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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NBA | Dec 06, 2023 Jazz vs. Mavs |
Jazz +10 -110 at CONSENSUS |
in 4h |
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Dallas has lost two straight games and five of its past seven and according to my projections are being over rated here tonight. Note: Mavs Shooting guard Kyrie Irving (foot) and Tim Hardaway Jr. (back) are listed as questionable to play against Utah and if they do will be less than 100%. Utah has won three of its past five games, including a 118-113 overtime victory over the visiting Portland Trail Blazers as they playing all round tougher hoops by not depending on their two top scorers, ( Markkanen (23.7 points per game) and Jordan Clarkson (17.8) who are once again expected out tonight) DALLAS is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 35-14 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Hardy is 17-5 ATS against Southwest division opponents as the coach of UTAH NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - off a win against a division rival, in December games are 42-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jazz to cover |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Dec 05, 2023 Wild vs Flames |
Wild -110 at linepros |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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After firing their head coach Dean Evason the Wild have responded by allowing only one goal in each of the past three trips to the golden pond , while outscoring their opponents 13-3.The Wild have put together a strong turnaround and have momentum on their sides entering this tilt. Meanwhile, the The Flames are off a 4-3 home defeat to the Vancouver Canucks and are said to have lost their No. 1 goaltender Jacob Markstrom who left Monday's practice Monday with a lower body issue. Advantage Minnesota. .NHL Road Favorites against the money line (MINNESOTA) - off a home win against a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals are 30-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Dec 05, 2023 Suns vs Lakers |
Lakers -1 -110 at William Hill |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Lakers future HOFer James helped the Lakers to a 4-0 record in group-stage play of the inaugural event and the top seed in the West heading into the win-and-advance quarterfinals and Im betting he will be the difference maker here tonight her vs a Suns side that the Lakers have dominated of late winning 4 straight meetings. The Lakers opened their in-season tournament group-stage schedule with a 122-119 victory at Phoenix on Nov. 10. Los Angeles and according to my projections a rinse and repeart situation is once again in play. Note: PHOENIX is 1-9 ATS revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. PHOENIX is also just 1-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Dec 05, 2023 Knicks vs Bucks |
Bucks -4½ -110 at YouWager |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Winners in nine of their past 11 tilts, the Bucks will host the Knicks in an NBA in-season tournament quarterfinal battle on Tuesday. Milwaukee has won their L/8 home games and are 7-1 L/8 overall vs the Knicks and get the nod again here this Tuesday night. MILWAUKEE is 18-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs (NEW YORK) - off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 19-46 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better ), after 2 straight games making 16 or more 3 point shots are 19-43 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Dec 05, 2023 Weber State vs Utah Valley |
Utah Valley +3 -110 at SC Consensus |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UTAH VALLEY ST is 13-1 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 9-1 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.UTAH VALLEY ST is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.UTAH VALLEY ST is 9-1 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 20-3 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. WEBER ST is 1-10 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. UTAH VALLEY ST is 5-1 straight up against WEBER ST since 1997. Play on Utah State Valley to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Dec 05, 2023 Seton Hall vs Baylor |
Seton Hall +11½ -110 at circa |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Seton Hall has some injuries but are still more than capable of being competitive here this evening at Baylor. SETON HALL is 16-6 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons. SETON HALL is 13-4 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons.. Holloway is 32-17 ATS L/49 as a road underdog or pick in all games he has coached SETON HALL is 9-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (BAYLOR) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 41-81 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seton Hall to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Dec 05, 2023 Villanova vs Kansas State |
Kansas State +2½ -105 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. KANSAS ST is 10-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. CBB underdog (KANSAS ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Kansas State to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Dec 05, 2023 Louisiana Tech vs Stephen F Austin |
Stephen F Austin -3½ -110 at Mirage |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SF AUSTIN ST is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons. SF AUSTIN ST is 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points Play on Stephen F Austin to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Dec 05, 2023 Florida Atlantic vs Illinois |
UNDER 147½ -105 |
Lost $105.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two top tier teams go head to head here in what Im betting will be a physical affair thats see both sides pay special attention to defensive responsibilities in transition.. FLA ATLANTIC is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 137.2 ppg scored. ILLINOIS is 20-8 UNDER L/28 after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more with a combined average of 134.7 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (ILLINOIS) - off an upset win by 15 points or more as an underdog, on Tuesday nights are 32-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 130.7 ppg scored. Play on UNDER |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
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