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Mike Lundin |
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| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| MLB | Jul 31, 2021 Orioles vs. Tigers |
Orioles -102 at CAESARS |
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Orioles vs Tigers Free Pick July 31, 2021 The Baltimore Orioles have won five of their last seven and seven of their last 10 games. Baltimore southpaw John Means (4-3, 2.94 ERA) is 3-2 with a 2.03 ERA on the road. Means has been roughed up in back-to-back outings as he's been working his way back from a shoulder injury, but it's only a matter of time before he finds his rhythm. Tigers' righty Matt Manning (2-3, 6.00 ERA) is undefeated at home, but I think the Orioles will get to him and Manning can't expect much backup from one of the worst bullpens in baseball. Free pick on Baltimore Orioles. Mike delivered a 3-1 Friday for his premium pick clients, and he's back with more action at the diamond Saturday. As a former poker pro, Mike is well aware of the importance of BIG BETS to maximize value when ahead in a hand. Sports betting is no different, and he's all set to punish the bookie with a MASSIVE 10*-RATED MAJOR WAGER at the ballpark EARLY on Saturday. Invest in Mike's AMERICAN LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK and unload on your bookie with 100% confidence. Explore Mike's full range of premium pick packages and subscription options on his handicapper page on this site as more picks might have been added since the publication of this free pick. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 30, 2021 Mariners vs Rangers |
Mariners -141 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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TOP-RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY Rangers' left-hander Kolby Allard (2-8, 4.71 ERA) has been tagged with 11 runs while allowing 13 base runners through 10 innings in his last two starts combined. The Rangers have lost each of his last seven starts. Mariners' rookie right-hander Logan Gilbert (4-2, 3.81 ERA) is having a solid first year, and he is 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA in five road starts. The slumping Rangers have dropped 13 of their last 14 games while the Mariners have been playing fairly well lately. With Seattle still very much alive in the Wild Card race, I really like the price we get on the visitors in this matchup. 10* play on Seattle Mariners. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 30, 2021 Phillies vs Pirates |
Phillies -130 at pinnacle |
Lost $130.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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MLB 3-PACK - PHILLIES The Pittsburgh Pirates are better at home than on the road, but they're still only 21-28 home at PNC Park. Pittsburgh right-hander Wil Crowe (2-5, 5.89 ERA) is 0-4 with a 5.58 ERA at home. Philadelphia right-hander Vince Velasquez (3-5, 5.54 ERA) is not having a great year, but I expect the Phillies' bats to bail him out. Note that that team has won four of Velasquez's last six starts and Pirates' Crowe is most likely in a letdown spot after striking out a career-high nine at San Franciscolast Saturday. 8* play on Philadelphia Phillies. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 30, 2021 Indians vs White Sox |
White Sox -1½ -101 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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TGIF RUNLINE RIPPER *NO-BRAINER* The Chicago White Sox return home from a disappointing seven-game road trip which saw them shut out in the last game at Kansas City on Thursday. Now they return home to Guaranteed Rate Field where they are 35-17 on the season. White Sox right-hander Lance Lynn (10-3, 2.00 ERA) has been phenomenal in his home starts, entering this game with a 6-2 record to go with a 1.64 ERA. Indians' righty Jean Carlos Mejia (1-6, 7.52 ERA) is having a rough year, and he is 1-4 with an 8.34 ERA on the road. Through his last three starts overall, Mejia has allowed 15 runs and 24 base runners through 13 innings of work. 8* play on Chicago White Sox -1.5. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 30, 2021 Twins vs Cardinals |
UNDER 8½ -111 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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TWINS @ CARDINALS BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL The Twins took a 17-14 loss to Detroit on Wednesday, but I expect a much lower scoring affair here in the opener of a three-game set at St. Louis. Twins right-hander Jose Berrios (7-5, 3.48 ERA) has 2.92 ERA in two career starts against the Cardinals. He allowed only three hits and no earned runs in seven innings of a 2-1 loss to the Halos in his last start. The Cards counter with left-hander Wade LeBlanc (0-2, 4.58 ERA) who has posted a solid 3.45 ERA since coming to the team in midseason. Under is 13-4 in Cardinals last 17 games as a home underdog. Under is 14-3-1 in the last 18 meetings. Under is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in St. Louis. 8* play on UNDER. |
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| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 31, 2021 Royals vs Blue Jays |
Blue Jays -1½ -110 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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EARLY TOP-RATED 10* AMERICAN LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK The Kansas City Royals took a 6-4 loss here at Rogers Centre on Friday to fall to 17-32 on the road. For Saturday, they hand the ball to left-hander Mike Minor (8-8, 5.32 ERA) who is coming off a couple of solid outings, but here he'll face a Toronto team that is averaging 6.05 runs per nine innings at home. KC meanwhile is averaging only 3.62 runs per game on the road, and Toronto righty Alek Manoah (2-1, 2.90 ERA) is 1-0 with a 2.20 ERA through 16 2/3 innings at home. 10* play on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Mike Lundin's experience as a professional poker player has proven to be an immeasurable asset in sports handicapping. He's a numbers guy, with a keen eye for spotting trends and stats that just don't jive with the odds offered by the bookmakers. All Mike's plays come with write ups backing up his selection, giving you a glimpse into his process of breaking down games. ----How to bet Mike Lundin's Picks---- Mike rates his plays between 1-10* with 10* being the maximum. Most plays will be 8-10* as he advocates more of a flat betting approach in order to minimize the variance. Mike recommends betting his 8* plays with 2.5% of your bankroll and the 10* releases with 3% of your bankroll. Bet Mike's free picks with 1.5% of your bankroll. Just as in cash game poker, the goal is not to win that giant pot once in a while, but to build your bankroll slow and steady by identifying +EV situations to exploit. ----How does Mike Lundin make his Picks---- As a former online poker pro, Mike knows the value of creating systems and winning formulas through statistical analysis and math to use as a baseline, but much like poker, sports are played by human beings with emotions and feelings. Identifying letdown spots, bounce-back spots and situational betting in general plays a big part in Mike's success in picking winners, but he's also not a stranger to locking in a bet based on stats and trends alone. |
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