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Houston Texans.

Game 464.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

You know, folks, there is no debating the success of Josh Allen with the Buffalo Bills. However, in my opinion, he is not a money player. Let’s face it. They’ve made the playoffs with Allen at helm seven consecutive years. But yet still no ring. I will say this, when I first looked at this game, I was the Bills all the way. However, after looking more closely, I can’t see a reason why I wouldn’t play the home team Texans as an underdog. Even before the Texans got really good, they had their way with Buffalo. That’s right, they’ve taken seven of the last nine meetings straight up, going 6-3 against the spread. This includes wins and covers in the two most recent matchups between these two Conference rivals. If you recall a season ago, Houston rattled off nine consecutive wins to end their regular season, then took down Pittsburgh in a Wildcard only to be on the wrong side of Division playoff game against New England. Their defense is ferocious. One thing Josh Allen has trouble with is aggressive defenses. While, I think the Bills are a very good team, Ryans has experience and savvy under his belt, certainly better equipped here than new Buffalo head coach Brady. In my opinion, making a team with a superior defense an underdog at home in the first game of the regular season, is a mistake. Take the Houston Texans. Thank you.

1* Free Pick on Colts +3½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Sunday card has the 100% Opening Week NFL Play of the Year Tonight along with a TOP RED ZONE Release, The NFL TOP Level Unsurpassed Totals play and Sept specific MLB systems. Saturday TOP --- More Damage today NFL Comp Play below.

The NFL Comp play for Sunday is on the NY. Jets plus the point or two at 1 eastern. The Jets take on former coach Robert Saleh here on the road and while he may want some revenge for getting canned, it likely wont happen here today. Rob notes that game 1 road teams that won 4 or less last year are 4-0 straight up since 1993 vs an opponent like Tennessee that won 3 or less last year and the total in this game is less than 43. Look for NY to get this one and see our Teams wins Preview for the Jets below. GL Rob V-

The 2026 NY. Jets Team Preview and Totals Wins Prediction- OVER 5.5 WINS
The Most notable addition is bringing back former Jet Quarterback Geno Smith. While he is not the ideal guy for this team which is on the younger side, Geno can Sling it and while he may wind up throwing as many picks as Touchdowns the Jets should find the end zone more often and move the ball. They have an Improving offensive line and are bringing back starting Running back Breece Hall and star Wide out Garrett Wilson who appears healthy after an injury that saw him miss most of the season last year. The Jets also drafted the ultra athletic Tight end Kenyon Sadiq who can lineup in the slot and get down field and give the Jets a whole different look. Sadiq should be ready for opening day despite an early injury They also drafted a solid Wide out in Omar Cooper who will be a big threat both deep and on the tertiary routes. On Defense the Jets added perhaps the best player in the draft in David Bailey who is a solid edge rusher and has a high motor. He should make an immediate impact along with a solid free agent signing in Tvondre Sweat who will stabilize the defensive line. The Jets brough back Demario Davis as well as Star Safety Minkah Fitzpatrick and Jarvis Brownlee the the defensive backfield. This defense should be much better than expected and with the Jets having a decent offense they should not be out on the field all day like years past. The Jets will likely go Over the 5.5 win total this year as they have made several changes and should benefit from playing the 5th easiest schedule this year. Last season they were last in creating turnovers and with the defensive upgrades this season they will be far better off this season. Finally, The Patriots will likely regress a bit off the big bounce back season and Miami is not expected to be very good this year, so the Jets may get some rare divisional wins, even at 2-4 in divisional play they could get 6+ wins. While we wont go as far as a Playoff spot the Jets could get 7+ wins this season. Gl this season Rob Vinciletti

Lions -7

Locking this in early. Analysis to follow.

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50-36 NFL sides run! 410-351 54% +2337 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 5× Play Week 1 NFL Card going up, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Sunday night, MetLife, Week 1. Dallas at the Giants. This is not a mystery logo. This is a series that has been running since leather helmets, and the public still treats it like a Cowboys home game that happens to be in New Jersey. Somebody is laying a number. Somebody is getting it. The ticket is the hook, not the moneyline poster.

Dallas has owned the long ledger. That is on every football reference page if you want the century in one column. The Giants have owned enough nights in this building to make a short road favorite look expensive in September. You do not need an upset graphic. You need a one-score game. A 24–20 Cowboys night cashes the points. A 23–20 Giants night is the gift. A 31–10 Cowboys night is how you donate because you laid a touchdown before anyone had proven the new year.

Week 1 Sunday night does this. The national window wants the star. The building wants noise. Those two things do not always live on the same side of the spread. Last year’s tape in this rivalry has gone both ways. The all-time column still leans Dallas. The number on a road favorite in September is still a lot to ask when both clubs are installing and the backups are one snap from a two-minute drill.

You are not picking the Giants to run the East. You are buying a one-score MetLife night. Confirm the number is still a field goal to a touchdown. Then take the points. Let the public smash the road favorite because the star travels. That is how plus-3.5 gets to the window looking like value.

Bet the home dog of 3 to 7 in Cowboys-Giants games in Week 1 or 2.

That spot since 2018: 7-3 (70.0%) with an average spread of +4.6. (+3.6 units, ROI=32.7%)

Bet against a road favorite of 3 to 6.5 on Sunday Night Football in Week 1.

That spot since 2022: 9-5 (64.3%) with an average spread of -4.2. (+3.5 units, ROI=22.6%)

Bet the underdog in NFC East openers posted inside a touchdown.

That spot since 2023: 11-7 (61.1%) with an average spread of +4.1. (+3.2 units, ROI=16.2%)

Bet Giants plus the number at home when Dallas is a road favorite of 3 to 7.

That spot since 2019: 6-3 (66.7%) with an average spread of +4.8. (+2.6 units, ROI=26.3%)

Enjoy the window. Bet the points. Let the first quarter of the year show up before the chalk does.

( Ive down graded this play based on most books stealing back the hook) 

My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Tampa Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday.

We saw considerable regression from the Buccaneers down the stretch last season as they ultimately missed the playoffs after having it set up on a platter for them in the down-trodden NFC South. So obviously Tampa Bay has a chip on its shoulder entering the 2026 campaign but I'm not sure that will make a lick of difference. I think we're going to see the Bucs get involved in their share of shootouts again this year and in the season opener, that suits Cincinnati just fine. The Bengals finally have QB Joe Burrow healthy to start a season and he has all the weapons around him he needs to take his team on a 'Super Bowl of bust' type of run this year. The big news is that Cincinnati finally made some moves to bolster its much-maligned defense. I think the Bengals defense is well-positioned to come up with the splash plays needed to ultimately pull away in this particular contest. Bettors are hesitant to back the Bengals in Week 1 given their early season futility in recent years. I think this is a team with a fresh outlook, however, and one that brings a lot of optimism into its home opener. Take Cincinnati (8*).