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Michael Alexander |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Mar 03, 2026 Avalanche vs Ducks |
Avalanche -1½ +165 at betonline |
Won $165 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 3 Units With respect to scoring goals, the Colorado Avalanche have racked up 220 goals (1st in the NHL) over the course of the season and have allowed 141. For the current campaign, they have scored 87 points and their points percentage is sitting at .750. Colorado has 189 power play opportunities and they have scored 28 goals out of those tries, earning them a rate of 14.81%. While playing at even strength, the Avalanche let the opposition score 114 goals while having 192 of their own. Colorado has taken 1,985 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.1%. The Avalanche have had 1,549 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .909. Colorado Avalanche opponents have earned 166 power play tries (21st in hockey) and have scored 27 goals in those attempts. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Mar 03, 2026 Stars vs Flames |
Stars -1½ +200 at Buckeye |
Won $200 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 3 Units Dallas has been one of the most complete teams in the league, especially during this recent winning stretch. Their power play advantage and defensive consistency give them a clear edge. While Calgary plays better at home, the Stars’ depth and current form make them the stronger side in this matchup. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Mar 03, 2026 Panthers vs Devils |
Panthers -108 at Ace |
Lost $108.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 3 Units It feels like that loss to the Islanders was the death blow to the Panthers’ playoff hopes. Despite being two-time champs, it wouldn’t be shocking if the Panthers come out flat and accept their fate. It just hasn’t been their year. However, the Devils are hit or miss and aren’t a team I’m trying to back against the better teams in the league. The Devils have just one win since January 30. This is a missed win if the Panthers are trying to avoid pulling the plug on the season. The price is cheap. I’ll give the Panthers one last look. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Mar 03, 2026 Thunder vs Bulls |
Thunder -10 -110 at circa |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating; 4 Units This is a lot of points for a Thunder team that’s not covering numbers the way we’re used to seeing and is sitting key players. The problem is I can’t get behind a Bulls team that just went a month without a win and is 26-34-1 ATS on the season. The Bulls are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. One win over the Bucks doesn’t change much. The Bulls are in some of the worst form in the league. No SGA and others, OKC has still shown it can bully lesser opponents. Heck, that’s why guys are sitting to begin with. It’s OKC for me. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Mar 03, 2026 Mavs vs Hornets |
Hornets -13 -110 at circa |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 4 Units The Mavericks are still missing a bunch of players, with Kyrie Irving, Naji Marshall, Cooper Flagg, and Marvin Bagley III all out, and Klay Thompson and PJ Washington both questionable, while the Hornets have ruled out Coby White for this one. The line was always going to be hefty for this matchup given how depleted the Mavericks are these days, but it’s still not high enough to sway me from taking one of the hottest teams in the league to get the blowout win at home. The Hornets are on a tear right now and I expect them to cruise past the Mavericks with ease in this |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Mar 03, 2026 Nets vs Heat |
Heat -13 -105 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 4 Units The Nets should have Nic Claxton back in action but they are still missing Egor Demin, who is dealing with a foot injury, while the Heat have ruled out Norman Powell and Nikola Jovic, with Davion Mitchell listed as questionable. The Nets enter this contest as one of the coldest teams in the league with eight losses in a row but they were more than competitive in their narrow defeat on Sunday, but the Heat are coming into this one fresh off a solid win over the Rockets; they have home-court advantage and extra rest as their last game was on Saturday. These teams have already met once this season with the Heat winning by 106-95 on Dec 18 and I am expecting a similar result in this one with the Heat getting the win and cover at home. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 03, 2026 Army vs Bucknell |
Army +3½ -115 at PlayMGM |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 3 Units The Black Knights shot well (47.5 percent) from the field in their loss to Lafayette over the weekend and had a 29-28 rebounding edge. That said, Army gave up 49.1 percent shooting from the field and had 14 turnovers along the way. The Knights have lost seven of the last eight games and they’ve given up 75 or more points in six straight. These teams split the season series, with each team winning on the road: Army took it 87-84 in OT on January 21 and the Bison responded with a 75-73 win on February 25. Both games were very, very close. In their loss last week Army had a bad first half and only ended up shooting 40.6 percent from the field alongside 16 turnovers (leading to 20 Bison points). The Black Knights have a lot of cleaning up to do for game three, or else their season will be over. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 03, 2026 Mississippi State vs Florida |
Mississippi State +23 -120 at Bovada |
Lost $120.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 3 Units Mississippi State’s quality backcourt play and Josh Hubbard’s elite scoring give the Bulldogs a legitimate path to staying competitive in tomorrow’s contest, but Florida’s superior offense and dominant home court edge makes the Gators the likely winner of this game. With that said, Mississippi State’s strong perimeter shooting should keep the Bulldogs inside the number (23.5) in this one. For the reasons just noted, I am backing the Mississippi State Bulldogs plus the points in this game. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 03, 2026 San Jose State vs Fresno State |
Fresno State -7 -110 at circa |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 3 Units In this San José State vs Fresno State Prediction, Fresno State is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Fresno State has been the better team this season and has been very strong against the spread with a 19-9 ATS record. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 03, 2026 LSU vs Auburn |
Auburn -8½ -105 at Bovada |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 3 Units I’ll lean toward Auburn but you could argue this one toward either Tiger team. Auburn shot very well (51 percent) and had a 31-20 rebounding advantage in their weekend loss to Ole Miss. Trouble is, the Tigers gave up 53.4 percent shooting on defense and had 13 turnovers for 18 Rebels points. Auburn is just 1-7 in their last eight games, giving up 74 or more points in all of those (and 84 or more in six of the seven losses). As for LSU, they shot just 34.9 percent from the field and got outscored 26-22 in the paint by a fairly middling Oklahoma team in their latest home loss over the weekend. The Tigers have just three victories in the 2026 calendar year, and they’ve lost six of the last seven outings total. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 03, 2026 Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss |
Vanderbilt -6½ -115 at PlayMGM |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Rating: 3 Units Vanderbilt’s offensive efficiency and scoring depth give them a clear edge in this matchup. Ole Miss has struggled defensively, especially against strong offensive teams. I expect Vanderbilt to push tempo and create separation late. |
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Michael Alexander is the Founder and Head Handicapper of Alexander Sports. Mr. Alexander has been handicapping sports (NFL Football Picks, College Football Picks, NBA Basketball Picks, College Basketball Picks, NHL Hockey Picks, and MLB Baseball Picks) for over 20 years and holds numerous top 10 handicapping rankings and is the 2004 Overall Champion as documented at Procappers! His approach to this craft is truly unique in the industry. With a background in statistics and prior experience in finance, Michael combines in depth statistical analysis with a financial risk/reward formula. It is this method that allows Mr. Alexander to properly weigh the risk of investment vs. the possible reward of investment for each game he analyzes. |
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