Bryan Leonard Free College Basketball Picks & Predictions for Today

971 Baltimore at Cleveland

Means & Plutko

We had a nice payoff on the Orioles yesterday, and today we get their best starter on the mound. Means owns a 55 game score his last seven starts. Posting a 2.61 ERA in the process. He has never faced the Tribe. Plutko is making his first start of the year, and owns a 47 game score and 5.77 ERA in his previous seven starts. In 80.1  big league innings he has permitted 22 home runs. 

It’s rare when you get a starting pitcher in this price range that has a 24% advantage over the opposition. We will once again fade the high priced Indians who are simply not the same team as recent seasons.

PLAY BALTIMORE

956 NY Mets at Miami

Mata & Lopez

These two combined for 14 runs yesterday easily surpassing the 6.5 run total. That’s a major rarity from these clubs as of late, especially the Marlins who had totaled 15 runs the previous nine games. It’s also a revenge game for Pablo Lopez who was hammered just eight days ago to these same Mets. He permitted 10 earned runs in only three innings of work. His game score was exactly zero. But he has pitched well at home with game scores of 71 against Atlanta and 54 vs the Cubs, two very good hitting ball clubs. In his only other start in his career against the Mets he had a game score of 56, allowing just two earned runs in six innings of work. Matz has a game score of 63 in his last five starts against Miami, permitting just six earned runs in 30 innings. 

PLAY UNDER

906 LA Dodgers at Cincinnati

Ryu & Roark

Both these pitchers are in excellent current form. In the last seven starts Ryu has a 68 game score with a 1.75 ERA. He’s on an amazing 46-3 strikeout to walk ratio in those games, including not walking more than one batter in any contest. We grade Ryu 38% better than an average MLB starter. 

Roark has a 54 game score with a 2.92 ERA as of late. He also owns a career game score of 59 against these Dodgers. 

In the season series the most runs scored in the five games has been seven runs. Neither team is in good hitting form right now. 

PLAY UNDER