for them this week because the Bills are one of the best rushing teams in the NFL with Josh Allen’s dual-threat ability.  The Bills have owned the Dolphins in winning the last 3 matchups by 25, 10 and 17 points.  They should win by a TD or more Sunday.  Take Buffalo.

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1* Free Pick on Steelers -6 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Over 47 in Florida Atlanta Owls @ Georgia Southern Eagles (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 19 ESPN) The Lane Kiffin era at Florida Atlantic is over but the skill players are still there including QB Chris Robinson. This team averaged over 36 points per game in 2020 and expect them to not miss a beat in this one. Georgia Southern gave up 26 points to Campbell last week in a game that they were a huge favorite. They survived that game but expect the Owls to score points in this game as well. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football card. We have had two straight winning weeks and now is the time to sign-up with this veteran handicapper of 49 years.

PICK - Chicago Cubs -127
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 974

This is too good a price to pass up with the Cubs at home. Chicago will have a red-hot Kyle Hendricks on the mound. In his last 3 starts Hendricks has a 1.66 ERA and 0.969 WHIP. A guy that normally is all about control, is getting a lot of swing and misses. Hendricks has 17 K's in 21 2/3 innings over those last 3 starts. 

Hendricks is also a guy you want to back at home. Last year he had a 2.04 ERA at home compared to a 5.02 ERA on the road. It's more of the same in 2020. Hendricks has a 2.27 ERA in 5 home starts and a 4.50 ERA in 5 road starts. 

Rich Hill will go for the Twins and while he's got strong numbers, he hasn't only made 6 starts and is not going deep in games. He's only thrown 26 innings total this season. He's not exactly coming into this game in prime form with a 4.05 ERA and 1.425 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Lastly, I think this is a bit of a tough spot for Minnesota. While they are just traveling from one side of Chicago to the other, that was a MASSIVE 4-game series they just played against the White Sox. Wouldn't surprise me if they are a little flat to open up this series. Give me the Cubs -127! 

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Mikey Sports FREE MLB play Friday 9-18-20

St Louis -160

Mikey Sports has been on an INCREDIBLE 108-74 (59%) RUN over his last 188 basketball picks! He has now made $1,000/game bettors $27,930 in profits since December 13, 2019. Join Mikey Sports with his Spread for Friday on Nuggets v. Lakers!

1 Unit FREE PLAY on San Francisco 49ers -6.5

The San Francisco 49ers suffered an upset loss at the hands of the Arizona Cardinals last week.  They had some injuries at receiver and along the offensive line that caused their offense some problems.  But they get a lot healthier this week and should be much more effective against a lesser opponent in the New York Jets.  The Cardinals are a much better team than the Jets, and the 49ers were 7-point favorites over the Cardinals and only 6.5-point favorites over the Jets.  The Jets lost 17-27 at Buffalo last week in a game that was a bigger blowout than the final score showed.  The Bills were up 21-0 before they took their foot off the gas.  They missed a couple field goals and left some points on the board.  The Bills had 404-254 yard and 31-15 first down edges over the Jets.  The 49ers are every bit as good as the Bills, if not better.  Give me the 49ers.

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draw +188

Real Oviedo 1

Mirandes 1

The free soccer play takes place Saturday morning. Take the draw when these two teams meet.

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Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Indianapolis Colts -3

The Minnesota Vikings gave up 43 points and 522 total yards to the Green Bay Packers last week.  This isn’t the same old defense that Mike Zimmer has had in his time in Minnesota.  I know it’s only one game, but I believe this is the worst defense he’s ever had.

For starters, the Vikings lost three starters in the secondary from last year.  They are now starting three players who are all 23 years old or younger.  They lost their top pass rusher Everson Griffin to Dallas.  Their next-best pass rusher in Danielle Hunter is hurt.  And although they got Yannick Ngakoue from the Jaguars, he is a non-factor early until he gets into playing shape.

Now the Vikings have to go up against a Colts offense that just put up 445 total yards on the Jaguars last week.  That was easily the most misleading final of the week.  The Colts outgained the Jaguars by 204 yards and should have won.  But they missed a 30-yard field goal and were stopped on downs at the goal line, two key plays as to why they did not win.

Teams who were 5.5-point favorites or more in Week 1 that lost outright are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 tries in Week 2.  This trend is great for betting on teams who were supposed to be good coming into the season, laid an egg in Week 1, and now they’re likely to bounce back in Week 2.  I expect the Colts to do just that against the Vikings.  Bet the Colts Sunday.

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Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Friday 9-18-20

San Diego -167

Pure Lock has a TOP MLB play available on Friday on the 
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Liberty +14.5 1.1% Free Play

Nearly 70% of the tickets and 80% of the money has rained in on Western Kentucky, and this line has gone over the key number of 14.5.  I really do not understand it, and I'm fading the steam here.  To me Western Kentucky does not deserve to be a double digit favorite, and their game where they nearly covered the spread against Louisvile a week ago was completely misleading.  They got 14 of their 21 points off of 5 yards of offense when they blocked two punts in the game.  Tyrone Pigrome is being touted as a positive for this Western Kentucky team, but I think he makes the offense completely one dimensional.

Liberty lost a ton of guys, and only return 9 starters, and did not get to play last week so I get why the line moved from 13 to 14.5, but it's not justified in my opinion.  If anything there is some film out there on Western Kentucky, and the defense struggled big time containing a Louisville offense that features a mobile QB in Cunningham.  LIberty brought in Malik Willis from Auburn, a mobile QB, and I trust Hugh Freeze as the head coach in his second year.  He's a good recruiter, and a good offensive coach, so I expect Liberty will be just fine offensively, and should be in this game. 

I just can't believe this line.  The Panthers are a home dog to the Raiders and failed to cover, but they did play a solid game.  They have 6.1 yards per play scored 30 points and lost.  Tough to hang your head on that.  The defense might be a question but Oakland is much improved on offense as well.  Clearly there is some timing and issues going on with Tampa.  I dont understand going from a 3.5 point dog to near a double digit favorite.  Bridgewater is a very solid QB who isn't getting much respect here.  

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on UL-Monroe plus the points over Texas State at 7:30 pm et on Saturday.

We missed the mark with Louisiana-Monroe on the road against Army last Saturday as the Warhawks got their doors blown off at the hands of the Black Knights. They'll face a much different challenge this week and I'm confident they'll be up for it. Texas State dealt with a number of key absences, including QB Brady McBride, but still took Texas-San Antonio to double-overtime in a wild 51-48 loss last Saturday. I'm just not sure the Bobcats will be able to pick themselves up off the mat following an 0-2 start, and could get caught flat-footed against a Warhawks squad that looked so unimposing last week. UL-Monroe won last year's meeting by 10 points. This is a season that could quickly get away from Texas State if it isn't careful. Take UL-Monroe (8*).

Sean's 151-118 CFB run continues with THREE 10* TOP RATED winners on Saturday, keyed by TWO big ticket releases! Plus Murph is ready to build off a WINNING NFL Week 1 with a full slate of action on Sunday; don't miss out!