Brandon Lee’s College Basketball Best Bets & Daily Free Picks ATS

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Alabama -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide cashing in yet another cover as a 6.5-point home favorite against Missouri. Alabama has been the best kept secret in the country, as Nate Oats has this team playing way better than anyone could have anticipated in year one on the job. 

Crimson Tide come into this game having covered 10 straight games. They are 7-3 SU during this run with their only 3 losses coming on the road against Penn State, Florida and Kentucky. They have been absolutely dominant in their two SEC home games, demolishing Mississippi State 90-69 and Auburn (83-64). 

While Alabama is surging, Missouri comes in having lost 3 of their last 4 and are just 1-3 in SEC play with all 3 losses by double-digits. The only game the Tigers won was a home game against Florida where they shot a ridiculous 61.5% from the field. They haven't cracked 37% in any of their other 3 conference games. 

Simply put, Missouri is really challenged offensively and that just really puts them behind the 8-ball here against a dynamic Alabama offense that has scored 80 or more in 5 of their last 6 games. Crimson Tide play at the fastest tempo in the SEC and 3rd fastest mark in the country. 

Tigers are just 15-30 ATS last 45 as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points and 4-10 ATS last 14 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Alabama is 10-1 ATS this season when facing a strong defensive team that's holding teams to 42% or worse from the field and have covered 6 straight as a home favorite. Take Alabama! 

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50* NBA CENTRAL DIVISION PLAY OF THE MONTH (Bulls -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulls as a 6.5-point home favorite against the Cavs. While Chicago only has 3 more wins than Cleveland, there's no doubt in my mind they are the better team. 

The even bigger key here is both teams are playing on rest, which is a big advantage for the home team. Even more so when you factor in the Cavs were at Memphis last night and will be playing their 6th straight on the road. Both teams also had their flights into Chicago delayed last night until this morning. Another factor I think favors the Bulls. Give me Chicago -6.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Thunder -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Thunder as a 5.5-point home favorite. I played on OKC last night in a loss against Miami. It was really just a slow start, as the Thunder allowed the Heat to score 40 in the first quarter and fell behind by 14. They were the better team the rest of the way and I just think they bounce back here in a big way. 

Both teams will be on the second leg of a back-to-back, but there's a huge here for the Thunder playing their 3rd straight at home. Blazers on the other hand are playing their 3rd straight road game in a 4 day stretch and are likely to be without one of their best players in C.J. McCollum. Give me OKC -5.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Kings +9) 

I'll take my chances here with the Kings as a 9-point dog against the Jazz. Utah has been the hottest team in the league over the last month. Jazz are 15-2 since a loss to OKC back on Dec. 9th. Key here is they just had their 10-game home winning streak snapped in a OT loss at New Orleans. 

It's always tough to bounce back from a loss after a long winning streak like that. Also, Jazz are expected to get back Mike Conley from injury. That might appear like a positive, but I'm not so sure. I think they are better with Mitchell running the point and the chemistry of this team will be thrown off some. Give me the Kings +9! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS BLOODBATH (Va Tech -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hokies as a small home favorite against the Orange. I just feel that this is too good a price to pass up with Virginia Tech at home, where they are 9-1 this season with the only setback coming against Duke. 

Syracuse followed up an upset win at Virginia with a win over a bad BC team, which I think has them getting a little too much love here. Those are by far the worst two offensive teams in the ACC. BC is 14th in offensive efficiency in the ACC at 86.9 and Pitt is 13th at 94.3. 

These two also already played at Syracuse this season and the Hokies won that contest 67-63 despite a miserable night shooting (42%). They are much better offensive team at home, where they shoot 39% from deep a huge plus against the zone defense of the Orange. Give me the Hokies -3.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS NO-BRAINER (Penn State +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions as a small home dog against the Buckeyes. Big Ten home teams have gone 38-6 SU to start the season and I just think this is the perfect spot to jump on Penn State, who is going to give us everything they got having lost 3 straight.

Nittany Lions are also out for revenge from an ugly 106-74 loss at Ohio State earlier this season. While that result could lead some to take the Buckeyes here, Ohio State is not playing anywhere close to as good as they were back in early December. They had lost 4 straight prior to a 12-point win over an inferior Nebraska team at home. That included 12-point losses at both Maryland and Indiana, moving them to 0-3 in Big 12 road games, as they also lost by 13 at Minnesota. Give me the Nittany Lions +1! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS ANNIHILATOR (Oregon -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Ducks laying a short number on the road against the Huskies. I just think we are getting great value here because of the fact that Washington is 10-2 at home and just beat Oregon State at home as a pick'em. Thing is the Huskies have recently lost point guard Quade Green and in the 3 games he's missed the offense has scored 58, 58 and 64 points. 

