Alex Smart Handicapper Review & Free College Basketball Picks

Nashville just suffered their third straight loss this past Thursday vs the Arizona Coyotes and now they come home exhausted after a 5 game road trip .The Preds  also have two  key injuries hampering their ability to rebound as their explosive forward Arvidsson and their top Dman  Subban are both out . Note. NASHVILLE is 0-5 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. With that said, look for the visiting Los Angeles Kings who are  2-3-0 under interim coach Willie Desjardins to find a way to take out the banged up and tired Preds on their own home ice. 

Play on the LA Kings to win 

JOHNNY BACH CLASSIC - Round 2 - Rose Hill Gym - New York, NY

This line Total has been pushed to nose bleed levels now making an under wager a viable investment opportunity. 

COLUMBIA is 12-3L/15  UNDER in road games in all tournament games with a combined average of 126.8 ppg going on the board. 

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13/ or more game on the season, in November games are 61-27 UNDER L/21 seasons for a  70% conversion rate for bettors. 

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (COLUMBIA) - good ball handling team from last season - committed 14 or less turnovers/game, after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers are 58-25 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

BAHAMAS SHOWCASE - Round 2 - Kendal Isaacs Gym - Grand Bahama Island

My own projections estimate this combined score to eclipse the 160 point plateau. 

Play OVER 

HALL OF FAME TIP OFF - Round 1 - Mohegan Sun Arena - Uncasville, CT
For No. 18 Michigan, it could be very easy to have a letdown on Saturday given the Wolverines are going from playing the defending national champions to a winless team. Which will Im betting make for a much slower paced game than the linesmakers expect.

Neutral court teams against the total (MICHIGAN) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 69-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 


Play UNDER

Both these teams are struggling to score. With Kenn State averging just 62.3 ppg and Old Dominion averaging 55.2 ppg. Both are playing methodical styles of basketball with their defences being their strong points. Kenn State allows an average og 60.5 ppg while Old Dominion allows 61.3 ppg. 

OLD DOMINION is 19-5 UNDER in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 . 

CBB Neutral court teams against the total (/KENN ST/OLD DOMINION) - in a game involving two struggling  offensive teams (63 or less PPG)  are 100-52 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play UNDER 

Drakes D, was exposed to be very weak last time out by the Colorado Buffs as they allowed 101 points in a loss. Today I expect Texas State a  team that is 2-0 on the season and off scoring 97 points last time out  to also do some damage.  Drake  will Im betting reciprocate with some offensive fire works of their own , in the one facet of their game that looks to be decent and that is their offence.  DRAKE is 6-0 OVER after allowing 90 points or more over the last 3 season with the average combined score clicking in at 160 ppg.DRAKE is 6-0 OVER as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of with a combined average of 150.3 ppg going on the board.TEXAS ST is 16-4 OVER  in road games off a home win with a combined average of 142.4 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

The Mavericks are playing top tier basketball at the moment as is evident by  on their  three-game winning streak  and overall  have won four of five trips to the hardwood. Thanks in part to a strong effort on  defense. Against  Utah  the Mavs held the Jazz to 31.3 percent field goal shooting after keeping Chicago and Oklahoma City under 40 percent in the previous two tilts. Tonight against a banged up Golden State team that looks out of sync of late and  playing without Steph Curry, I feel the Mavs have an advantage here as underdogs . on their own home floor. 

DALLAS is 35-18 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 28-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 18-8 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Warriors are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.

NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 12-38 ATS 5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

NBA Home teams (DALLAS) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 59-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover 

Both these teams need wins to be Bowl eligible which will make for a hard fought game. TCU rushing attack was down right bad last week vs West Virginia, but  should do much better here vs a Baylor side  that  is a league worst against the rush allowing 183.8 yards a game on the ground. TCU has  the best third-down defense in the league, limiting opponents to a 33.1 percent conversion rate in those situations (47-for-142).Baylor, strength offesnively has been meanwhile,   third downs by converting 45.5 percent (66-for-145) , but in a close game TCU D, looks set to be the difference maker. 

 CFB Road favorites (TCU) - after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game, with 5 offensive starters returning are 33-7 ATS L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on TCU 

The well rested Charlotte Hornets will be very ready to take down a  Philadelphia 76ers  off a gruelling game against the Utah Jazz last night. The Sixers have played well at home this season , but are just 2-7 on the road, and are fade material in this spot vs a side that was embarrassed by Cleveland last time out . But now on 3 days rest Charlotte will be out looking for redemption and also for revenge for a 133-132 OT  loss last week on the road to the Sixers. That game  showed me that the Hornets matchup well against their opponents as did a 105-103 loss in their first meeting here in Charlotte. 

