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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports- NBA/MLB action now on board. Get the info the books do not want you to have. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 30, 2021 Dodgers vs Diamondbacks |
UNDER 9½ -120 |
Lost $120.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Arizona righty starter GALLEN is 12-0 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GALLEN is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 0.943 and has seen his last three starts vs the Dodgers remain on the low side of the total. In a September start last year at Dodger Stadium, he held the eventual champs scoreless over seven innings on one hit. Under is 14-6-3 in Dodgers last 23 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Los Angeles will start Tony Gonsolin (2-1, 2.38 ERA) in the series opener at Arizona and he is more than capable of keeping this inconsistent Arizona offence at bay and helping this combined score to stay on the low side of the. number. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or less over his last 3 starts, after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 62-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 30, 2021 A's vs Angels |
OVER 8 -114 |
Lost $114.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Bassitt (10-3, 3.46 ERA) will be making his second try at setting a career-high win total for a season. He won 10 consecutive decisions after starting 0-2 this year, but he has struggled in three of his four starts in July and in his current form very susceptible to being lit up by a Twins offense that can show alot of explosiveness. LA ANGELS are 23-10 OVER after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. MADDON is 23-7 OVER in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the manager of LA ANGELS. The Angels are 14-0-2 OVER L/16 at home off a game as a dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits.LA ANGELS are 11-2 OVER in home games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 23-10 OVER after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. Over is 57-25-3 in Angels last 85 home games. Over is 9-4 in Angels last 13 vs. American League West. Over is 20-7-1 in Angels last 28 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play OVER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 30, 2021 Rockies vs Padres |
Padres -195 at William Hill |
Lost $195.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Rockies are 0-8 L/8 when right hander Jon Gray starts on the road after they won in his last start against the current opponent.COLORADO is 10-37 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.Padres are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Padres are 27-10 in their last 37 home games. Play on the Padres to win |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 30, 2021 Dodgers vs Diamondbacks |
Dodgers -178 at SC Consensus |
Lost $178.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The dodgers do their best work against sub par sides, like Arizona as is evident by a 42-11 mark in their last 53 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Dodgers are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona and get the nod here laying a little bit of extra lumber. The Dodgers are 17-0 L/17 as a road favorite of at least -125 after they were shutout last game. The Diamondbacks are 0-10 L/10 as a dog after they hit multiple home runs last game. ARIZONA is 2-16 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. Play on the LAS Dodgers to win |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 30, 2021 Twins vs Cardinals |
OVER 8½ +100 |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Cardinals will start Wade LeBlanc (0-2, 4.58 ERA) in the series opener. LeBlanc, who pitched for the Baltimore Orioles earlier this season, is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA in six career appearances against the Twins, including three starts. Meanwhile, Berrios (7-5, 3.48 ERA) is in line to counter LeBlanc if he isn't traded. Both hurlers and bullpens are according to my power rankings middle of the pack and could easily get slapped around a little bit today, which will see this combined score eclipsed. ST LOUIS is 10-0 OVER in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 10-1 OVER in home games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 10-1-1 in Cardinals last 12 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. MINNESOTA is 21-5 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. Over is 6-0 in Twins last 6 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. MLB Road teams (MINNESOTA) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP of 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 30-7 OVER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 31, 2021 Astros vs Giants |
Astros +106 at SC Consensus |
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| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Greinke (10-3, 3.48 ERA) has dominated the Giants over the years, running up a 14-3 record with a 2.18 ERA over 21 starts. He has never lost at Oracle Park in San Francisco, going 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA in eight starts and Im betting he gets continues those previous efforts and finds a way to take down the Giants at home today. Astros are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. Astros are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco. Giants are 4-15 in their last 19 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 3 games are 28-8 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the AStros to win |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 31, 2021 Astros vs Giants |
UNDER 8½ -107 | |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Greinke (10-3, 3.48 ERA) has dominated the Giants over the years, as is evident by a 14-3 record with a 2.18 ERA over 21 starts. He has never lost at Oracle Park in San Francisco, going 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA in eight starts and Im betting on more top tier pitching action today as Im betting he greatly limits the Giants offence here today. GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Giants counter with left-hander Alex Wood (9-3, 3.65), who has gone 4-0 with a 3.86 ERA in his last eight starts.Like Greinke, he has been brilliant vs the the Astros allowing just one run and eight hits in 14 career innings over three games, including two starts. He's gone 1-1 with a 0.64 ERA in those games. Im betting on a pitching duel in this spot play. MLB - Any team (SAN FRANCISCO/HOUSTON) - in an inter-league game, in July games are 284-190 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections. |
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