Matt Fargo

This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Arizona is coming off a win in this series opener as it scored two runs in the bottom of the ninth inning. The Diamondbacks have won two straight but are still two games under .500 which is keeping this number down. Cincinnati has lost three straight and 11 of its last 12 to fall seven games under .500. Hunter Greene has been decent with a 3.37 ERA and 1.24 WHIP but his command has been below average. The Diamondbacks have the lowest strikeout rate in the National League (19.8%) and the sixth-lowest chase rate (29.6%) in baseball. Slade Cecconi has made four starts, three of which have been solid with just one bad outing where he allowed six runs against San Diego. Here, we play on National League teams averaging 4.7 or more rpg and with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more home runs per start going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. This situation is 43-18 (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (958) Arizona Diamondbacks

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This has been a road dominated series thus far with the road team taking all four games which is a surprise for two teams that went a combined 63-19 at home during the regular season. Minnesota was not horrible on offense in Game Four as it averaged exactly 100 points per 100 possessions, but they were completely outpaced by a Denver team that scored 121.8 points per 100 possessions. This came after averaging 114.5 points per 100 possessions in Game Three so the efficiency has been back following two bad games at home. The key is to limit their turnovers and get back in transition which is where Minnesota has the athletic edge. The Timberwolves have not had to fly into altitude on short rest yet and that can be a huge disadvantage as the first game here came with six days of rest. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six games against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 54-25 ATS (68.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (520) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Underdog Dominator. The Cubs have been shut out in the first two games of this series and it has been an up and down stretch after a hot start to the season. They are a game and a half behind the Brewers in the National League Central and are catching a great price based on the opponent. The Braves are doing Braves things again but still trail the Phillies by two games in the National League East. Despite being 13 games over .500, they are only +234 in the money which shows how much the process are inflated in their favor. Javier Assad has been outstanding this season with a 1.70 ERA and 1.06 WHIP through eight starts, allowing two runs or less in all of those outings. He was great after his promotion to the rotation last season and his .276 career ERA shows it is no fluke. Charlie Morton has been great of late after a couple rough outings against the Mets and Marlins and in his seven starts, the Braves are just 4-3 so there is no value with this price, especially going up against a dominant starter on the other side. 10* (909) Chicago Cubs

This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. After winning the series opener, Seattle dropped Game Two last night and will be out to nab the series before hitting the road with tough series against the Orioles and Yankees. Seattle is 8-0 against the money line after a loss by two runs or less this season. Kansas City has been a pleasant surprise this season with a 26-18 record as this young roster is coming together. The Royals are in a tough spot today though and they are 10-34 in their last 44 road games against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games. Bryan Woo missed the first six weeks of the season with right elbow inflammation and left his first start with forearm soreness but has been given the green light. He allowed just one hit and one walk over 4.1 innings in that opening start. Alec Marsh has been great for the royals with a 2.53 ERA and 1.03 WHIP through six starts with the Royals winning all six of those games so we are going contrarian. 10* (916) Seattle Mariners

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our Western Conf. Game of the Month. Oklahoma City was able to take Game Four on the road to even up this series and was able to regain home court advantage with pivotal Game Five on its home floor. The Thunder are 36-9 at home while outscoring opponents by 12.9 ppg which has led to a 29-16 ATS marl. The Thunder are a top-five team on offense and defense compared to Dallas, which is only a top 10 team on offense so the Mavericks have a much smaller margin for error and that is even more of a problem with Luka Doncic and his knee issue. The injury cannot be overstated. He is averaging 22 ppg in the series which is decent but he has .390/.310/.679 shooting splits and 44.8 percent Effective Field Goal Percentage which is nearly 13 percent lower than his mark during the regular season. Kyrie Irving has been inconsistent with his scoring so having to continue to rely on P.J. Washington for offense is not ideal. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having covered four or five of their last six games against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 55-25 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (524) Oklahoma City Thunder