Michael Alexander

Rating: 2 Units

The Over is 8-3 in Sabres last 11 vs. Central, 5-2-1 in Sabres last 8 road games, 9-4 in Sabres last 13 vs. a team with a winning record, and 31-15-8 in Sabres last 54 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. While the over 7-2 in Wild last 9 overall.

Rating: 2 Units

The Over is 5-2-2 in Penguins last 9 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game and 50-22-7 in Penguins last 79 vs. Atlantic. While the 20-8-1 in Senators last 29 games playing on 1 days rest, 20-8-2 in Senators last 30 overall, 9-4 in Senators last 13 vs. Metropolitan, and 13-6 in Senators last 19 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Rating: 2 Units

If it weren’t for Wichita State forward Markis McDuffie having an unprecedented offensive outburst, the Friars would be undefeated. They have a burgeoning star in Alpha Diallo surrounded by young talent and role players. The Gamecocks have received surprisingly little from big man Chris Silva. Freshman guard A.J. Lawson has been a nice surprise, but Providence has a number of players to throw at him defensively.

Rating: 2 Units

San Jose State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. While Cal State Bakersfield is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.

Rating: 2 Units

NC Asheville is  7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.  While Coastal Carolina is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Rating: 2 Units

Towson is are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games, and 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games overall. While Florida Atlantic is  4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day

This is not a good match-up for Dallas. Sure, the Texans have been surprisingly good but they are 27th in defensive 3-point field goal percentage. The Warriors are Number 1 in that category. The champs will not take this team lightly. Golden State was humbled by Houston on Thursday but no starter played more than 30 minutes. They just could not throw it in the ocean as the Warriors were just 4 for 18 from distance. Look for the Warriors to get after the Dallas guards as they only forced 5 turnovers against the Rockets. The Warriors can tire teams too as Coach Kerr plays a lot of guys

Rating: 2 Units

These are not your father’s Bulls. They started the year horrible off the glass and on the bottom third in the league in allowing points. The Canadians have been a bit banged up but for them, it’s better now than in April. The Raptors don’t beat themselves as they take good shots, they are 2nd in offensive field-goal percentage and they are in the top 10 from the free throw line

Rating: 2 Units

The Jazz can play defense at times but they started the season 24th from beyond the arc. They were in the City of Brotherly Love on Friday and in that game Utah made the mistakes of coming out flat and it cost them the game. The Celts are active and they can discombobulate clubs. They opened the season 2nd in allowing points and they have been the best in guarding the 3-point line.

Rating: 2 Units

Orlando has won three in a row but the last win was against Philly when they were getting used to Jimmy Butler. The other recent wins came against the Wizards and the 4 and 11 Knicks. This is an emotional stretch for LeBron. He has Miami and Cleveland on the horizon and issues will be raised. The Lakers seem to be figuring it out. They have won 4 in a row, 6 of 7 and the loss was in the second of a back-to-back game. Lonzo Ball will have to step up since Rajon Rondo is gone for several weeks but Lance Stephenson should be able to get some valuable minutes and Lance is a game changer. Picking up Tyson Chandler is big for the Lakers. He is a solid defensive compliment to the energized JaVale McGee.

Rating: 2 Units

Sweetly balanced Utes (232 rushing yards, 262 passing yards last week), with a 10-0 edge in L6:48 to take Oregon, 32-25. Lost their last road game by 25 points ATS, but Buffs failing by the week, losing L5 games SU, after opening year at 5-0. They've lost their L2 home games by 31½ &  18 points ATS. Utes 22-9 ATS away

Rating: 2 Unit

Still kicking myself for leaving Nevada off rated plays in destruction of Colorado State. On 4-0 ATS run (+63½ points), with Gangi at 280 passing yards per game and 20 touchdowns with 7 interceptions on the season. San Jose State a 718-127 rushing yard deficit L2 weeks. Resembles last year.

Rating: 2 Units

'Huskers have covered 5 straight, playing with abandon (193-174 point edge), with enviously balanced "O". But note last weeks 383-316 rushing yard deficit in 2-point cover vs Illinois. Spartan loss to Ohio State result of starting at own 5, 6, 3, 1,& 2 in 2nd half. Covered L2 road games by 17½ & 18 points

Rating: 3 Units

Line opened at Kentucky minus 14, and is now minus 16.5. Quite season for the 'Cats, who climbed to the 11th spot in the land, despite a less than potent offense, rather doing it with a defense which ranked 10th in total "D" thru 8 games. But that has all vanished, especially overland, where they've come from allowing just 110 yards per game, to ceding 273 rushing yards per game over the last 2 outings. And note a current 1-4 spread run. The Raiders, on the other hand, have covered 5 of their last 7, with 1 of those 2 misses by ½ point. Have won their last 3 games by a combined score of 128-59 (+38 points ATS).

Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week

Line opened at Baylor minus 1, and is now minus 2. How the pendulum doth swing. A near complete turnaround for these 2 this season. For the Bears, they've gone from last year's 1-11 log, to this season's 5-5, needing this for bowl eligibility. And for the Frogs, they've come from a perennial bowl squad (11-3 in '17), to a team which has been the victim of countless key injuries, resulting in a 4-6 log, with current spread runs of 0-7 & 1-10, failing to reach the 300-yard offensive plateau in 3 of their last 4 games, & are in off 47-10 loss to West Virginia (25-point ATS loss), while Bears pulled upset of Oklahoma State in their last home game. I'll lay the 2.

Rating: 3 Unit CFB Play of the Day

Nothing but superlatives, as far as Owls are concerned: 26-8 ATS (7-1 ATS LA: 2-point miss); 1,207 yards L2 weeks, vs Central Florida & Houston. Bulls a 133-74 point deficit L3 games, with 606-191 rushing yard deficit the last 2

Rating: 4 Unit CFB Mismatch Game of the Week

Most potent offense in Utah State school history: 804 yards last week (40 first downs). Now on a 7-1-1 ATS run, by 116 points. Rams on a 3-12 spread slide, with a 523-94 rushing yard deficit L2 weeks. No way this stays close.

Rating: 4 Unit CFB Game of the Week

Loved Pitt's rout of Virginia Tech, piling up 654 yards in the process (Ollison: 235 rushing yards). Panthers on 5-0 ATS run, by 92½ points, & at 410 rushing yards per game the L3 weeks. Wake slowing it down (lack of depth). Took NC State in L6:10, but have allowed 39.8 points per game in their last 5 games. More of same