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NFL  |  Sep 15, 2024
Rams vs. Cardinals
Cardinals
-1 -108
  at  CONSENSUS
in 2d

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals -1

The Arizona Cardinals improved down the stretch last year once Kyler Murray returned.  They built off that positive momentum all offseason and should be one of the more improved teams in the NFL.  I was impressed with the Cardinals taking the Bills to the brink in a 34-28 road loss last week, covering as 7-point dogs.

Now the Cardinals return for their home opener against the Los Angeles Rams.  This isn't the same Rams team as last year that made the playoffs because they have been decimated by injuries, plus their best defensive player in Aaron Donald retired.

The Rams suffered two more injuries to their offensive line in their opener against Detroit and now may be without as many as four starting offensive linemen.  Last year's Offensive Rookie of the Year in Puka Nacua suffered a knee injury against the Lions and is out for at least four weeks.  The Rams are also dealing with injuries at cornerback on defense.

Despite all these injuries, the Rams managed to take the Lions to OT, but fell short in a 26-20 defeat on Sunday Night Football.  The Lions really ran them over in OT with David Montgomery and bully ball.  The Cardinals are capable of doing the same thing with James Conner as they want to be a run-first team.

I question how the Rams bounce back mentally from that loss to the Lions.  They wanted revenge from their 24-23 playoff loss and came up just short again.  Matthew Stafford really wanted it against his former team and played as well as you could expect given the circumstances.  I question whether or not he can do it again with all these O-Line injuries and being without Nacua.

Speaking of revenge, the Cardinals want some of it themselves after being owned by Sean McVay over the years.  I would almost never beat against McVay when facing the Cardinals because of it.  But this is the best Arizona team he has seen in quite some time, and this is one of the worst Rams teams given all their injuries.

I'm expecting this line to climb due to these injuries as we get closer to Sunday, so getting Arizona -1 on Wednesday is a nice value currently.  Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

NFL  |  Sep 15, 2024
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Seahawks
-3½ -104
  at  BETVEGAS
in 2d

Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Seahawks -3.5

NFL  |  Sep 15, 2024
Bengals vs. Chiefs
Bengals
+5½ -110
  at  CIRCA
in 2d

The defending Super Bowl Champs started their season with a  hard fought prime time  win vs Baltimore and could easily follow that up with a letdown performance here vs a an opponent that choked against  under rated New England in week 1 action and is badly looking for redemption. . Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow  in his NFL career against sides like KC coming off a SU/ATS vcitroy , is 7-0 SU/ATS away. Im betting that the Bengals keep this game closer than the line might indicate. This game screams FG victory and it might not be the favorite taking the cheese.

Play on Cincinnati to cover

NFL  |  Sep 15, 2024
Chargers vs. Panthers
Chargers
-6½ -105
  at  LINEPROS
in 2d

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Carolina at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The knee-jerk reaction, as far as I'm concerned, was to back the Panthers plus the points in this spot, with the belief that they're not as bad as they showed in last week's rout in New Orleans. A closer look, however, leads me to believe that this line is a little light in favor of the Chargers. Note that an already talent-deprived Panthers defense lost arguably its best player in DT Derrick Brown to a knee injury on Sunday. Offensively there remain more questions than answers and I believe it's only a matter of time before we see veteran Andy Dalton take over under center, but likely not this week.

The Chargers performed about as expected in their home opener against the Raiders in Week 1. We're going to see a rather conservative offense from Jim Harbaugh's team this year, but that's not necessarily a bad thing. I actually think big-armed QB Justin Herbert can be very comfortable in this style of offense. While the likes of Mike Williams and Keenan Allen are no longer in the mix, I do think the Chargers have an underrated pass-catching corps. Meanwhile, RB J.K. Dobbins showed he can smash behind a terrific offensive line in last week's win. This is a key spot for Los Angeles as it will play a more difficult road game in Pittsburgh (the Steelers home opener) next Sunday. Take Los Angeles.