 CHARLOTTE is 13-0 ATS  versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. 

PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 ATS  in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons

Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after 1 or more consecutive unders, good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 64-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days is 25-6 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined point differential clicking in at 6.3 ppg. 

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 45-16 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential clicking at 6 points. 

Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover 

A come-from-behind upset win over No. 22 North Carolina State and controlled fashion, now has Wake actually talking Bowl invitation. The 27-23 win was methodical in nature, which is different than how the Demon Deacons have played their games this season. Meanwhile, the  Panthers have alot to play for  as well, with a clear path ahead to the ACC title game against Clemson on the horizon. With that said, look for both teams to be conservative in their approaches today with neither wanting to make mistakes, which Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the lines makers expect. 

PITTSBURGH is 8-1 UNDER in road lined games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 47.3 ppg going on the board.PITTSBURGH is 6-0 UNDER in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 42.3 ppg scored  and  is 7-0 UNDER  off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 44 ppg going on the board.PITTSBURGH is 12-3 UNDER in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450  or more yards/game. 

Clawson is 23-9 UNDER in home games after playing a conference game in all games he has coached with a combined average of 47.3 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER 

Arizona is off a huge win vs the Nashville Preds on Thursday night but will now suffer what Im betting will be an emotional let down situation. ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS  off a close home win by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons. I know the Bruins played last night in Dallas but are one of the NHLs best conditioned teams and have also had a great deal of success here in the desert in the past as the  Bruins are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix. 

ARIZONA is 27-80 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Play on the Boston Bruins to win on the moneyline 

Louisiana Tech’s offense is led by junior quarterback J’Mar Smith has 13 passing touchdowns with eight interceptions and 2300+ passing yards and two rushing touchdowns and can light up the board in conservative duel threat fashion against the best of defences, which Southern Miss owns . Meanwhile, LA Tech is also solid defensively, but Im betting  Southern Miss should do fine here today no matter which one of their QBs starts ( Jack Abraham or Tate Whately). Im expecting more points than the low total estimations which are based on defensive stats alone. 

Play OVER 

Im a big supporter of Tennessee and really like the way the seniors and veterans of this football program have stood up for Rocky top. The defence has been terrific of late, against sub par offences, but will be tested in a big way this week when free wheeling run and shoot Missouri a team  that has averaged 35.5 ppg of offence this season and allowed 32.5 ppg in road games . Missouri has scored 63 and 50 points respectively in the last two meetings in this series and are viable bet to come close to those outputs again. Im betting the Vols will do their best to answer back in no quit fashion, which will result in a higher scoring game than many of the pundits expect. 

MISSOURI is 16-4 OVER after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers with a combined average of 65.8 ppg going on the board. 

Play OVER 

The last 2 weeks have seen the Longhorns  put  40+ point explosions on the board which Im betting is an anomaly and I'm also betting they fall back down to earth here this Saturday at least from a offensive perspective vs a Iowa State side that has allowed an average of  just 18.7 ppg on the road this season, I expect the Cyclones  a team that has scored just 23 ppg on the road behind  a  methodical approach, to slow this game down to a crawl, which will result in a score that stays under the Total. 

IOWA ST is 11-1 UNDER after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons

TEXAS is 6-0 UNDER  in home games after scoring 37 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.TEXAS is 10-1 UNDER  after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 season.TEXAS is 7-0 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over the last 3 seasons. 

CFB team against the total (TEXAS) - a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against a good defensive team (16-21 PPG) after 7+ games, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 24-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

This PAC12 matchup has the making of a big time take no prisoners  shootout. Arizona State offence has been very steady of late scoring 38,38,31 points respectively in their L/3 and here against a inconsistent Oregon D I'm betting they have a similar output in this spot. Meanwhile, Oregon despite of their inconsistencies their offence has been very explosive at home averaging more than 43 ppg, and Im betting they fire back with some fireworks of their own , in a tilt that I project will eclipse this total.

The two most recent meetings in this series over the L/2 seasons have seen 72, and 89 total points go on the board. 

OREGON in their L/8 against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average score of 69.8 ppg scored.OREGON is 18-7 OVER in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse with a combined average of 67.7 ppg scored. OREGON is 21-7 OVER  in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 with the combined average score clicking in a 70.8 ppg. 

Oregon has gone OVER 14 straight times at home coming off a loss where they failed to cover with the average combined score clicking in at  73.3 ppg. ( The Ducks lost at Utah last week 32-25)

Play OVER 

Last season  the Washington State Cougars were upset  in Tucson  against the Arizona Wildcats  as road chalk  by a 58-37count and now revenge is at hand for the Cougars at home here in Pullman this week.   I know Khalil Tate is a star QB, and gives Arizona a chance when he is healthy , but this is not a good situation for the Wildcats as they will have problems on the defensive side of the ball dealing with the Cougars deadly aerial attack and a overall 10-0 mark in the ITS battles. 