I just don't think Washington can rely on their defense to beat a really good Oregon team, who is going to be 100% locked in after an upset loss at Washington State last time out. Ducks are also 12-3 ATS last 15 on the road and 7-2 ATS last 9 as a road favorite. Give me Oregon -2! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a 7.5-point home favorite against the Cyclones. Texas Tech is a better team than their 11-5 record would lead on and simply outclass ISU in this one. Red Raiders are 8-1 at home with the only loss coming against an elite Baylor team. 

Iowa State just isn't that good. Cyclones rely too much on one player and that just won't cut it in Big 12 play. ISU is 1-3 to start out Big 12 play and this is just not a good matchup for them. Cyclones are statistically the worst defense in the Big 12 ranking dead last in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. 

With how much their offense figures to struggle to score against an elite REd Raiders defense, this has blowout written all over it. Also, Tech is not just all defense. THey are the No. 3 most efficient offense in the Big 12 behind Kansas and Baylor. Give me the Red Raiders -7.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (SMU -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mustangs covering as a 5-point home favorite against the Owls. Perfect spot here to jump on SMU after they lost their last two on the road. One was a bad loss at ECU (big letdown spot) and the other as a hard fought loss against a really good Houston team. 

I'm confident SMU shows up in a big way here. Same can't be said for Temple, who is poised for a massive letdown after a huge upset win at home over Wichita State. Prior to that the Owls had lost 3 straight, including a double-digit loss at home to Tulane. SMU is the better team and we are simply getting a great price. GIve me the Mustangs -5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Oklahoma -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Sooners as a small home favorite against the Horned Frogs. TCU had started out 3-0 in Big 12 play thanks to a soft schedule that had two of their first 3 at home against Oklahoma State and ISU and the other a road game at K-State. Those are arguably the 3 worst teams in the league. 

We saw just how fortunate they were in their last game, as they got absolutely destroyed 81-49 at West Virginia. I get Oklahoma is off two straight losses, but this is a team I trust a lot in this spot, especially at home. Sooners are 6-1 at home with their only loss coming against Kansas in their last game. TCU only other true road game besides that West Virginia road blowout was a 2-point win at K-State. Give me Oklahoma -3! 

50* NCAAB PAC-12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 137) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 137 in Saturday's Pac-12 showdown between Stanford and USC. Stanford, Washington and USC are in a class all of their own in terms of defensive prowess in the Pac-12. The gap between them and the next best team is very noticable. 

Cardinal are No. 1 in defensive efficiency and No. 3 in effective field goal defense. USC is No. 3 in defensive efficiency and No.1 in effective field goal defense. This total is basically for both teams to score 70 and I have a hard time seeing either side get to 65.

UNDER is 30-15 in USC's last 45 conference games and 10-2 in their last 12 at home as a favorite of 6 or less. Give me the UNDER 137! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Wichita State -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Shockers as a small home favorite against the Cougars. This is simply too good a price to pass up with Wichita State at home, especially with the Shockers coming off a loss. Wichita State is a perfect 12-0 at home this season and we saw just how good this team can be at home in a recent 76-67 win at home over Memphis. 

One of the keys to beating the Shockers at home is to force them into making mistakes. Houston just isn't great in that department, as they are only averaging 12 forced turnovers on the season. Wichita State is 15-4 in their last 19 vs a team that averages 14 or fewer forced turnovers and a perfect 7-0 ATS at home vs teams who average 6 or fewer steals/game. Give me the Shockers -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Maryland -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Terps as a 5.5-point home favorite against Purdue. Big Ten home teams have been outstanding this season, going 38-6 to start out conference play. Maryland has helped that mark by going 3-0 at home in Big Ten play and are 10-0 at home overall. 

I just think we are getting a great price on the Terps because they come in having lost their last two on the road to Iowa and Wisconsin. Plus you got Purdue fresh off a 71-42 blowout win at home against Michigan STate. Boilermakers are just 1-4 in true road games with their only win coming at 212th ranked Ohio. They lost by 14 at Nebraska, by 26 at Illinois and by 6 at Michigan. Give me the Terps -5.5!