Alex Smart Handicapper Review & Free College Basketball Picks

A win on Tuesday would move UMass to 3-0 on the young season, its best start since the 2015-16 campaign and Im betting they get it. Tuesday will be UMass' second of three games this season against in-state opponents like Northeastern. Since the 2011-12 season, the Minutemen are 15-4 (.789) against teams from Massachusetts.

Play on Umass to cover

at Moda Center - Portland, OR  

Memphis’ No. 1 recruiting class  will have their hands full with an experienced Oregon backcourt . Lots of talent but a lack of experience will be the Tigers demise in this spot.

OREGON is 8-1 ATS  in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.Altman is 9-1 ATS  in road games after a game with 24 or more assists in all games he has coached which was the case in a DD beat down of Boise State last time out. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 54-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover 

Xavier lost 71-56 in Columbia, Mo. last season, and now have revenge on board. Both teams are 2-0 but home court advantage and pay back with a motivated group will be key to a cover for us here today behind what I bet is an improved interior D. XAVIER is 13-3 ATS L/16  in home games off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. 

Play on Xavier to cover 

The Wild are on tired legs as they will be playing their 13th road game in 18 outings to start the campaign. That will effect their defensive capabilities tonight here against a LA Kings team that plays a fairly wide open style of hockey and that takes alot of shots on net. The Wild have played 4 straight games that have gone over the total, with a combined 28 goals scored in those game for a 7 gpg combined average output. 

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 games when playing Minnesota.The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games

LOS ANGELES is 9-1 OVER in home games against horrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons.

Play OVER 

The Oilers arrive in Northern California having won two straight games, the latest a 6-2 thumping of the Anaheim Ducks on Sunday but Im betting they will have a tougher go of things here tonight in San Jose against the Sharks. Edmonton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Jose.

EDMONTON is 12-19 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.

Play on San Jose Sharks to win on the ML

After going 0-4-1 in a five-game stretch between Oct. 26 and Nov. 5, Colorado rebounded for victories over the Nashville Predators and Columbus Blue Jackets, but are in a bad spot here vs a Jets team that is playing very well and are on a two-game winning streak and are 4-0-1 this month.
Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado.

Play on Winnipeg to win on the ML

In addition to a three-game losing streak, the defending Eastern Conference champions are also dealing with their fair share of injuries. Defenseman Torey Krug will be the latest and now are in a bad spot vs a up trending Florida Panthers teamFlorida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston and get my support here tonight on a value line.

Play on Florida to win on the ML 

American was picked third in the Patriot League Preseason Coaches Poll and are a up trending under rated team getting points. AU is off to a 0-2 start after losses at Siena and against William & Mary, but according to my early season head to head matchup power rankings matchup well vs George Washington. 

Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on American to cover 

The home team has won every game in the all-time series and Im betting Marist here on their own home floor gets the job done again.

Marist won their first game on the road as underdogs last time out, and have been good bets in the past under these perimeters going  18-7 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog .

Play on Marist to cover 

Indiana has been playing some very good basketball of late, winning, 6 of their L/7 games, but are now on tired legs and prepare to play their 5th game in 8 days. With Oklahoma City beginning to score on a more consistent rate of late, are viable opponents here on this line.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like the Pacers are 1-18-1 ATS L/20 (2-18 SU) with less than two days rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

NBA Teams are 1-14 ATS /SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a win in a road game in which they had 30+ assists.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

 After Long Beach State won its home opener for the ninth straight season, the Beach will now return to the road to take on PAC 12 opponent Stanford. This is a very young Long Beach State team, but they have enough pure talent to stay competitive here tonight. 

Long Beach State  to cover 

North Texas   Mean Green returns three under rated  starters: Gibson, Roosevelt and Zachary Simmons. Coach McCasland  and must be respected here as underdogs vs a SEC group from Arkansas. Despite of the discrepancies on paper this program must not be underestimated in their ability to cover.  Note:  Rebounding has been a key point of emphasis for the Mean Green this season who during the offseason added considerable size. In a hostile environment , UNT matched the nationally ranked Rams last time out on the boards as each team grabbed 31.UNT turned its 12 offensive rebounds into 16 points while VCU who also grabbed 12 offensive rebounds could only muster up seven second-chance points. Arkansas is going to have their hands full here tonight. 

N TEXAS is 8-1 ATS  as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

N.Texas  to cover 

Davidson last at Auburn last time out, failing to live up their early season, hype. After watching parts of that game Im betting there is work be done in Wildcat land and living on reputation alone will not get done. I know Charlotte does not inspire bettors , but getting 10 plus points here on home court according to my projections makes for a viable underdog call. 

