Alex Smart Handicapper Review & Free College Basketball Picks

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Sacramento, played a great game last time out vs a very good Houston squad at the Golden 1 Center, but now Im betting on immediate regression from them here vs a Memphis team playing at home and that overall are more talented especially from a offensive standpoint. The Grizzlies are 10-3 SU / 9-4 ATS as hosts  this season so far. To put it bluntly this Kings teams D, is not that good, and are allowing a  38.1% from the land of trey, which is not a good omen against a run and gun Grizzlies side that ranks No.2 in the NBA in scoring ppg output. From a SRS perspective Memphis ranked 7th in the NBA (5.16)  while the Kings are ranked 17th with a 0.08 mark. Adding in a obligatory -4 home court advantage for the Grizzlies and I estimate a large 3 possession side advantage. 

Play on the Grizzlies to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Rio Grande Valley has been explosive on offense, ranking 12th in points scored on a per possession basis at home and here against a side with low volume flow and pace and bad possession record when attacking the young men for Rio Grande look especially good. Stephen F. Austin against conference opponents have failed to cover 17 of the L/22 times and when playing against a team with a winning record have failed to cover 14 of the L/17 times.

Play on rio Grande to cover

Samford 7-2 streaks in to this game having won 3 straight and matchup well vs a South Carolina State side that does not have consistent  point guard play ranking  280th in turnovers per possession on offense.  No flow no go as we back Samford to keep rolling and more importantly get us the cover. Note:

The Bulldogs rrank 1st in the nation in scoring at 92.9 points per game, while defensively the Dogs force the 3rd most turnovers per game with 18.9 per game. Bad matchup here for South Carolina State.

Play on Samford to cover

Detroit Mercy have allowed double-digit fast-break points in five of their eight D-I tilts this season, while Fort Wayne has scored double-digit fast-break points in five of their eight D-I outings behind a smallish lineup that can run and gun with the best of teams. Motown has the peremiter covered on D, and the rim jammed because of size advantage, but their clumsiness on the attack is lacking and according to my projections just done match up well, vs Ft Wayne side that ranks  46th in the nation in points scored per possession and 59th in turnovers forced per possession. Advantage Fort Wayne. 

// In the nation the Mastodons are:
    - 13th in turnover margin (6.0).
    - 14th in fewest turnovers (9.4 per game).
    - 25th in free throw percentage (78.7).
    - 37th in 3-pointers per game (10.1).
    - 46th in 3-point percentage (38.0).

Detroit Mercy in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game are 0-8 ATS L/8 with the average ppg diff clicking at -13.9 pg.Detroit Mercy in home games when playing against a team with a winning record are alos 0-8 ATS L/8 with the average ppg diff clicking in at -17.

Play on Fort Wayne to cover

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Purdue ranks  20th in the nation for rebound percentage  in road games  and are tough in this type of environment vs this type of hoops program that Penn. State puts on the floor.  This is a experienced Boilermakers side in the backcourt as they retain  a  shooting percentage of  42.1% from the land of the trey. Key variables here for me to back the road pup.Purdue is 6-0 L/6 against the money line versus Penn State since the 2022 season. Rinse and repeat.

Play on Purdue to cover

 Last season, the the Green By Packers visited Ford Field and took a  29-22  decision as as 8.5-point underdogs and I wont be surprised if they pull off the SU upset here. Yes, I know the Lions have really been rolling this season, but playing at the that high level of non stop attack football results in regression at some point, and last week against the Bears, in the 2nd half that became obvious in a game they were lucky to have won. I know where the public stands here, and Im going to go directly against Joe six pack and take the points with the hard working well coached underdog. The Packers are  22-11 ATS  as an underdog since 2019 and HC Matt Lafleur is a bankroll expanding 13-5 SU and 15-3 ATS as an underdog of +3 to +7 points dating back 5 seasons.  Green Bay vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season are 8-0 ATS L/8 opportunities and 7-0 ATS L/7 vs good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play in the second half of the season.

Play on the Green Bay Packers