Matt Fargo

This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. We lost a tough one last night with the Red Sox in a low scoring game that Houston stole in the eighth inning. Rick Porcello entered the eighth inning having retired seven consecutive batters and with 91 pitches on his ledger but gave up a two-run home run to cement the Astros ninth straight win. Boston comes in as an underdog once again, albeit not nearly as large as Friday, but that is where the value is once again as the Houston winning streak is playing the biggest part in this number. Despite the loss, Boston has rebounded from a bad start to the season as it is now two games over .500 after a 17-8 run over its last 25 games and the Red Sox are 4-0 in their last four games following a loss. The Astros have the best home record in baseball but they are just three games over .500 on the road and going back, they are 2-5 in their last seven road games against teams with a winning record. Corbin Martin is coming off a successful Major League debut as he limited Texas to just two runs on three hits in 5.1 innings while striking out nine. That was at home however and now he is making his first ever road start against one of the best offenses in baseball. Hector Velazquez counters for Boston and while he has been limited in his pitch count, he is coming off his best start and was stretched to his longest outing of the season which is very encouraging. 10* (974) Boston Red Sox

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We have been on Portland the first two games of this series and the Blazers head home in what should be a tied series as they gave Game Two away to the Warriors. If Golden St. can secure a split here, this series is likely over and it is up to the Blazers to keep hope alive after Game Three which is typically the time that home teams do respond after losing the first two games on the road. This is a pretty big deal in Portland tonight as Game Three will be the first conference final game in Portland since 2000. The Blazers lost that series to the eventual champion Los Angeles Lakers in seven games. Golden St. overcame a 15-point deficit at halftime, which was the second-largest comeback in postseason franchise history so there has to be some letdown coming from that as the Warriors hit the road where they are 4-2 in the postseason but could easily be 2-4. The Blazers tied for the third best home record in the NBA during the regular season while going 5-1 in the postseason and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Golden St. is 9-21 ATS in its last 30 games off two or more consecutive home wins and here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 90-46 ATS (66.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (548) Portland Trail Blazers

This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Minnesota put up 18 runs last night as the offense continues to dominate the Mariners pitching in this series, outscoring Seattle 36-11 in the first three victories. The Twins have now won five straight games to maintain a 505-game lead over the Indians in the American League Central. We expect those bats to cool off today however as they are facing the best Seattle starter in the rotation. Seattle opened this homestand with a pair of wins against Oakland and desperately needs a win before heading out on a six-game roadtrip. Yusei Kikuchi gets the ball for the Mariners and his 3.47 ERA and 1.07 WHIP both lead the teams among starters. He is coming off a no-decision in his last start against Oakland, which he allowed three runs on five hits over six innings against Oakland. That came after an impressive 10-1 victory in New York where he held the Yankees to just one run and three hits over 7.2 innings. He has tossed three straight quality outings. Kyle Gibson counters for Minnesota and he has had his share of struggles on the road, posting a 4.44 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in five starts but has benefited from big run support. Here, we play against teams that are batting .333 or better over their last three games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 0.80 or better over his last three starts. This situation is 37-14 (72.5 percent over the last five seasons. 10* (928) Seattle Mariners

This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Like Portland, Toronto is in must win mode after falling behind 2-0 in this series but after the Blazers blew an 18-point lead, we do not expect a repeat from the Raptors. Toronto is 37-11 at home and feasibly could have this series tied and home court advantage on its side. The Bucks, showing rust after a week off, needed a fourth-quarter surge to win Game One 108-100 on Wednesday. In Game Two on Friday, they dominated from the tip in a 125-103 victory to take a 2-0 series lead. The Raptors, after trailing by 28 points Friday, made a push to draw to within 13 in the third quarter and that was encouraging to see while the game was thought to be over. For the Bucks, the Friday victory continues a dominating run through the postseason, lifting them to 10-1 SU and ATS so far in the playoffs and with Milwaukee being the underdog, the public is all over the Bucks. Toronto 10-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games this season while Milwaukee is 7-21 ATS in its last 28 games off three or more consecutive home wins. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Toronto Raptors

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. St. Louis won Game Four in a must win situation to even the series and avoid a massive 3-1 hole and this game can also be put up in the must win category for both sides but we like the momentum the Blues bring today. Feasibly they could be up 3-1 at this point if not for the missed call in overtime in Game Three on home ice. The yare 6-2 on the road in the postseason with a lot of that due to defense. Rookie goaltender Jordan Binnington stole the show on Friday, setting a franchise record with his 10th playoff win as a rookie. Blues forward Sammy Blais is expected to play after taking a Brent Burns slap shot off the foot in Game 4, according to the St. Louis Dispatch. Blais leads all players in the series with 24 hits. For the Sharks, there is still no update on Erik Karlsson, who did not play for about nine minutes in the third period in Game Four and this could be a very big deal. Karlsson missed 27 of San Jose's final 33 games in the regular season because of a groin injury. He is clearly not 100 percent. San Jose is 11-20 in its last 31 road games off a road loss by one goal while the Blues are 23-6 in their last 29 games when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game. 10* (21) St. Louis Blues