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Alex Smart Sports- CFB Friday Night Lights Total - Tests

The Iowa Hawkeyes and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights do battle in College Football action this Friday night. Which side of the Total will the combined score fall on? Your answer is locked and loaded and ready to make the books pay for taking our scholastic gridiron action. Tests 10-5 66% CFB overall run! Kick off after 8 pmet

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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2025
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State
Tulsa
+11½ -108
  at  HERITAGE
in 17h

Through two games this season, Tulsa QB  Hayes has passed for 323 yards and 2 TDs on 36 completions, while also scoring twice by using his legs to blast into the end zone..In his limited career, Hayes is completing 64% of his passes and averaging 9.3 yards per attempt.  On D Tulsa's   has smashed and grabbed heir way to  eight sacks through three games, ranking 35th nationally (2.7 per game).It must also be noted that  TU's defense has been impenetrable  to start games — opponents have been held scoreless on their opening drives in all three of their tilts. Through three games, Tulsa has allowed just 11 total yards on their ‘oppositions  first possession. Thats not good omen for an Oklahoma State side that needs to start fast after last weeks  69-3 beatdown at Oregon . 

Tulsa has a 115 yards per game better  offensively and 90 per game on defense vs Oklahoma State. The Cowboys have not won a game since last season and despite of  HC Gundy being on the hot seat it really looks like he has lost this group, and expecting big bounce back after last weeks ass whooping might be asking to much from this demoralized group. 

Play on Tulsa to cover

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 18, 2025
Rice vs Charlotte
Rice
-1½ -108 at Heritage
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Rice Owls’ option attack is what Im betting the difference maker will be tonight. Rice  ranks  13th in  rush attack at 243.3 per game, while, Rice overall offense is operating in negative territory at -136 ypg. Charlottes  ground game  has not eclipsed the 100 yard plateau in total this season. 

CFB home team - bad team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game, after scoring 37 points or more last game are 14-40 ATS 2016 season.

Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 9-33 ATS since 1992.

Play on Rice to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 18, 2025
Dolphins vs Bills
UNDER 50 -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Free

 Im betting the Buffalo Bills take care of business here and get out  to an early lead and then just coast to victory which will help this combined score stay on the low side of the offered total. 

NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 - in conference games, off a home loss like Miami  are 23-4 under since the 2021 season with a combined average of 45.2 ppg going on the board.

The L/ 32 TNF games since 2012 with a total of 50 or more ,  have gone  22-10 UNDER for 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the under 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit).