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Alex Smart Sports- NFL Thursday Nighter ( Side) Steelers @ Browns


The Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Cleveland Browns  in prime time NFL Thursday night action. Which side  has the edge? Your 100% Guaranteed answer is locked and loaded and ready to make the books pay for taking our action. Tests 37-24 61% NFL selection run and a 61% L/47 NFL Side conversion rate ! kick off after 8:15 pm et

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 12, 2019
Northeastern vs Massachusetts
Massachusetts
+2½ -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium


A win on Tuesday would move UMass to 3-0 on the young season, its best start since the 2015-16 campaign and Im betting they get it. Tuesday will be UMass' second of three games this season against in-state opponents like Northeastern. Since the 2011-12 season, the Minutemen are 15-4 (.789) against teams from Massachusetts.

Play on Umass to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 12, 2019
Memphis vs Oregon
Oregon
-3½ -113 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

at Moda Center - Portland, OR  

Memphis’ No. 1 recruiting class  will have their hands full with an experienced Oregon backcourt . Lots of talent but a lack of experience will be the Tigers demise in this spot.

OREGON is 8-1 ATS  in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.Altman is 9-1 ATS  in road games after a game with 24 or more assists in all games he has coached which was the case in a DD beat down of Boise State last time out. 

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 54-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oregon to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 12, 2019
Missouri vs Xavier
Xavier
-5 -109 at GTBets
Tie
Play Type: Premium

Xavier lost 71-56 in Columbia, Mo. last season, and now have revenge on board. Both teams are 2-0 but home court advantage and pay back with a motivated group will be key to a cover for us here today behind what I bet is an improved interior D. XAVIER is 13-3 ATS L/16  in home games off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. 

Play on Xavier to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 12, 2019
Wild vs Kings
OVER 6 -103 Lost
$103.0
Play Type: Premium

The Wild are on tired legs as they will be playing their 13th road game in 18 outings to start the campaign. That will effect their defensive capabilities tonight here against a LA Kings team that plays a fairly wide open style of hockey and that takes alot of shots on net. The Wild have played 4 straight games that have gone over the total, with a combined 28 goals scored in those game for a 7 gpg combined average output. 

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 games when playing Minnesota.The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games

LOS ANGELES is 9-1 OVER in home games against horrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons.

Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 12, 2019
Oilers vs Sharks
Sharks
-130 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Oilers arrive in Northern California having won two straight games, the latest a 6-2 thumping of the Anaheim Ducks on Sunday but Im betting they will have a tougher go of things here tonight in San Jose against the Sharks. Edmonton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Jose.

EDMONTON is 12-19 ATS  when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.

Play on San Jose Sharks to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 12, 2019
Avalanche vs Jets
Jets
-110 at pinnacle
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

After going 0-4-1 in a five-game stretch between Oct. 26 and Nov. 5, Colorado rebounded for victories over the Nashville Predators and Columbus Blue Jackets, but are in a bad spot here vs a Jets team that is playing very well and are on a two-game winning streak and are 4-0-1 this month.
Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado.

Play on Winnipeg to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 12, 2019
Panthers vs Bruins
Panthers
+150 at Bovada
Won
$150
Play Type: Premium

In addition to a three-game losing streak, the defending Eastern Conference champions are also dealing with their fair share of injuries. Defenseman Torey Krug will be the latest and now are in a bad spot vs a up trending Florida Panthers teamFlorida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston and get my support here tonight on a value line.

Play on Florida to win on the ML 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 12, 2019
American vs George Washington
American
+3½ -106 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

American was picked third in the Patriot League Preseason Coaches Poll and are a up trending under rated team getting points. AU is off to a 0-2 start after losses at Siena and against William & Mary, but according to my early season head to head matchup power rankings matchup well vs George Washington. 

Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Play on American to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 12, 2019
Hartford vs Marist
Marist
-1 -105 at 1BetVegas
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

The home team has won every game in the all-time series and Im betting Marist here on their own home floor gets the job done again.

Marist won their first game on the road as underdogs last time out, and have been good bets in the past under these perimeters going  18-7 ATS  off an upset win as a road underdog .

Play on Marist to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 12, 2019
Thunder vs Pacers
Thunder
+2 -109 at pinnacle
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

Indiana has been playing some very good basketball of late, winning, 6 of their L/7 games, but are now on tired legs and prepare to play their 5th game in 8 days. With Oklahoma City beginning to score on a more consistent rate of late, are viable opponents here on this line.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like the Pacers are 1-18-1 ATS L/20 (2-18 SU) with less than two days rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. 

