Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports- /NBA/MLB/NHL action now on board. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS
1 day All Sports subscription of Alex Smart

With this subscription you get EVERY SINGLE PLAY released for the day of your purchase.  

*This subscription includes 2 Picks (1 NBA, 1 NHL)

3 days All Sports subscription ( Alex Smart Sports)

With this subscription you'll get every single play released for 3 consecutive days! This is our most popular subscription during football season because when purchased Saturday morning it gets you all of Saturday and Sunday's picks PLUS any plays on Monday Night Football!  

*This subscription includes 2 Picks (1 NBA, 1 NHL)

7 days All Sports subscription(Alex Smart)

Looking for some great value? Pick up a weekly package and get SEVEN DAYS full days of picks! It's easy to see why this is one of the most popular choices on the site.  

*This subscription includes 2 Picks (1 NBA, 1 NHL)

30 days All Sports subscription(Alex Smart)

SAVE A TON of money with a 30 Day subscription! You'll literally pay a fraction of the cost by signing up for a full month instead of making a single purchase each day!  

*This subscription includes 2 Picks (1 NBA, 1 NHL)

NHL SUBSCRIPTIONS
Full Season NHL Subscription
**4x Top 10 NHL handicapper!**

1-0 run in NHL dating back to 04/19/21.

This subscription includes EVERY NHL PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the Stanley Cup! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

*This subscription includes 1 NHL pick

NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA Season Subscription All Inclusive 2021
**2014 NBA Champion!**
**3x Top 10 NBA handicapper!**

$1,000/game players have cashed in $16,840 on my NBA picks since 03/17/21!

This subscription includes EVERY NBA PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NBA Finals! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

*This subscription includes 1 NBA pick

MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
2021 MLB Season Subscription/All Inslcusive
**Top 10 MLB handicapper in 2019**

364-338 run in MLB dating back to 04/01/19.

This subscription includes EVERY MLB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the World Series! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 20, 2021
Maple Leafs vs. Canucks
Canucks
+256
  at  LINEPROS
in 1h

Toronto is in a bit of a funk having lost 4 straight games, and are susceptible to being upset here again tonight in their current form vs a Canucks side that matches up well against them. Maple Leafs are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings in Vancouver.

VANCOUVER is 4-0 ATS  in home games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. VANCOUVER is 11-4 ATS   in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. VANCOUVER is 10-1 ATS  when playing 3 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Vancouver Canucks to win 

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 19, 2021
Thunder vs Wizards
UNDER 232 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Wizards are 0-12-2 UNDER L/14 at home with less than two days rest coming off a home win in which they never trailed. WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season with a combined average of 218 ppg scored. 

WASHINGTON is 10-2 UNDER  versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 UNDER  in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg scored. 

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 8 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 37-11 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 19, 2021
Canadiens vs Oilers
Oilers
-124 at Draft Kings
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Habs are on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights and 4th in 6 days. Thats not a good spot for them here in this road environment vs the Edmonton Oilers side that is 7-0 L/7 at home as a favorite. 

Canadiens are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.

Canadiens are 1-4 in their last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.

Canadiens are 2-8 in their last 10 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Play on Edmonton to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 19, 2021
Rangers vs Angels
Angels
-215 at Draft Kings
Lost
$215.0
Play Type: Premium

Dylan Bundy(RHP0-1, 3.32 ERA, 22 SO) has been off to a strong start and is coming off a solid outing against the Royals. He gave up two earned runs over seven innings with six strikeouts in a loss. In his current form he is a good bet here even at a higher price than I usually pay. 

TEXAS is 4-18 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 37-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 17-61 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on the LA Angels to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 19, 2021
Brewers vs Padres
UNDER 7 -113 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Joe Musgrove (RHP2-1, 0.47 ERA, 24 SO) It's Musgrove's first start in San Diego since he became a local hero by authoring the first no-no in franchise history. It's already been an eventful home-stand.  Musgrove was honored for his no-no on Friday, then he played left field in extra innings.Meanwhile, Brewers starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP)0-0, 2.12 ERA, 19 SO  finds the right tempo in his delivery, he pitches like an ace. He fought that throughout his last start against the Cubs, but he still delivered six innings of one-run ball, with one walk and six strikeouts.MILWAUKEE is 13-2 UNDER  in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.WOODRUFF is 8-0 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER   in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 7-0 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive home games this season.