 ***Cougars quarterback Gardner Minshew II, the nation's leader in passing yards per game (385.2), and a Washington State attack that leads the nation in passing yards per game (392.3). The Wildcats rank 10th in the conference in total defense (417 yards per game) and ninth in pass defense (248.7 yards per game).

 WASHINGTON ST is 10-0 ATS  after gaining 325 or more passing yards in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. ST is 6-0 ATS vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 2 seasons with a average ppg diff of 14.2 . ARIZONA is 1-10 ATS in road games after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games.

Play on the Washington State Cougars to cover 

The Rebels  pulled off  huge upset last time out  when they beat the San Diego State Aztecs as 24-point dogs, 27-24. Im betting they use the momentum of that game to buoy them here in Paradise Island tonight vs a tired looking Rainbow Warriors side that has put alot of air miles  on their bodies this season. 

HAWAII is 0-11 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.UNLV is 6-0 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons

CFB  road team (UNLV) - off a win against a conference rival, with 4+ more total starters and an experienced QB returning against team with new QB are 44-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB  home team vs. the money line (HAWAII) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games against opponent after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 5-29 SU L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on UNLV to cover 

Georgia Southern is in the precarious position of coming into this road game in an emotional letdown situation after facing Troy last week at home and losing, which puts an end to their Sun Belt East conquest. It must be noted that Coastal Carolina Chanticleers do not make alot of mistakes , which is not a good omen for a Georgia Southern side, that has a 21 turnover margin this season. Georgia S. has failed to cover 6 straight vs teams like Coastal that have one or less turnovers a game on average. The Chanticleers have two games left and they need to grab a win to be bowl eligible, which makes them motivated home dogs. 

CFB Favorites of -175 to -400 vs. the money line (GA SOUTHERN) - opportunistic team (2.5+ TO/game forced) against a team with 1.25 or less TO/game forced after 8+ games, in conference games are 9-22 SU L/26 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Coastal Carolina to cover 

Senior citizen Hall of Fame coach of the year HC Bill Snyder in his final campaign  before retiring has had a down year, but still must not be discounted at home as the   Red Raiders come knocking. With Texas Techs Freshman  star QB Alan Bowman out with a collapsed lung injury Texas Tech will go with backup QB Jett Duffey who despite of looking good against Texas last time out, is still not ready for whats coming here in this nasty road  environment where the home team needs wins desperately to go Bowling this season and help their long time coach go out with hands raised. It must be noted that Snyder is 32-3 SU at home against opponents off consecutive losses like the Techsters are, including 11-0 ATS vs.400 or better opposition.

CFB ( TEXAS TECH) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 12-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFB  road team vs. the money line (TEXAS TECH) - off 2 straight losses to conference rivals, allowing 31 points or more against opponent off a home win are 3-33 L/10 seasons for a 91%  go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on KState to cover 

 Northwestern clinched the Big Ten West crown last week by  taking out the Iowa Hawkeyes and Im betting they won't be as motivated here this week in what should be a natural letdown situation. . Meanwhile, Minnesota  upset and pounded the Purdue Boilers, 41-10, as a 10.5-point home dog.   The  Gophers still need one win in their last two games to go bowling and will  go all out here to beat Northwestern  , because the following week sees them go to Wisconsin.  I know Northwestern somehow clinched the West this season, but they are far from being a top tier side, as is evident by an offence that is  ranked No. 112 in the nation and that has been out yarded by an average of 23 YPG. Add to that Minnesota has also had this game circled  and have revenge on board for a nasty 39-0 loss in Evanston last season and you have a viable wagering opportunity backing the home dog Gophers\. 

MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS off a upset win as a double digit underdog. 

CFB  road team vs. the money line (NORTHWESTERN) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points against opponent off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival are 3-33 L/26 seasons for a 92% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Minnesota Gophers to cover 

Utah State is a merciless offensive juggernaut  averaging 51 ppg in offensive production this season while allowing an average of 22.7 ppg. They are being asked to lay almost 4 TDS in this MWC road game vs the Colorado State Rams, but because of their lack of respect for opposing teams and their refusal to take their proverbial foot off the gas, Im betting they are a viable wager here to cover vs a side that allows an average of more than 38 ppg. 

HC Wells last 6 games as a 21.5 to 31 point favorite have seen his team average 53.5 ppg while allowing just 18.2 ppg, with the point differential coming in at 35.3 ppg for a perfect 6-0 ATS record. 

CFB Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (UTAH ST) - good rushing team - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 32-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Utah State to cover