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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports-NFL/ College Football/NBA/NHL action now on board. Get the sports investment info the books do not want you to have. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-F | Oct 20, 2021 Coastal Carolina vs Appalachian State |
Appalachian State +5½ -110 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Chanticleers are ranked and deserve respect even as road favs. But App State has a reputation for being giant killers and also deserve respect especially as home underdogs. Coastal enters this year's meeting undefeated and have a huge targets on their backs while Appalachian St is perfect 2-0 at home. The Mountaineers have also won 23 of their last 25 home games dating back to the middle of the 2017 season and 6 of 7 meetings in this series. Mountaineers’ 8-0 SU when coming off a loss the past four seasons. Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road favorites (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 15-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate . Play on App State to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Oct 20, 2021 Astros vs Red Sox |
Astros +110 at linepros |
Won $110 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Houston exploded for seven runs in the ninth inning on their way to a 9-2 win in Game 4 of this series, leveling the best-of-seven American League Championship Series at two games apiece and Im betting on the Astros momentum to continue into this tilt behind starter Valdez who has posted a respectable 3-1 record with a 3.19 ERA in six career postseason games (five starts). In regular-season outings against Boston, the southpaw is 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA in four total appearances including two starts). Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, the flip side,the BoSox starter In nine career playoff games (six starts), has gone just 1-2 with a 6.91 ERA. Needless to say the top tier hurler, does not perform well under the limelight of post season play and is fade material here in this spot play.Astros are 11-5 in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Oct 20, 2021 Kings vs Blazers |
Kings +5 -102 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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.The Trail Blazers biggest problem last season under former coach Terry Stotts was their defense, which was ranked 23rd in scoring defense last season while allowing 114.3 points per game.Now new HC Billups has said he is working to correct that but that in Im betting takes away from the Blazers flow at least for the early part of the season. Meanwhile their opponents tonight the Sacramento Kings have looked good in preseason action and have done well getting their defense in gear by winning all 4 games with a 11 ppg diff. The Kings are now built for the two way game and get the nod tonight. SACRAMENTO is 35-19 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.Kings are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Kings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Oct 20, 2021 Celtics vs Knicks |
UNDER 218½ -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Knicks had success last year playing a grinding systematic brand of hoops and nothing will change this season. Meanwhile, Boston is a little banged up, with Horford is Out (COVID-19), Jaylen Brown is questionable (COVID-19) and Payton Pritchard is probable (nose) and their flow could easily be off here in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the offered totals number. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a home favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 home games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Oct 20, 2021 Bruins vs Flyers |
Bruins -135 at pinnacle |
Lost $135.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Flyers are off a big win 6-1 win vs the expansion Kraken last time out, but they have not been a team that has shown consistency over the last few seasons as is evident by the following trends. PHILADELPHIA is 7-17 ATS off a win or tie in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 5-13 ATS after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.Bruins are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. The Bruins are a solid team and when healthy like they are now a dangerous opponent for all comers. Add to that a top tier young goalie in Jeremy Swayman who finished last season with a 7-3-0 record and then stopped 27 of 28 shots against the Stars last Saturday you have a team back on the prowl in the East. Flyers are 8-21 in their last 29 games following a win.Flyers are 3-9 in their last 12 games as a home underdog.Flyers are 4-13 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bruins are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. Play on the Boston Bruins to win |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections. |
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