Play on the UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 19, 2021
Dodgers vs Mariners
UNDER 8½ -104 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Joe Musgrove (RHP2-1, 0.47 ERA, 24 SO) It's Musgrove's first start in San Diego since he became a local hero by authoring the first no-no in franchise history. It's already been an eventful home-stand.  Musgrove was honored for his no-no on Friday, then he played left field in extra innings.Meanwhile, Brewers starter Brandon Woodruff(RHP)0-0, 2.12 ERA, 19 SO  finds the right tempo in his delivery, he pitches like an ace. He fought that throughout his last start against the Cubs, but he still delivered six innings of one-run ball, with one walk and six strikeouts.MILWAUKEE is 13-2 UNDER  in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.WOODRUFF is 8-0 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 11-1 UNDER   in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)SAN DIEGO is 7-0 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive home games this season.

Play on the UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 19, 2021
Cavs vs Pistons
OVER 212½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

These teams overall numbers might point to a lower scoring type of affair, but from a matchup perspective my projections estimate this total to be closer to 216 giving us a full possesion plus of value for an over wager. 

Bickerstaff is 12-2 OVER  in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more in all games he has coached with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. 

Pistons and Cavaliers have gone over in their L/9 meetings with a combined average of  (227.8 ppg going on the board. )

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher against opponent after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 114-70  OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate.

Play OVER

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 19, 2021
Jazz vs Lakers
Lakers
+6½ -110 at linepros
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

The Jazz are on tired legs and banged up entering this game playing their 3rd game in 4 days with some key injuries to Donavan Mitchell, and Rudy Gobert who is he plays will be less than 100%. Meanwhile, the Lakers are also missing their two top players Davis and James, but have come together as a team, behind a top tier brand of defense and deserve respect getting points in this spot play. 

Lakers are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.

Jazz are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

NBA Road favorites (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 67-102 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-4 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. 

Play on the LA Lakers to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 19, 2021
Suns vs Bucks
UNDER 234½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

The Suns were completely asleep at the wheel in their last trip to the hardwood losing a 111-85 decision at home to the Spurs. Could they have been looking ahead to this top tier tilt? Whatever the situation was, Im expecting a rebound here, and special attention played to playing top tier defensive effort. PHOENIX is 17-3 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more. The Bucks HC Budenholzer is 111-78 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with the combined average of 208.5 ppg scored. Its obvious both teams can light it up, but top tier D, will be on display tonight in this EAST vs WEST slugfest. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHOENIX) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 38-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 19, 2021
Grizzlies vs Nuggets
Nuggets
-5 -113 at BetCris
Lost
$113.0
Play Type: Premium

The Grizzlies beat the Bucks 128-115 in their last contest on Saturday and Im betting they will be in a letdown spot here in the Mile High city tonight. I know the  Nuggets are playing  through the loss of Jamal Murray, who tore the ACL in his left knee last week and is out for the season.  However, Denver has not missed a beat and have won two straight without its point guard and will be highly motivated in this spot play. The Nuggets are 16-11 ATS in 2020-21 when they are at least a 5-point favorite.

Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Grizzlies are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 11-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  71% conversion rate. 

 NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-30 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.7 ppg. 

Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 20, 2021
Dodgers vs Mariners
OVER 8 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Urías is in bad form after  allowing five runs (four earned) over six innings Thursday vs. Colorado. In his past two starts, Urías has allowed eight runs (seven earned) over 11 2/3 innings. More of the same negative action here will help the combined score eclipse this total. 

URIAS is 12-2 OVER  as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

URIAS is 10-0 OVER   vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

URIAS is 11-0 OVER  vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play over

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 20, 2021
Blue Jackets vs Panthers
UNDER 5½ +107
Play Type: Premium

#1 GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - JOONAS KORPISALO, FLORIDA - SPENCER KNIGHT

Both these teams are on tired legs after playing last night and in no way be ready to run and gun here this evening. 

COLUMBUS is 15-4 UNDER  in road games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% worse  of chances this season. 

COLUMBUS is 7-0 UNDER  when playing on back-to-back days this season. COLUMBUS is 10-1 UNDER  when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.


FLORIDA is 7-1 UNDER when playing on back-to-back days this season.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate.

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 20, 2021
Nets vs Pelicans
Pelicans
-2½ -110 at linepros
Play Type: Premium

The Pelicans consistently rise to the occasion when playing top tier sides and Im betting on them doing the same again in this tilt. When their 7th ranked ppg offence is hitting on all cylinders any team is susceptible to being beaten including the Brooklyn Nets. 

Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 28-1 L/24 seasons for a 97% conversion rate.

NBA Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 24-5 ATS L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play on the New Orleans to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 20, 2021
Blue Jays vs Red Sox
Red Sox
-110 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium
Eduardo Rodriguez(LHP2-0, 3.60 ERA, 12 SO)Two starts have equaled two wins for Rodriguez, who missed all of 2020 with complications related to COVID-19. Tuesday will mark Rodriguez's first home start of the season; he is 16-6 at Fenway since '18.

RODRIGUEZ is 16-1  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)RODRIGUEZ is 14-0  against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 11-52 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Boston Red Sox to win 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.