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Matt Fargo |
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| CBB off a 2-1 Tuesday. The NCAA Tournament and NIT are both in action and Fargo is going to dominate. First Four Wednesday along with THREE NIT plays. Thursday full card ready with SEVEN Winners. THREE NBA Winners. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Mar 18, 2025 Cavs vs Clippers |
Cavs -4½ -108 at Heritage |
Lost $108.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Non-Conf Game of the Month. Cleveland is coming off a home loss against Orlando on Sunday which snapped its 16-game winning streak and it heads west for the start of a five-game roadtrip. As dominant as the Cavaliers have been at home, they have been just as dominant on the road, 30-5 in Cleveland compared to 26-6 on the highway and they have done damage as road favorites where the lines are playable, going 17-9 against the number. Cleveland is 23-6 ATS (79 percent) against teams with a winning record including 15-2 ATS against winning teams at .600 or below. The Clippers have won three straight and six of their last seven games after a slow start out of the break where they lost six of their first seven games. The offense has been the key as they have shot 48 percent or better in six of those games including above 50 percent five times but this is a tough spot against a solid defense and Los Angeles is 2-11 in its last 13 games after shooting 47 percent or better in five straight games. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 35-9 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +11.4 ppg. 10* (527) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Mar 18, 2025 Dodgers vs Cubs |
Cubs +140 at BookMaker |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Opening Day Sweet Spot. The Dodgers are the clear favorites to win the National League and take a second straight Word Series so they come in as a big favorite to open the season. We can talk rosters, lineups and pitching depth but that is meaningless this early in the season as we are going with the value and we will be fading Los Angeles as much as possible in certain spots. Despite going 98-64 last regular season, the Dodgers were a slight negative in profit so finding the go against spots is vital. The one roster note of significance is that Mookie Betts will be out for both games. The Cubs were on pace for the postseason in each of the last two years, but fell short and posted 83 wins in both seasons and they have made upgrades to now sit as the favorite to win the National League Central. They too were in the negative last season but going just four games over .500 with a public team can do that. When we have No. 1 starter against No. 1 starter, if the dog is significant without any other issues affecting the number, it is a take. 10* (988) Chicago Cubs |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 18, 2025 Wichita State vs Oklahoma State |
Oklahoma State -5½ -110 at circa |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CBB Tuesday NIT Supreme Annihilator. At 15-17, Oklahoma St. got the surprise call from the NIT but the Cowboys are a better team than that record indicates coming out of the Big 12 Conference. They finished last in the conference in NET Ranking but still a respectable No. 95 as their 1-14 Quad 1 mark hurt the record overall showing they could not play with the big boys, especially on the road where they are 2-10 but come in 12-3 at home. They are 14-3 outside Quad 1, all losses away from home and this is the number to jump on as Oklahoma St. went 0-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite but is 7-0 ATS when laying single digits, winning those games by 12 ppg and all by at least nine points. Cowboys coach Steve Lutz said they would welcome any postseason invitation so motivation is not a problem. Wichita St. is coming off a loss against Memphis by three points and that will be tough to overcome as the Shockers went in with some confidence and they come into the NIT with only one Quad 2 road win. 10* (682) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 18, 2025 Chattanooga vs Middle Tennessee |
Chattanooga +2½ -105 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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This is a play on the CHATTANOOGA MOCS for our CBB Tuesday NIT Underdog Dominator. Chattanooga went into the Southern Conference Tournament as the No. 1 seed after winning the regular season with a 15-3 record but lost to Furman in overtime which snapped a 12-game winning streak. It was a disappointment but the tournament was in the first week and they have been off since March 9th so they have had a good amount of time to get past that. They are a solid road team at 10-5 with three of those wins coming in Quad 2 games which is where this one falls with not much of a ranking difference from that of the Blue Raiders. Middle Tennessee St. snuck by Louisiana Tech in overtime in the Conference USA Tournament opener but then lost to eventual runner-up Jacksonville St. by a bucket. The Blue Raiders are a solid home team at 11-4 but there is not much of a home court edge. Middle Tennessee St. is 14-4 in Quad 3 games but 17 of those 18 games were against teams ranked worse than Chattanooga and three of those four losses were at home. 10* (677) Chattanooga Mocs |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 18, 2025 North Carolina vs San Diego State |
San Diego State +4½ -108 at betonline |
Lost $108.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CBB Tuesday First Four Winner. While the biggest uproar in the NCAA Tournament selections was North Carolina getting in, the metrics say the Tar Heels belong with a No. 36 NET Ranking and No. 33 in KenPom while the lines are saying the same thing. One of the main arguments was that they went just 1-12 in Quad 1 games and while that is totally valid in leaving them out, this first game does not fall into that, This is a Quad 2 game where they are 8-0 while going 21-1 outside of Quad 1, the only loss being a one point loss against Stanford. The thing is, San Diego St. in No. 52 so they are right on the edge and in those eight Quad 2 wins, four were by one and two points and three of the decisive wins were against teams ranked No. 69 or higher. The Aztecs were on the inside of the bubble all season and never left the first four in despite losing to Boise St. in the Mountain West Conference Semifinals. They have a good matchup with their strong defense and ability to control the pace. 10* (672) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Mar 19, 2025 Dodgers vs Cubs |
Cubs +132 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Wednesday Morning Sweet Spot. The bullpen let us down on Tuesday as Shota Imanaga went four solid innings but was pulled after 69 pitches but the bullpen cannot solely be blamed as the offense managed only three hits. We definitely expect more output from the offense and we are still in line with the starters with No.2 vs. No. 2 so we will run it back with the Cubs. The Dodgers will again be without Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman was a late scratch so his status is unknown and will not be surprising if the Dodgers sit him again. Justin Steele was solid last season in 23 starts as he posted a 2.68 xERA and that was after allowing 17 runs through his first five starts. Roki Sasaki was the big pitcher signing in the offseason and the Dodgers landed him. Over his four seasons with the Chiba Lotte Marines, he posted a 2.02 ERA while averaging just six hits per nine innings. He is familiar in this atmosphere but there will be huge pressure so while the anticipated success is out there, it could be a little too much in his MLB debut. 10* (990) Chicago Cubs |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |
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