Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports-MLB/College Football/NFL action now on board. Get the sports investment info the books do not want you to have.
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NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
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**2014 NBA Champion!**
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 03, 2022
Blue Jays vs Orioles
Orioles
+122 at SC Consensus
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

Baltimores starter KREMER is 6-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) KREMER is 11-1  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)

Jays starter Jose Berrios (11-7, 5.37 ERA), is on a  two-game personal losing streak, and in his current form is fade material. 

The Blue Jays after a big weekend series and sweep against the BoSox this past weekend Im now betting on an emotional letdown scenario to give us an edge taking a viable home underdog in this spot. 

TORONTO is 3-8  against the money line off 2 straight home wins against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

MLB team (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), playing on Monday are just 14-30 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors.

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 25-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Baltimore Orioles to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 03, 2022
#Nationals vs #Mets
OVER 7½ +100 P
Play Type: Premium

NY Mets starter CARRASCO is 14-3 OVER  vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored. CARRASCO is 13-4 OVER  in night games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.7 rpg. CARRASCO is 23-11 OVER  as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.7 rpg. Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Abbott. 

Washington is allowing opposition offenses 5.7 rpg in night tilts and against division sides they have allowed 5.6 rpg. The Nats have alos allowed 5.1 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds and Im betting a frustrated NY Mets team tees off on them tonight and puts some extra runs on the board which will help eclipse this total.

Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 during game 1 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

NY METS are 20-10 OVER  vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 9.4 rpg scored. 

MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY METS) - after being swept in a 3 game series by a division rival, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-13 OVER L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in New York.

Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 03, 2022
Rays vs Red Sox
Rays
-132 at linepros
Lost
$132.0
Play Type: Premium

The Rays (86-73)  have dominated the Bosox this season, winning 12 of this season's first 16 head-to-head meetings with Boston. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here today. both sides has struggle of late, but TB gets the nod in this spot play. Rays are also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

TAMPA BAY is 9-0  against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less last 2 games this season.

BOSTON is 3-25  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 19-44  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or ,less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. BOSTON is 8-21 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival, with a winning percentage of between 46-49% on the season are 7-29 L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Tampa Bay to win 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.