Will Rogers Will Rogers
Rogers had gone 7-1 over the previous two days, before then going just 1-2 on Monday. Another well-planned three-game card though has "S-W-E-E-P" written ALL over it!
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 19, 2021
Canadiens vs Oilers
Oilers
-124 at linepros
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

The set-up: Edmonton is playing great right now. Montreal is playing poorly. These teams have played against each other five times this year (mostly at the start of the season), and the Habs are 4-1. This is a "revenge" game for the streaking home side and at this price, I definitely think the Oilers are worth a second look here. 

The pick: Montreal is coming off a 4-0 loss to Ottawa, while Edmonton is coming off a 3-0 win over the Jets. The Oilers are 4-1 in their last five when playing on one days rest, while the Canadiens are just 3-9 in their last 12 on the road.

This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the Oilers.

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 19, 2021
Canadiens vs Oilers
OVER 6 +104 Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: Montreal has traded wins/losses over its last five games. The Habs enter off a listless 4-0 loss to Ottawa and suffice it to say, I expect a much more concerted effort/push here. The Habs are still 9-4-3 on the road thi syear. They average 2.95 GPG, while allowing 2.76. 

The pick: Edmonton is off a 3-0 win over Winnipeg and it's on the entirely other end of the spectrum than its counterpart today, as it's won three of its last four. Overall the Oilers average 3.19 GPG, while allowing 2.79. Montreal is going to have to push the pace to keep pace, and that's going to also leave it open on the backend vs. this opportunistic Oilers' offense. This one has "over" written all over it.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Habs/Oilers.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 19, 2021
Rays vs Royals
Royals
-112 at BetCris
Lost
$112.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: After three straight wins over their arch nemesis, I think the Rays have a predictable letdown here. The hungry home side will look to take advantage and build off its 2-0 win over Toronto. Josh Fleming is 0-1 with a 1.80 ERA for the Rays, while Danny Duffy is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA for KC. 

The pick: Both teams have played well of late, but Tampa is primed for a letdown here after sweeping the Yankees. The Royals have been bottom-feeders for years, so there's no way they're going to take the foot off the gas at any point this season, especially when they're playing so well. The Royals have been sharp at home, going 7-3 and averaging over 5.0 RPG. Expect KC to find a way to deliver here.

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Royals.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 19, 2021
Jazz vs Lakers
UNDER 214½ -109 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: The Lakers won 127-115 here in OT two nights ago as an underdog. Suffice it to say, I expect a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring contest here. The Lakers are expecting AD back shortly, but they're still without LBJ and others. LA only averages 110.1 PPG, but it's one of the best defensive clubs in the league. Utah has turned into a scoring team, as it averages 117 PPG this season, which ranks third. 

The pick: The Jazz though have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which they allowed 125 or more points in. With a night off before four straight on the road, I think the home side comes out flat here in anticipation. This number is high, the play is the "under." 

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Jazz/Lakers.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 20, 2021
Bruins vs Sabres
Sabres
+1½ -105 at Draft Kings
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: There's no question that Boston has been playing better of late, but I think it's overvalued here against a Sabres team that's arguably playing its best hockey of the season right now as well. Boston comes in off a 6-3 win over Washington, and it's now won four in a row. The Sabres have been alternating wins and losses over their last six games, most recently off a 4-2 win here over the Penguins two nights ago. 

The pick: This is the opener of three straigth between the clubs and the Sabres play with revenge here after a 3-2 loss in these team's most recent matchup on April 13th. There's no way the home side doesn't give everything it has here. And the Bruins could easily get caught in "trap." In a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm grabbing the 1.5 goals of insurance.

This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Sabres.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 20, 2021
Giants vs Phillies
OVER 8½ +103
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: The Phillies go with Zack Wheeler, who is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA. Most recently he allowed three runs over six innings in a 5-1 loss to the Mets. Wheeler's been decent in the early going, and he's 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA vs. the Giants. Philly though has seen the total go "over" in seven of its last ten in trying to revenge a shutout home loss to an opponent (fell 2-0 in the series opener yesterday.) 

