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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing CBB 156-96 ATS 62% overall conversion rate that has made my dime players more than $49000.00 in bankroll expanding profits. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Feb 03, 2023 Hornets vs Pistons |
UNDER 241½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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These two struggling teams see this as an opportunity for a rare win, so Im betting on this being a very physical hard fought affair that stays on the low side of the number. Under is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 home games. DETROIT is 28-14 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 56-31 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving two struggling defensive teams ( 118 or more PPG) are 50-18 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 03, 2023 Air Force vs Nevada |
Air Force +11½ -115 at Mirage |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Nevada because of a perfect 11-0 home record are being over priced here according to my own projections that make this line closer -9 for the home side, thus giving us a full possession advantage taking points. Nevada beat air force by 6 on the road earlier this season, but it must be noted that AIR FORCE is 10-3 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season. Scott is 41-24 ATS as a road underdog of 10 or more points in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Air Force to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Feb 03, 2023 Magic vs Wolves |
Magic +5½ -110 at YouWager |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Orlando has revenge on board for a home loss they suffered on Nov 16th this season and will now have revenge on board. Orlando has won their L/2 visits to Minnesota, and are 8-0 ATS overall when seeking same-season revenge vs the Wolves. Magic are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Magic are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. ORLANDO is 10-2 ATS versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game this season.ORLANDO is 23-13 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season.ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. Magic are 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Minnesota. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Feb 03, 2023 76ers vs Spurs |
UNDER 237 -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Spurs offense is struggling mightily of late averaging just 107 .4 ppg in their L/5 trips to the court. This team as a whole looks winded and Im betting things wont get much better tonight vs a 76ers side that ranks 4th in ppg allowed in the league behind a deliberate 23red ranked pace. Note: The Spurs upset the 76ers way back in Oct of this season, but now with redemption at hand Im betting Philly will be wide awake here and ready to play a top tier brand of hoops tonight. Rivers is 35-19 UNDER ( in road games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 201.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 UNDER in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg going on the board. NBA team (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 10 or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 62-27 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNDER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 03, 2023 Kent State vs Akron |
Kent State +2½ -115 at Mirage |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Zips took the 2022 MAC Championship defeating Kent State 75-55 at Rocket Mortgage center. Now its redemption time for Kent State . I know Akron is undefeated at home this season, but Kent State snapped Akron's 30-game home-court winning streak at the JAR and swept the regular season series last season and are capable of pulling an upset tonight. KENT ST is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.KENT ST is 6-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game this seasonKENT ST is 9-0 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 season. KENT ST is 10-1 ATSversus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.KENT ST is 9-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Play on Kent State to cover |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
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