Brandon Lee’s College Basketball Best Bets & Daily Free Picks ATS

50* NCAAF VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (W Michigan +100) 

I'll take my chances here with the Broncos on the money line. I understand Western Michigan is winless on the road this season at 0-4, but two of those were on the road to Power 5 programs and the other two were mere 7-point losses at Toledo and Eastern Michigan. For me this is all about motivation and I think the edge in that department goes to the Broncos.

I get Ohio is mathematically still alive for the East division title, but they know their chances of winning the division are slim to none with them needing Miami (OH) to lose two of their final 3, when the RedHawks have to cupcake games at home against Bowling Green and Akron.

I just think it’s asking a lot for the Bobcats to show up with their best effort in this one, especially coming off last week’s gut-wrenching loss to Miami (OH) in what was easily their biggest game of the season.

This will be senior night for Ohio, but I don’t expect the home fans to send their seniors off in style. Temperatures for this game are expected to be in the low 20’s with wind chill in the teens. I just don’t see the fans showing up for this one.

As for Western Michigan, not only do they have a ton at stake, needing to win to stay on top the East Division, they definitely haven’t forgot about the embarrassing loss to Ohio last year. I not only think the Broncos win, but I could see this thing getting ugly. Give me Western Michigan!

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a small home favorite against the Thunder. Indiana has completely flipped the script from their 0-3 start, as they are 6-1 in their last 7. I just can't pass up on a team playing this well at home, especially against a OKC team that I think will be running on empty. Thunder are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and are massive game at home against the Bucks, which they lost in heartbreaking fashion 121-119. Give me the Pacers -3! 

10* FREE NBA PICK (Bulls -6) 

Chicago is a better team than they have showed so far this season and I believe a big part of the Bulls struggles early on is the schedule. Chicago had to play 6 of their first 10 games on the road and tonight will mark the first time all season they will get to play back-to-back games without traveling. 

Chicago also didn't have more than 1-day off under getting a 2-day break before their last game against the Rockets, so this team was simply running on fumes. Tonight's game will be just their second game in the last 6 days. 

Sometimes it can be hard to get up for bad teams like the Knicks, but that won't be the case, as Chicago lost at New York earlier this season. One they haven't forgot, as they blew a 18-point lead. Give me the Bulls -6! 

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50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs +10)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland as a double-digit dog against the 76ers. The Cavs have been a lot more competitive this season under John Beilein. They come in having wno and covered two straight and I like their chances of making a game of it with Philadelphia. 76ers have not been playing great of late, will be resting Al Horford and Ben Simmons is questionable. Even if Simmons plays, I would expect they try to ease him back. Give me the Cavs +10! 

40* NCAAB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 140.5)

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 140.5 in tonight's big college hoops matchup between Oklahoma and Oregon State. Both of these teams are really strong on the defensive side of the ball. It's why the total is what it is when Oklahoma is averaging 78 ppg and Oregon State is scoring 83.5 ppg. UNDER is 13-3 in the Sooners last 16 non-conference games and 13-4 in the Beavers last 17 after scoring 75 or more in 2 straight games. Give me the UNDER 140.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (E Illinois -19)

I'll take my chances here with the Panthers winning by 20+ at home against Chicago State. Eastern Illinois did themselves no favors to start the season, as they opened up with road games at Texas Tech and Wisconsin. They just missed out on a cover against the Red Raiders, losing by 25 as a 22.5-point dog. They then only lost by 13 to the Badgers as a 19-point dog. 

I expect the Panthers to be 100% locked in for their home opener tonight. Chicago State is not good. The Cougars went just 3-29 last year and were winless in the WAC. Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points who were outscored by 12 or more points/game the previous season are a mere 5-25 (17%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me Eastern Illinois -19! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Blazers as a small home favorite. I know Portland is in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and just lost as a favorite last night at Sacramento, but I still think they got the upper hand on a depleted Raptors team that won't have OG Anunoby, Kyle Lowry or Serge Ibaka for this one. Toronto also off a very emotional game against the Clippers, as that was their first game against Kawhi after he left town following last year's title run. Raptors are also playing their 4th straight on the road and 3rd game in the last 4 nights. Give me Portland -2.5!

40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SHOCKER (Magic +1) 

I got a good feeling we could see both Embiid and Simmons sit this one out for the 76ers and the line definitely suggests that's what the bookmakers are thinking. On top of that, Philadelphia is not playing great basketball right now and are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. All 5 starters played 31+ minutes in last night's mere 1-point win over the Cavs as a double-digit favorite, so even if Embiid and Simmons play I like Orlando here. Magic are desperate for a win and will be the much fresher team on two days rest. Give me Orlando +1! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (UConn -14.5) 

I'll take my chances here with UConn making easy work of St. Joe's tonight. The Huskies struggled in the first year under Dan Hurley last season, going just 16-17 overall and 6-12 in the American, but I'm expecting big improvements in year two under Hurley. Note that he went just 8-21 in year one with Rhode Island and by the time he left they finished 25-8. UConn was way undervalued in their opener, as they cruised to a 22-point win as a 16.5-point favorite against Sacred Heart. St. Joe's is in a full on rebuild, after losing 4 of their best players who combined for 54.4 ppg last year. Note the Hawks only averaged 70.5 ppg, so that's 77% of their scoring they must replace. Give me UConn -14.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Villanova +2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Villanova going on the road and knocking off Ohio State. I think the Wildcats are one of the better teams people aren't talking about. All Jay Wright does is deliver great teams. I mean they went 26-10 and won both the Big East regular-season and tournament titles and yet it was considered a disappointing season. I was on the Buckeyes in their win and cover against Cincinnati in their opener, but Ohio State was extremely fortunate to cover that contest. The offense is really hard to watch and I just don't think the Buckeyes will be able to keep pace offensively in this one. Give me Villanova +2.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (VCU -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with VCU as a small home favorite against No. 23 LSU. Anytime a ranked team is getting points against an unranked opponent, it's usually a good idea to take the favorite, especially if the public is on the road dog like they are here. The Rams went 25-8 overall and 16-2 in the A-10 last year (won the conf). They should be even better with 4 starters back. Will Wade is doing some nice things with LSU and there's a lot of talent there, but they are very young (basically entire roster is freshmen and sophomores). They lost 3 really good players from last year's team in Tremont Waters, Naz Reid and Kavell Bigby-Williams. I think that inexperience will be too much to overcome in their first road game of the season. Give me VCU -2.5!