The pick: Logan Webb gets the nod for the visitors despite having some COVID related issues of late. He's 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA. Note that San Fran has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after holding its opponent scoreless on the road in its previous outing. I'm banking on these hungry line-ups being the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Giants/Phillies.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 20, 2021
Hornets vs Knicks
Hornets
+6 -110 at Draft Kings
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: Obviously the Knicks are the biggest surprise team in the league this year. New York has to be feeling damn good about its chances of landing a big off-season free-agent after its big season this year. However, after eight straigth blowout wins and covers, everything points to a classic letdown here, especially with another "cream puff" coming to town tomorrow night in Atlanta. The Knicks were super lucky to escape with a home victory last time out, nailing a three-point shot with no time left on the clock to force OT with the Pels, to then go on and win/cover by ten. 

The pick: The Hornets come in off a dominant 109-101 home win over the Blazers, proving that they haven't thrown in the towel either. And with the news that LaMelo Ball is cleared to start working with the team again, there's added incentive again all of a sudden. If Charlotte can win this game, it has contests upcoming vs. the lowly Bulls and Cavaliers, so a three-game win streak would be a very realistic goal here. Outright win? Possible. In the end though, let's grab up all these points!

This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Hornets.

SERVICE BIO

Age: 59 

Will Rogers believes that there is always value somewhere, and he wants to help you find it. Rogers is here to serve as your personal guide through the world of sports investing. He will help you navigate through both opportunities and pitfalls with the one goal to help you make money. 

These are some of the many attributes Rogers brings to the table.

Success: A proven winner in every walk of life.

Vision: A laser-like ability to focus on relevant data.     

Resources: A team of proven handicappers.  A vast network of contacts. 

Background

Rogers has worked hard his entire life and he's achieved success at every level. Five years in university. Five years in research. quantitative analysis. Twenty five years in his second passion of running high-end kitchens. He's rubbed shoulders with the rich and big players. Royalty, sometimes. He's built and motivated kitchen brigades. He's taken the heat and he's delivered the product. 

Before committing to sports investing full-time Rogers was working as a trouble shooter.  He was analyzing and resolving issues in failing workplaces. Rogers' career was intense and pressure-filled but he never stopped loving or following sports. With the advent of the Internet, participating in fantasy pools and investing in sports was a natural progression. Success followed. 

Achievements In Handicapping

Rogers officially turned "pro" in 2013. Since then, he's found success in EVERY sport. Right off the bat, his 2013 NHL season was nothing short of phenomenal. He won 67% of ALL plays (for the season!), going 97-48-4 and finishing +$24,786 in net profit! But many consider his most impressive achievement to date to be his incredible performance in the 2014 NFL playoffs. He was 18-3 overall, showing profits of more than +$13,000, and of course he had the Seahawks in the Super Bowl. Not to be outdone, in 2015, Rogers put together an outstanding College Football regular season (+$13,944).Most recently, NBA was Rogers' biggest MONEY-MAKER! He just finished the (2016-17) season by going 116-67-6 with sides and on an overall 17-7 playoff run (4-1 Finals).For whatever reason, May has ALWAYS been Rogers "time of year." 2016 saw him turn a $25,358 profit for the month. Incredibly, May of '17 was EVEN MORE PROFITABLE at $27,960.But even though NBA is now over, don't expect the profits to stop ROLLING in. Rogers has been *ON FIRE* throughout the first half of the MLB season!

Money Management/Rating Of Games

Rogers takes a conservative long-term approach to investing on sports.  He has seen too many sharp handicappers done in by mismanaging their money. 

He's not interested in unnecessary risk and/or high volatility. He's confident in his abilities.  But, he keeps his wager sizes to a small percentage of his bankroll and consistent.  He's content in the knowledge that his long-term strategy will produce profits. 

A 10* rated play represents 0.5 percent of his bankroll. 

Systems Used For Handicapping Games

Rogers and his team take pride in their day-to-day knowledge about every team on the board. They have a wide variety of proven handicapping techniques in their arsenal. Knowing when to utilize and employ is key. Quite frankly, methods will vary from day-to-day, sport-to-sport and week-to-week. Nothing works forever. An ability to shift on the fly and to adjust to changing market conditions keeps the Rogers' group ahead of the curve. 

Quote: "Even if you are on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there."