Matt Fargo

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Star Attraction. We faded Denver on Friday after it took care of the Lakers the previous night and now we are backing the Nuggets against Oklahoma City for the second time in two weeks after they lost that last meeting in overtime. They are off a 39-point loss to the Knicks and in a good bounce back spot and not only avenging the two losses this season but also from getting ousted from the playoffs last year in seven games. Oklahoma City has won five straight games with the most recent win coming against Golden St. but the Thunder have not covered any of those games. Normally that is a play on situation but the situation overtakes that. Here, we play on road teams against division opponents off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 52-21 (71.2 percent) since 2022. 10* (549) Denver Nuggets 

This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CBB Monday Ultimate Underdog. Can Oregon St. actually win this game? Likely not but the abundance of points in a conference tournament cannot be discounted in this situation. The Beavers won outright against San Francisco last night and while the destiny narrative can be a used cliché, just look at Long Beach St. two years ago in a similar coaching situation. As mentioned yesterday, head coach Wayne Tinkle was fired despite exceeding expectations and given the choice of leaving or continuing to coach the Beavers and he chose to stay with the support of his players. Gonzaga is what it is and will always be overpriced and its best ATS streak this season came after that huge upset loss at Portland so the motivation was in place. Lookahead to the championship in play. 10* (847) Oregon St. Beavers

This is a play on the EAST TENNESSEE ST. BUCCANEERS for our CBB SoCon Championship Winner. East Tennessee St. was the Southern Conference regular season champions as it closed out the title prior to the final week where it lost both meaningless games and on the season in the conference, the Buccaneers 14-5 record saw the four losses coming by a combined 15 points and the other coming in overtime. They won both meetings this season against Furman including one in overtime and we are bucking the three-game proverbial sweep. We are seeing a short price with the Paladins who we went against Saturday in the upset of Samford. The Paladins had the opposite type of conference season, opening 7-3 before closing 3-5 with one of those wins coming against 1-17 VMI and we go contrarian with the 0-4 ATS Buccaneers run. 10* (840) East Tennessee St. Buccaneers

This is a play on the DETROIT TITANS for our CBB Monday Tourney Enforcer. Detroit came through for us last week in the opening round of the Horizon Tournament and as mentioned, this team is playing with house money and the momentum and confidence cannot be overlooked. The Titans had nine wins combined over the previous two years and this season, the Titans are 13-8 in the Horizon League alone and secured the No. 3 seed in the tournament and easily took out Milwaukee. They lost the two regular season meetings against Robert Morris so this is a buy low spot and an even more sell high spot against the Colonials. They have won and covered eight straight games after a very average 6-7 start in the conference and we go contrarian against that 8-0 ATS streak as the markets have to inflate the number because of that. 10* (837) Detroit Titans

This is a play on the MONMOUTH HAWKS for our CBB Monday Tourney Dominator. The Coastal Athletic Association conference tournament has already hit tilt with the top two seeds, UNC Wilmington and College of Charleston, out before the semifinals and the madness continues. Monmouth avoided an upset as it took out Drexel in the quarterfinals as the Hawks overcame a one point deficit at halftime to take two of three games against the Dragons and they will look to do the same here. Monmouth has won four straight games and seven of its last nine with the two losses coming against the aforementioned Seahawks and Cougars. Campbell is on its third three-game winning streak of the season after losing both regular season meetings to UNC Wilmington but the two prior three-game streaks involved Northeastern and William & Mary. 10* (832) Monmouth Hawks