Michael Alexander

Rating: 2 Units

I like the White Sox in a bounce back spot at home with a red-hot Sean Burke on the mound, who has given up one run or less in five of his last six starts. On the flip side, Hunter Brown has been in a big slump for the Astros, having given up 13 runs across his last three starts. The White Sox have a better bullpen and have been averaging 7 runs per game against righties in their last 10 games, so take them to win this one at home.

Rating: 2 Units

I don’t like the pitching in this matchup, as both pitchers have a combined 10.08 ERA and Pallante has been in poor form with a 5.71 ERA across his last three starts and much weaker at home with a 4.99 ERA. Both bullpens have been the third and fourth-worse in baseball after the break, so I’m expecting runs in this game. Take the over in this one.

Rating: 2 Units

The Boston Red Sox have been the hottest team in baseball as of late and will continue their push in Game 2 of this series on Saturday.  Sonny Gray’s elite recent form, a cold Toronto offense, and a scorching Boston home ledger make the Red Sox the confident side. Look for Boston to lean on their elite arm to do the job, leading to a victory against a divisional foe.

Rating: 2 Units

Do not overthink this one. The Brewers are sending the best pitcher in baseball on the mound in Jacob Misiorowski, who has the best ERA and the most strikeouts than any other pitcher this season. He will go up against Kyle Freeland and his 7.28 ERA and 1.56 WHIP, having given up 4+ runs in four of his last five starts and has an atrocious 0-6 record and 8.28 ERA on the road. Take the over.

Rating: 2 Units

We’ve seen low-scoring games in this series, but I’m looking at the over in this spot. Springs has a 5.96 ERA and 1.42 WHIP through 102.2 innings while Prielipp has a 5.00 ERA and 1.37 WHIP through 66.2 innings. Springs has allowed 12 hits and 8 runs in his last 9.1 innings, and Prielipp hasn’t pitched in a few weeks due to a finger issue. Who knows what he’s going to look like with a long layoff. The bats have to wake up eventually, and these pitchers should make it easy. Give me the over.