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Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything! |
FREE PICKS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Sep 19, 2025 Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State |
Tulsa +11½ -108 at HERITAGE |
in 17h |
Through two games this season, Tulsa QB Hayes has passed for 323 yards and 2 TDs on 36 completions, while also scoring twice by using his legs to blast into the end zone..In his limited career, Hayes is completing 64% of his passes and averaging 9.3 yards per attempt. On D Tulsa's has smashed and grabbed heir way to eight sacks through three games, ranking 35th nationally (2.7 per game).It must also be noted that TU's defense has been impenetrable to start games — opponents have been held scoreless on their opening drives in all three of their tilts. Through three games, Tulsa has allowed just 11 total yards on their ‘oppositions first possession. Thats not good omen for an Oklahoma State side that needs to start fast after last weeks 69-3 beatdown at Oregon . Tulsa has a 115 yards per game better offensively and 90 per game on defense vs Oklahoma State. The Cowboys have not won a game since last season and despite of HC Gundy being on the hot seat it really looks like he has lost this group, and expecting big bounce back after last weeks ass whooping might be asking to much from this demoralized group. Play on Tulsa to cover |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Sep 18, 2025 Rice vs Charlotte |
Rice -1½ -108 at Heritage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Rice Owls’ option attack is what Im betting the difference maker will be tonight. Rice ranks 13th in rush attack at 243.3 per game, while, Rice overall offense is operating in negative territory at -136 ypg. Charlottes ground game has not eclipsed the 100 yard plateau in total this season. CFB home team - bad team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game, after scoring 37 points or more last game are 14-40 ATS 2016 season. Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 9-33 ATS since 1992. Play on Rice to cover |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NFL | Sep 18, 2025 Dolphins vs Bills |
UNDER 50 -105 |
Lost $105.0 |
Play Type: Free | ||
Im betting the Buffalo Bills take care of business here and get out to an early lead and then just coast to victory which will help this combined score stay on the low side of the offered total. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 - in conference games, off a home loss like Miami are 23-4 under since the 2021 season with a combined average of 45.2 ppg going on the board. The L/ 32 TNF games since 2012 with a total of 50 or more , have gone 22-10 UNDER for 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the under |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
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