DAVIDSON is 15-30 ATS L/45 in road games after playing a game as a road underdog.  

Charlotte  to cover 

 When Pitt plays Robert Morris on Tuesday night, serving as the first guest in the Colonials’ new home, Jeff Capel knows what to expect.

“The place will be jumping,” Pitt’s coach said.

This is the grand opening of the new 45 million dollar facility for Robert Morris so Im betting on them stepping up their game and getting us the cover . 

Pittsburgh is off a  loss to Nicholls State, 75-70, on Saturday, and showed me their a long way from prime time. 

PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS  in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

Robert Morris to cover 

 CS Northrdige  has given up 87-plus points in consecutive tilts , and look ripe to get ravaged by the Pepperdine Waves. 

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 1-8 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.

Pepperdine to cover 

Oklahoma City is thundering into top form offensively of late, and as result of their decent Fg conversion rate and uptick in pace have scored 112, 1114, and 119 respectively, with all three going over as their D gets looser allowing 121, 108 , and 121 points. Tonight Im betting on that current form to continue which will force a capable Indiana side  that is in top form to push forward offensively and upping their pace and  gaining on a recent output of 120, 121, 112, 109 points  in their L/4 with 3 of those 4 games eclipsing the total. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Nets enter this road game against the Jazz having covered at a 15-6 ATS rate  in their last 21 vs. Western Conference and are  13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Jazz on tired legs after playing last night and are vulnerable here vs this type of uptempo side.

BROOKLYN is 27-12 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons

The Nets are 23-3-1 ATS L/27 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

NBA Teams like the Jazz  are 0-14 ATS L/14 with less than two days rest off a win in which they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - in non-conference games, off a road win by 10 points or more are 44-85 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

Sacramento is playing pretty good ball of late,  and are well rested, but an injury to starting point guard, De'Aaron Fox has caused what Im betting is an over reaction on the line giving us value with the home dog. Im betting veteran backup Cory Joseph will do just fine filling in tonight and give the Kings an opportunity for a win and more importantly cover  for the 4th time in their L/5 games. 

SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Note: NBA Teams are 0-12 ATS /SU as a road dog off a win as a favorite in which they had overtime (Portland ended a 4 game losing streak with a OT win vs Atlanta last time out)

The Kings are 18-1 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

Play on the Sacramento Kings 

Akron has shown zip this season, (excuse the pun) they have been horrendous and  have failed to win or even cover any of their first 9 games, thanks mostly to an undeniably bad offence. However, their defence is viable, and are only allowing 5.4 ypp, ranking in the top-60 nationally. Meanwhile, E.Michigan D, is not as good as Akrons, allowing  6.2 ypp and 4.8 yards per rush. On a night that is supposed to see bad weather in Akron, Im betting the Zips can run the ball down the throat of porous run D, and do enough damage offensively behind their only real offensive dual threat QB Kato Nelson, and get us the cover. Lets be brave here , and take the points.

E MICHIGAN is 10-22 ATS after allowing 37 points or more in 2 straight games.

Creighton is 2-9 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) as the coach of E MICHIGAN.

CFB Road favorites (E MICHIGAN) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 31 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 34-70 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Akron to cover 

 The Ohio University Bobcats  are 3-2 in the East Division of the MAC. and are not out of contention for their division as they enter this tilt against Western Michigan. However, to achieve their goal this is a must win situation vs a side Im betting they matchup well against especially here at home.

The Bobcats offense gets the job done , and while not spectacular are consistent averaging 29 points per game, which ranks 65th in the nation. Ohio averages 407 total yards per game, which ranks 67th in the nation. That includes 208 ypg in the air ( 89th in the nation,(  and 198 ypg on the ground (37th in the country). Defensively, the Bobcats allow 29 points per game, which is 78th in the nation.  

Western Michigan has averaged 36 ppg, and really rumble on the ground, but the same holds true for Ohio. I look for both sides to pound away with their ground games, but for Ohio to make a couple of more key stops on their own home field and to come out on top. Note: Western Michigan is 0-4 on the road this season, and are not performing at the same level they are at home.

Play on Ohio to cover 

Pacific faces Hawaii in an early season matchup. Pacific blew out Florida A&M by 22 in its last outing. Hawaii lost 81-75 loss at home against South Dakota in its most recent game. Pacifc had a much easier time than Hawaii and will be fresher, after Hawaii worked hard in loss to South Dakota. Advantage Pacific.

Warriors are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. West Coast.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Stoudamire is 10-2 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of PACIFIC. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

Villanova (1-0) Im betting are going to have their hands full  with a balanced Ohio State(2-0) attack that is extremely under rated. Both these teams have looked good but both have  shown some early seasons inefficiencies, but tonight I expect home court advantage to buoy the Buckeyes.

Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on Ohio State to cover 

Brigham Young goes up against Southern Utah in an early season matchup. Both teams last saw action this past Saturday. Southern Utah won 79-78 in overtime at Nebraska, while Brigham Young fell to San Diego State at home, 76-71. 

Southern Utah is ranked first in Division I with an average of 90.1 possessions per game and must be underestimated in their ability to cover in this spot.

SOUTHERN UTAH is 9-0 ATS  in November games over the last 3 seasons.BYU is 4-12 ATS  when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.Simon is 18-9 ATS  in non-conference games as the coach of SOUTHERN UTAH.

Southern Utah to cover 

  These teams are not performing at an optimal level right now  and I dont believe that Pennsylvania should be this be a favorite in a rivalry game  . La  Salle despite of still being in a rebuilding mode  has the athletes to keep this close . The visitor is 9-1-2 ATS last 12 in this series and Im betting on LaSalle to cover.

Play on LaSalle to cover 

Quinnipiac went 11-7 in MAAC play during the regular season, earning the No. 3 seed in the league's postseason tournament at the Times Union Center in Albany, N.Y.  and Im betting they are improved this season, and matchup well vs Brown on the road here tonight.Brown was picked No. 5 in the Ivy League Preseason Men's Basketball Poll.

QUINNIPIAC is 17-7 ATS  as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons and is 10-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.

BROWN is 4-14 ATS L/18 in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5.

Play on Quinnipiac to cover 

CSUB (1-1) is coming off a solid start to the season after earning a 50-point win in its regular-season opener and playing a thrilling matchup against South Dakota State. While Bakersfield fell against the Jackrabbits in double overtime, the `Runners put up a strong showing, especially on the offensive end and definitely have earned my respect on a DD dog line.Through the first week of the season, CSUB ranks 11th among all NCAA Division I schools with an average of 97.0 points per game . When looking at underdogs like this you have to feel confident that they have the ability to be competitive and if all else fails have the capability to give us a back door cover. Bakersfield passes with flying colors. 

N IOWA is 5-14 ATS  after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

Barnes is 20-8 ATS  after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more shots than opponent in all games he has coached since 1997.

Take the points with CS Bakersfield 

San Diego State took out BYU 76-71 for their first win in 33 times on the road in that series , and now will be in a monumental letdown spot vs a Grand Canyon hoops program that has beaten all three times they have faced them.There are only six Division I programs that the Aztecs have played at least three times in men’s basketball and never defeated: Duke, Villanova, Tennessee, Stanford, Washington State  and last but not least Grand Canyon. I know that Lopes HC Dan Majerle is down to a six-man rotation while awaiting the semester eligibility of three key players, but its going to be very hard for the Aztecs to muster a complete game here vs a side that they just might be over looking, no matter how prepared they say they are. 

Play on Grand Canyon to cover 

The Lakers played a aggressive game vs the Suns last night in a big win, that saw the team spread the ball around . Note: The Lakers are 0-14 L/14 UNDER at home after a game as a road favorite in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with a combined average of 193.3 ppg going on the board. Now on tired legs I look for a regression tonight, and for this contest vs the Golden State Warriors to end up on the lower side of the total. 

LA LAKERS are 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored and are are 11-2 UNDER  in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% or worse ) are 24-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

This will be a back to back for the Sixers and their 3rd game and 4 nights and  they will now be on tired legs vs a up trending Orlando team that is slowly getting back into a culture of winning.  Advantage Orlando. 

PHILADELPHIA is 11-25 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are just 7-24 L/23 seasons for a 75% SU conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

San Antonio looked asleep at the wheel last time out vs Memphis and lost as DD chalk. Now after that embarrassing effort Im betting on this talented but inconsistent team to step up their game against a Minnesota team that is playing at a high level, but due for regression after some hard fought affairs over a short period of time. 

SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS  off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more

San Antonio owns an 89-30 all-time series lead on the Timberwolves. The Spurs have won the season series against Minnesota 22 times in 30 seasons, including the last six.

SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 49-20 ATS L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

The Billikens, who are in the midst of a season-opening six-game home stand, enter Wednesday's game 2-0 after wins against Florida Gulf Coast (89-67) and Valparaiso (81-70). The Billikens have scored 80 or more points in the first two games of the season for just the second time since the 1990s and despite it still being early on the season, look like a very viable group and one of the better ones the program has put o the floor in a while and get my support here on their own home floor.

Ford is 30-19 ATS  in all home games as the coach of SAINT LOUIS.SAINT LOUIS is 9-2 ATS  in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

E WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on St.Louis to cover