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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything! Testing 40-21 66% NBA run. Plus $49000.00 CBB Totals run! NCAA Tourney action now on board. |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NBA | Mar 19, 2025 Mavs vs. Pacers |
Total 234 -110 at BOOKMAKER |
in 3h |
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The Mavs with their current roster have shown a lack of defensive efficiency and are currently taking part in wide open run and gun affairs, which bode well for a what Im betting will be a high scoring affair vs their run and gun opponents the Indiana Pacers. Note: The Mavericks have allowed 132, 122,137, 122,125, 129,126, 133, 130 in their L/9 games- (128.4 ppg on average) Im betting the Pacers who rank 7th in NBA in offense will hit in the high 120s to low 130s here and help this offered total to be easily eclipsed. Dallas away or neutral games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game are 15-1 OVER L/16 with a combined average of 243 ppg scored. Play over |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Mar 18, 2025 Bucks vs Warriors |
Warriors +3 -110 at circa |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Milwaukee looked over matched and exhausted in their last game out vs the Thunder, and Im betting their lack of conditioning behind an older group will rear its ugly head tonite. Doc Rivers in away or neutral games on the money line after a loss by 10 points or more is just 3-11 L/13 overall SU. The Warriors 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in the last five games hosting Milwaukee.Note: The Warriors have won 12 of their last 13 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.The Bucks have lost eight of their last 12 games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents. Previous to losing last time out the Warriors had won 7 straight, and 12 of their L/13 overall and have not lost back to back games, sine January. Even if curry does not play here because this is a back to back for the Warriors Im betting they have enough juice in the tank to upset the Bucks who to me are an inconsistent group. \ Play on the Warriors to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 18, 2025 North Carolina vs San Diego State |
North Carolina -4½ -110 at Buckeye |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. San Diego State has major issues on the defensive glass when not playing at home, ranking 336th in defensive rebounding percentage and allowing opponents to rebound 32.9% of their missed shots. They will have problems with a big aggressive offense here tonite. San Diego State in away or neutral games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ game are 0-10 ATS L/10 overall with the average ppf diff clicking in at -6.9 . Play on North Carolina |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
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