NBA Teams are 1-14 ATS /SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a win in a road game in which they had 30+ assists.

Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 12, 2019
Long Beach State vs Stanford
Long Beach State
+13 -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

 After Long Beach State won its home opener for the ninth straight season, the Beach will now return to the road to take on PAC 12 opponent Stanford. This is a very young Long Beach State team, but they have enough pure talent to stay competitive here tonight. 

49ers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.49ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Pacific-12.49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.49ers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.49ers are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Long Beach State  to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 12, 2019
North Texas vs Arkansas
North Texas
+13½ -109 at pinnacle
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

North Texas   Mean Green returns three under rated  starters: Gibson, Roosevelt and Zachary Simmons. Coach McCasland  and must be respected here as underdogs vs a SEC group from Arkansas. Despite of the discrepancies on paper this program must not be underestimated in their ability to cover.  Note:  Rebounding has been a key point of emphasis for the Mean Green this season who during the offseason added considerable size. In a hostile environment , UNT matched the nationally ranked Rams last time out on the boards as each team grabbed 31.UNT turned its 12 offensive rebounds into 16 points while VCU who also grabbed 12 offensive rebounds could only muster up seven second-chance points. Arkansas is going to have their hands full here tonight. 

N TEXAS is 8-1 ATS  as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.

N.Texas  to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 12, 2019
Davidson vs Charlotte
Charlotte
+10½ -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Davidson last at Auburn last time out, failing to live up their early season, hype. After watching parts of that game Im betting there is work be done in Wildcat land and living on reputation alone will not get done. I know Charlotte does not inspire bettors , but getting 10 plus points here on home court according to my projections makes for a viable underdog call. 

DAVIDSON is 15-30 ATS L/45 in road games after playing a game as a road underdog.  

Charlotte  to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 12, 2019
Pittsburgh vs Robert Morris
Robert Morris
+10½ -103 at betonline
Lost
$103.0
Play Type: Premium

 When Pitt plays Robert Morris on Tuesday night, serving as the first guest in the Colonials’ new home, Jeff Capel knows what to expect.

“The place will be jumping,” Pitt’s coach said.

This is the grand opening of the new 45 million dollar facility for Robert Morris so Im betting on them stepping up their game and getting us the cover . 

Pittsburgh is off a  loss to Nicholls State, 75-70, on Saturday, and showed me their a long way from prime time. 

PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS  in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

Robert Morris to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 12, 2019
Pepperdine vs CS-Northridge
Pepperdine
-5 -115 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 CS Northrdige  has given up 87-plus points in consecutive tilts , and look ripe to get ravaged by the Pepperdine Waves. 

CS-NORTHRIDGE is 1-8 ATS  after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.

Matadors are 21-44-3 ATS in their last 68 non-conference games.Matadors are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Matadors are 7-20-3 ATS in their last 30 Tuesday games.Matadors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. West Coast.Matadors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.

Pepperdine to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 12, 2019
Thunder vs Pacers
OVER 213½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Oklahoma City is thundering into top form offensively of late, and as result of their decent Fg conversion rate and uptick in pace have scored 112, 1114, and 119 respectively, with all three going over as their D gets looser allowing 121, 108 , and 121 points. Tonight Im betting on that current form to continue which will force a capable Indiana side  that is in top form to push forward offensively and upping their pace and  gaining on a recent output of 120, 121, 112, 109 points  in their L/4 with 3 of those 4 games eclipsing the total. 

NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 40-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 12, 2019
Nets vs Jazz
Nets
+7 -109 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Nets enter this road game against the Jazz having covered at a 15-6 ATS rate  in their last 21 vs. Western Conference and are  13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Jazz on tired legs after playing last night and are vulnerable here vs this type of uptempo side.

BROOKLYN is 27-12 ATS  in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons

The Nets are 23-3-1 ATS L/27 on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

NBA Teams like the Jazz  are 0-14 ATS L/14 with less than two days rest off a win in which they had at least 5 turnovers less than their season-to-date average.

NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - in non-conference games, off a road win by 10 points or more are 44-85 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 12, 2019
Blazers vs Kings
Kings
+2 -105 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Sacramento is playing pretty good ball of late,  and are well rested, but an injury to starting point guard, De'Aaron Fox has caused what Im betting is an over reaction on the line giving us value with the home dog. Im betting veteran backup Cory Joseph will do just fine filling in tonight and give the Kings an opportunity for a win and more importantly cover  for the 4th time in their L/5 games. 

SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Note: NBA Teams are 0-12 ATS /SU as a road dog off a win as a favorite in which they had overtime (Portland ended a 4 game losing streak with a OT win vs Atlanta last time out)

The Kings are 18-1 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win as a favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

Play on the Sacramento Kings 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 12, 2019
Eastern Michigan vs Akron
Akron
+17½ -115 at Bovada
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

Akron has shown zip this season, (excuse the pun) they have been horrendous and  have failed to win or even cover any of their first 9 games, thanks mostly to an undeniably bad offence. However, their defence is viable, and are only allowing 5.4 ypp, ranking in the top-60 nationally. Meanwhile, E.Michigan D, is not as good as Akrons, allowing  6.2 ypp and 4.8 yards per rush. On a night that is supposed to see bad weather in Akron, Im betting the Zips can run the ball down the throat of porous run D, and do enough damage offensively behind their only real offensive dual threat QB Kato Nelson, and get us the cover. Lets be brave here , and take the points.

E MICHIGAN is 10-22 ATS after allowing 37 points or more in 2 straight games.

Creighton is 2-9 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) as the coach of E MICHIGAN.

CFB Road favorites (E MICHIGAN) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 31 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 34-70 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Akron to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 12, 2019
Western Michigan vs Ohio
Ohio
-1½ -108 at pinnacle
Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium

 The Ohio University Bobcats  are 3-2 in the East Division of the MAC. and are not out of contention for their division as they enter this tilt against Western Michigan. However, to achieve their goal this is a must win situation vs a side Im betting they matchup well against especially here at home.

The Bobcats offense gets the job done , and while not spectacular are consistent averaging 29 points per game, which ranks 65th in the nation. Ohio averages 407 total yards per game, which ranks 67th in the nation. That includes 208 ypg in the air ( 89th in the nation,(  and 198 ypg on the ground (37th in the country). Defensively, the Bobcats allow 29 points per game, which is 78th in the nation.  

Western Michigan has averaged 36 ppg, and really rumble on the ground, but the same holds true for Ohio. I look for both sides to pound away with their ground games, but for Ohio to make a couple of more key stops on their own home field and to come out on top. Note: Western Michigan is 0-4 on the road this season, and are not performing at the same level they are at home.

Play on Ohio to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 12, 2019
Pacific vs Hawaii
Pacific
+4½ -110 at 5Dimes
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Pacific faces Hawaii in an early season matchup. Pacific blew out Florida A&M by 22 in its last outing. Hawaii lost 81-75 loss at home against South Dakota in its most recent game. Pacifc had a much easier time than Hawaii and will be fresher, after Hawaii worked hard in loss to South Dakota. Advantage Pacific.

Warriors are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. West Coast.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Stoudamire is 10-2 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 as the coach of PACIFIC. 

Play on Pacific to cover 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 13, 2019
Villanova vs Ohio State
Ohio State
-1 -105 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Villanova (1-0) Im betting are going to have their hands full  with a balanced Ohio State(2-0) attack that is extremely under rated. Both these teams have looked good but both have  shown some early seasons inefficiencies, but tonight I expect home court advantage to buoy the Buckeyes.

Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on Ohio State to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 13, 2019
Southern Utah vs BYU
Southern Utah
+12 -110 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

Brigham Young goes up against Southern Utah in an early season matchup. Both teams last saw action this past Saturday. Southern Utah won 79-78 in overtime at Nebraska, while Brigham Young fell to San Diego State at home, 76-71. 

Southern Utah is ranked first in Division I with an average of 90.1 possessions per game and must be underestimated in their ability to cover in this spot.

SOUTHERN UTAH is 9-0 ATS  in November games over the last 3 seasons.BYU is 4-12 ATS  when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.Simon is 18-9 ATS  in non-conference games as the coach of SOUTHERN UTAH.

Southern Utah to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 13, 2019
La Salle vs Pennsylvania
La Salle
+8½ -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

  These teams are not performing at an optimal level right now  and I dont believe that Pennsylvania should be this be a favorite in a rivalry game  . La  Salle despite of still being in a rebuilding mode  has the athletes to keep this close . The visitor is 9-1-2 ATS last 12 in this series and Im betting on LaSalle to cover.

Play on LaSalle to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 13, 2019
Quinnipiac vs Brown
Quinnipiac
+6 -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Quinnipiac went 11-7 in MAAC play during the regular season, earning the No. 3 seed in the league's postseason tournament at the Times Union Center in Albany, N.Y.  and Im betting they are improved this season, and matchup well vs Brown on the road here tonight.Brown was picked No. 5 in the Ivy League Preseason Men's Basketball Poll.

QUINNIPIAC is 17-7 ATS  as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons and is 10-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.

BROWN is 4-14 ATS L/18 in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5.

Play on Quinnipiac to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 13, 2019
CS Bakersfield vs Northern Iowa
CS Bakersfield
+10 -108 at pinnacle
Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium

CSUB (1-1) is coming off a solid start to the season after earning a 50-point win in its regular-season opener and playing a thrilling matchup against South Dakota State. While Bakersfield fell against the Jackrabbits in double overtime, the `Runners put up a strong showing, especially on the offensive end and definitely have earned my respect on a DD dog line.Through the first week of the season, CSUB ranks 11th among all NCAA Division I schools with an average of 97.0 points per game . When looking at underdogs like this you have to feel confident that they have the ability to be competitive and if all else fails have the capability to give us a back door cover. Bakersfield passes with flying colors. 

N IOWA is 5-14 ATS  after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

Barnes is 20-8 ATS  after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more shots than opponent in all games he has coached since 1997.

Take the points with CS Bakersfield 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 13, 2019
Grand Canyon vs San Diego State
Grand Canyon
+12 -110 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

San Diego State took out BYU 76-71 for their first win in 33 times on the road in that series , and now will be in a monumental letdown spot vs a Grand Canyon hoops program that has beaten all three times they have faced them.There are only six Division I programs that the Aztecs have played at least three times in men’s basketball and never defeated: Duke, Villanova, Tennessee, Stanford, Washington State  and last but not least Grand Canyon. I know that Lopes HC Dan Majerle is down to a six-man rotation while awaiting the semester eligibility of three key players, but its going to be very hard for the Aztecs to muster a complete game here vs a side that they just might be over looking, no matter how prepared they say they are. 

Play on Grand Canyon to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 13, 2019
Warriors vs Lakers
UNDER 220½ -109
Play Type: Premium

The Lakers played a aggressive game vs the Suns last night in a big win, that saw the team spread the ball around . Note: The Lakers are 0-14 L/14 UNDER at home after a game as a road favorite in which they had 6+ double digit scorers with a combined average of 193.3 ppg going on the board. Now on tired legs I look for a regression tonight, and for this contest vs the Golden State Warriors to end up on the lower side of the total. 

LA LAKERS are 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.5 ppg scored and are are 11-2 UNDER  in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208.1 ppg scored.

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a terrible team (25% or worse ) are 24-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 13, 2019
76ers vs Magic
Magic
-1 -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

This will be a back to back for the Sixers and their 3rd game and 4 nights and  they will now be on tired legs vs a up trending Orlando team that is slowly getting back into a culture of winning.  Advantage Orlando. 

PHILADELPHIA is 11-25 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are just 7-24 L/23 seasons for a 75% SU conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 13, 2019
Spurs vs Wolves
Spurs
+2 -110 at 5Dimes
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

San Antonio looked asleep at the wheel last time out vs Memphis and lost as DD chalk. Now after that embarrassing effort Im betting on this talented but inconsistent team to step up their game against a Minnesota team that is playing at a high level, but due for regression after some hard fought affairs over a short period of time. 

SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS  off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more

San Antonio owns an 89-30 all-time series lead on the Timberwolves. The Spurs have won the season series against Minnesota 22 times in 30 seasons, including the last six.

SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

NBA Road teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 49-20 ATS L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on San Antonio to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 13, 2019
Eastern Washington vs St. Louis
St. Louis
-7½ -110 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Billikens, who are in the midst of a season-opening six-game home stand, enter Wednesday's game 2-0 after wins against Florida Gulf Coast (89-67) and Valparaiso (81-70). The Billikens have scored 80 or more points in the first two games of the season for just the second time since the 1990s and despite it still being early on the season, look like a very viable group and one of the better ones the program has put o the floor in a while and get my support here on their own home floor.

Ford is 30-19 ATS  in all home games as the coach of SAINT LOUIS.SAINT LOUIS is 9-2 ATS  in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

E WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on St.Louis to cover 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.